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According to the official measurement of the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 4.1-magnitude earthquake occurred at 10:06 on June 17 in Haixi Prefecture, Qinghai Province (37.85 degrees north latitude, 95.55 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.On June 17th, Jarden economists warned that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cannot accelerate the natural decline of inflation by adjusting interest rates. In their research report, they pointed out that the composition of inflation is more important than its level, and they expect core inflation to remain above 3% until the second half of 2027. They noted that the main reason for the significantly higher-than-expected inflation rate is not an overheated domestic economy, but rather related to fuel costs, which are beyond the control of officials or politicians. This situation should ease as the situation in the Middle East normalizes, but Jardens core concern is the extent to which cost pressures will affect Australian goods and services.June 17th - According to a Wall Street Journal survey of economists, 10 out of 12 believe the Philippine central bank is likely to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% on Thursday. Economists at Capital Economics noted in a report that the Philippines is one of the Asian economies most severely affected by the energy shock, and inflation has exceeded the central banks target range in recent months. The firm added that while inflation concerns may prompt the central bank to raise rates, it will also consider economic weakness in its decision-making. Two economists predict a larger rate hike, reaching 50 basis points. HSBC analyst Aris Dacanay believes the rate hike could be even larger given the central banks price stability target.Gold rose in early Asian trading on June 17th. Zaheer Anwari, CEO of The Revacy Fund, stated that improved market confidence, driven by easing concerns about energy supply disruptions, inflation, and interest rates, created a more favorable environment for gold. Traders are closely watching the decisions of several central banks this week. While the Bank of Japans rate hike supported Japanese bond yields and may limit golds upside, investors expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged. If the Feds updated economic and inflation forecasts remain positive, it could further boost gold prices. Furthermore, continued central bank position building will provide strong structural support. Anwari believes gold prices will find stable support around $4,000 per ounce.Goldman Sachs: We maintain our bearish view on TTF natural gas prices for 2028/29, with forecasts of €19/MWh and €16/MWh, respectively, with the risks skewed to the downside.

With RBA policy in the forefront, AUD/NZD sustains a weekly low at 1.0900

Daniel Rogers

Aug 01, 2022 12:16

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After dropping near to a crucial support level of 1.0900 during the Asian trading session, the AUD/NZD pair has since recovered considerably. Several offers have been submitted for the asset, and a purchase response is in the process. Strong purchase activity typically indicates that consumers thought the underlying product was a wise investment.

 

The cross is turning upwards as investors prepare for forceful words from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). For the third time in a row, RBA Governor Philip Lowe is expected to increase the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps). Australia's inflation rate has increased to 6,1% as of the second quarter of CY2022, which has led to increased pricing pressure. Since the prices of commodities like oil and food continue to fluctuate, the inflation rate has not yet run out of room to rise.

 

In today's session, the release of the Caixin Manufacturing PMI data is quite important. The economic data is predicted to register at 51.5, slightly below the prior level of 51.7. A reduction in Chinese industrial activities will have an impact on the antarctic because Australia is China's main trading partner.

 

On the New Zealand front, kiwi bulls anticipate the release of employment numbers on Tuesday. According to projections, the jobless rate will drop from the previously reported 3.2 percent to 3.1 percent. In addition, the Employment Change may increase from the previous 0.1 percent to 0.4 percent.