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On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.The Swiss government has discussed the US request for military overflight. In accordance with the principle of neutrality, the Federal Council rejected two requests related to the war with Iran.Local officials said operations at the Lanaz refinery in Iraq’s Erbil province have been suspended until the fire is extinguished and the damage is assessed.On March 15th, Colombian Energy Minister Edwin Palma posted on the X platform that Venezuelas state-owned oil company PDVSA intends to terminate its contract with Colombias state-owned oil company Ecopetrol regarding the Antonio Ricardo pipeline, citing insufficient investment in its maintenance. Palma stated that the Colombian government plans to meet with the US government next Monday to discuss lifting sanctions in an effort to normalize commercial relations with Venezuela. Palma also indicated that Colombia has approved a license to resume imports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from Venezuela at a rate of 1.26 million gallons per month.Colombian Energy Minister: Current investment is insufficient to cooperate with Venezuelas state-owned oil company PDVSA to repair the Antonio Ricarde pipeline.

As investors anticipate BOC and US Inflation, USD/CAD falls toward 1.2900

Jul 11, 2022 11:32

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The USD/CAD pair is trading below the important support level of 1.2960 as investors support the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar on the strength of positive Canadian unemployment statistics. On a larger scale, the pair has depreciated progressively after retesting the key resistance level of 1.3083 on Wednesday.

 

The unemployment rate in Canada came in at 4.9%, below both estimates and the previous announcement of 5.1%. This has encouraged the Bank of Canada (BOC) to raise its interest rates on Wednesday by a reasonable amount. According to market consensus, the BOC may issue a 75-basis-point rate rise (bps). The occurrence of the same will increase the official interest rate to 2.25 percent.

 

Tiff Macklem, the governor of the Bank of Canada, is obligated to announce a significant interest rate increase due to the escalating inflationary pressures in the Canadian economy. May's inflation rate in Canada was 7.7 percent, a significant increase from the 6.8 percent figure reported in April.

 

On the dollar front, the US dollar index (DXY) has seen a little recovery at the opening. The DXY will stay on edge until Wednesday, when the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released. The preliminary estimate for US inflation is 8.7%, which is 10 basis points (bps) higher than the previous estimate of 8.6%. A higher inflation reading will increase the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would adopt an extremely hawkish posture at its monetary policy meeting in July.

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