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July 4th - A Reuters survey showed that OPEC crude oil production rebounded sharply in June, increasing by approximately 3.3 million barrels per day to 19.43 million barrels per day, a significant rebound from the more than two-decade low reached in May, but still far below quota levels. This production increase was mainly driven by the resumption of supply from Gulf countries, with Kuwait seeing the largest increase, followed by Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Nigeria and Libya also saw slight increases in production. The UAE withdrew from OPEC on May 1st and is no longer included in the statistics. The report noted that the previous war with Iran and the de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz had caused supply disruptions, but the subsequent lifting of restrictions on ships at Iranian ports by the United States helped to restore some production. Although OPEC+ had planned to increase production in June, it could not be fully implemented due to the war. Overall, global crude oil supply is recovering, but has not yet returned to normal levels.Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: The United States must "accept the established realities in the trade arena."Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.2% at 23,253 points in overnight trading, a discount of 97 points.On July 4th, Labour politician Andy Burnham stated that if he succeeds Starmer as Prime Minister, he will not dissolve Parliament early and call a new general election. Instead, he will continue to implement Labours campaign promises from the 2024 general election, including maintaining the triple lock on pensions. He also outlined several policy positions: advocating for stronger regulation in the public service sector, even considering nationalization in some industries; supporting further improvements in UK-EU relations; willing to negotiate with countries including Afghanistan to repatriate rejected asylum seekers; supporting electoral reform; ensuring adequate funding for defense investment programs; and explicitly stating continued firm support for Ukraine. If the party nomination proceeds smoothly and without competition, he could become Labour leader in mid-July and subsequently become Prime Minister.July 4th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.81%, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 1.61%, and the SC crude oil futures contract fell 0.16%.

AUD/USD jumps to approximately 0.6820 before to the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy announcement

Alina Haynes

Dec 05, 2022 14:17

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During the Tokyo session, the AUD/USD pair enjoyed a substantial rebound following a corrective decline below 0.6780. In response to the risk appetite profile, the Australian dollar has accelerated to roughly 0.6820 and is expected to continue its gains above the previous week's 0.6845 high.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed somewhat sideways above Friday's low of 104.40, as bullish market sentiment has lessened the desirability of safe-haven assets. The optimistic Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report from the United States has failed to strengthen the US Dollar. Compared to the previous report, the US economy added 263,000 jobs in November, an increase of 53 percent. In addition, the yearly increase in the labor cost index has reached 5.1%.

 

As households acquire more disposable income, a robust labor market and rising wages indicate a rise in inflationary pressures. This may lead to a rise in demand for perishable and durable goods, hence supporting price rises.

 

On the antipodean front, investors await Tuesday's announcement of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision. We anticipate another 25 basis point (bps) increase at the final monetary policy meeting of the year on December 6, bringing the OCR to 3.10 percent, according to economists from UOB Group.

 

Notably, this might be RBA Governor Philip Lowe's third consecutive 25-bps rate increase. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased from 7.1% in September to 6.9% in October. Inflation remains well above the target of 2%, necessitating a continuation of policy tightening.

 

Moreover, investors will track the Caixin Service PMI data. It is anticipated that the economic statistics will be somewhat higher at 48.8 than the previous report of 48.4.