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March 23 – International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said on Monday that more than 40 energy facilities in nine Middle Eastern countries have suffered “serious or very serious” damage due to the Middle East wars, which could lead to continued disruptions to global supply chains after the conflict ends. Birol stated that the damage means oil fields, refineries, and pipelines will need some time to return to operation.On March 23, Capital Economics analyst Gareth Lesser noted in a report that Asias reliance on imported energy makes it more vulnerable to prolonged periods of high oil prices compared to other regions. Historically, approximately 80% to 90% of energy traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has been destined for Asian markets. Asia has already experienced rising crude oil and refined product prices; since the start of the war, the Singapore diesel benchmark price has increased by about 140%. Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and Pakistan will be hit hardest because they heavily rely on energy imports from the Middle East and have limited fiscal space to mitigate the impact.March 23 - Two weekend polls showed that a majority of Japanese people oppose sending warships to the Middle East in response to the potential conflict with Iran. This comes after the United States has been pressuring its allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. A Yomiuri Shimbun poll showed 67% of respondents opposed sending Japanese Self-Defense Forces to the region, while an Annan News Agency poll showed 52%. The polls also indicated that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis cabinet maintains high approval ratings at 71% and 65.2% respectively, with most people positively evaluating her meeting with Trump on March 19. Takaichi avoided a direct confrontation with Trump over Japans support for securing the strait, but Trump continues to pressure Japan to fulfill its responsibilities.Australian Prime Minister Albanese: Strengthening energy security cooperation with Singapore and supporting the flow of diesel and liquefied natural gas between the two countries.Nomura Securities: Lowered its target price for Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) from HK$775 to HK$727.

AUD/USD RBA Continuation of the upswing is predicated upon breaching the 0.7045-50 resistance area

Daniel Rogers

Aug 02, 2022 15:08

 截屏2022-08-02 上午9.52.31.png

 

The MACD and RSI indicators favor purchasers, but the RBA controls the market. AUD/USD trades between 0.7025 and 0.7030 during the midday Asian session on Tuesday. Traders anticipate the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Interest Rate Decision as the Aussie pair flirts with a significant northward resistance level.

 

In addition to the confluence of the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the downward sloping trend line from April 20, AUD/USD bulls face the risk that the RBA may refrain from making too aggressive statements due to widespread recession concerns.

 

Notably, the early MACD signals and the RSI (14), which are not overbought, encourage AUD/USD buyers. Continuous trading above April's downward-sloping resistance line, which is currently 0.6910 support, is on the same line.

 

Should the downward swings push the quote below 0.6910, the mid-June and May lows of 0.6850 and 0.6830, respectively, will test the pair's further slide before reversing to the yearly low of 0.6680.

 

In contrast, a successful break over the 0.7050 resistance level requires confirmation from the June 16 swing high around 0.7070 prior to driving AUD/USD prices towards the 50 percent and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement levels of the April-July drop, near 0.7175 and 0.7300, respectively.