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UAE Presidents Foreign Policy Advisor: The UAE is exercising restraint and seeking a way out for Iran and the region.The UAE presidents foreign policy advisor said Irans accusations against the UAE are "part of its unwise and chaotic policy."On March 15, S&P Global Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabias sovereign credit rating, adding that despite disruptions, non-oil growth momentum and related non-oil revenues should help support the economy. S&P stated that Saudi Arabia should be able to withstand the impact of the current conflict with Iran. S&P noted that the country should be able to shift oil exports to the Red Sea, utilize its vast oil storage capacity, and increase oil production post-conflict. The Saudi government should also be able to adjust investment spending related to "Vision 2030," a strategic framework launched by the country in 2016.On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.

Amidst increasing Fed hawkish bets, the AUD/USD is anticipated to soar over 0.6880

Daniel Rogers

Jul 11, 2022 11:29

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The AUD/USD pair is first seeking to exceed the significant resistance level of 0.6850 since it is expected that the US dollar index (DXY), which was drained on Friday, would perform poorly going forward. The asset is seeking more gains, and greater upside will be due once it clears the important 0.6880 barrier.

 

Even if US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data is upbeat, dollar bulls are expected to do poorly. In June, the US economy added 372k jobs, well above the average estimate of 268k but falling short of the prior figure. The Unemployment Rate remained at 3.6 percent, the same as in the previous report and estimates. The US economy's superior performance on the job market will undoubtedly make it easier for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to announce large rate increases with less reluctance.

 

However, the drop in average hourly earnings (AHE) on Friday will be bad for the US economy. The economic data were 5,1% annually, which was higher than the forecast of 5% but lower than the prior estimate of 5,3%. Reduced AHE does not assist US families when the inflation rate is out of control. Reduced AHEs will have a significant influence on their revenue during times of increasing pricing pressure. The overall demand may go down as a result of this.

 

Investors are focusing on Thursday's release of the employment figures in Australia. It is projected that the Employment Change, which was previously published as 60,6K, will be substantially lower, at 25K. However, from the previously stated 3.9 percent, the jobless rate will drop to 3.8 percent.

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