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1. Domestic commodity futures markets closed mixed in overnight trading. Chemicals led the gains, with styrene rising 4.33%; energy products led the declines, with LPG falling 1.60%; all ferrous metals fell, with coking coal down 1.00%. Base metals all declined, with Shanghai aluminum down 2.88%, Shanghai zinc down 1.89%; Shanghai gold down 1.35%, and Shanghai silver down 1.63%. 2. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed up 5.64% at $78.87 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 3.22% to $84.02 per barrel. Continued tensions in the Middle East, with Iran launching missile and drone attacks on several Middle Eastern countries, exacerbated market concerns about oil supply disruptions. Saudi Arabia raised its April crude oil prices for Asia, further supporting higher oil prices. 3. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 0.81% to $5093.30 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 0.80% to $82.52 per ounce. The Federal Reserves hawkish signals, coupled with inflationary pressures and strong employment data reinforcing expectations of interest rate hikes, and the European Central Banks cautious policy, all contributed to suppressing precious metal prices. 4. London base metals fell across the board: LME lead fell 0.97% to $1943.5/ton, LME aluminum fell 1.50% to $3292.5/ton, LME copper fell 1.52% to $12859.0/ton, LME nickel fell 1.58% to $17215.0/ton, LME zinc fell 2.87% to $3230.0/ton, and LME tin fell 3.16% to $49405.0/ton. 5. The CME announced a reduction in the initial margin for COMEX 100 gold futures from 9% to 7%, and the initial margin for COMEX 5000 silver futures from 18% to 14%. 6. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.61% to 47,954.74 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.56% to 6,830.71 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.26% to 22,748.99 points. Goldman Sachs and Caterpillar Inc. fell more than 3%, leading the Dows decline. The Wind U.S. Tech Giants Index fell 0.05%, Facebook fell more than 1%, and Apple fell 0.85%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.43%, Bilibili fell more than 7%, and Hesai Technology fell more than 6%. Tensions in the Middle East and soaring oil prices exacerbated market concerns about inflation and its impact on Federal Reserve policy, leading to a decline in investor risk appetite.EU Trade Commissioner: Confident the US will lower new import tariffs on EU goods.U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays: If Iran believes that the United States cannot sustain a war, then it is a miscalculation.U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays: The timetable for the war with Iran is entirely up to us.March 6 - US President Trump said on Thursday that further measures would be taken to ease pressure on the oil market, adding that Iran is actively seeking a deal as the US and Israel launch attacks. He also called on Iranian diplomats around the world to seek asylum and help shape a new, better Iran.

AUD/USD RBA Continuation of the upswing is predicated upon breaching the 0.7045-50 resistance area

Daniel Rogers

Aug 02, 2022 15:08

 截屏2022-08-02 上午9.52.31.png

 

The MACD and RSI indicators favor purchasers, but the RBA controls the market. AUD/USD trades between 0.7025 and 0.7030 during the midday Asian session on Tuesday. Traders anticipate the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Interest Rate Decision as the Aussie pair flirts with a significant northward resistance level.

 

In addition to the confluence of the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the downward sloping trend line from April 20, AUD/USD bulls face the risk that the RBA may refrain from making too aggressive statements due to widespread recession concerns.

 

Notably, the early MACD signals and the RSI (14), which are not overbought, encourage AUD/USD buyers. Continuous trading above April's downward-sloping resistance line, which is currently 0.6910 support, is on the same line.

 

Should the downward swings push the quote below 0.6910, the mid-June and May lows of 0.6850 and 0.6830, respectively, will test the pair's further slide before reversing to the yearly low of 0.6680.

 

In contrast, a successful break over the 0.7050 resistance level requires confirmation from the June 16 swing high around 0.7070 prior to driving AUD/USD prices towards the 50 percent and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement levels of the April-July drop, near 0.7175 and 0.7300, respectively.