• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On May 20th, four sources revealed that a June rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) is a foregone conclusion, but the bank is cautious about further action, aiming to curb market expectations of swift follow-up action in July. The ECB kept interest rates unchanged in April, but internal discussions about a rate hike had taken place, with hints of a possible June action due to persistently high energy costs. Sources stated that the inflation outlook is currently developing in the "unfavorable scenario" envisioned by the ECB, and with no signs of easing tensions in Iran, the bank must act at its next meeting. This is because inflation has reached 3%, far exceeding the 2% target, and the bank needs to maintain its credibility after signaling a policy adjustment. They added, "Even if a peace agreement is reached before the meeting, there is no guarantee that it will remain effective, and energy prices will remain high for some time as markets take time to return to normal." However, a subsequent rate hike is not urgent, as current price pressures are much milder than in 2022, and the long-term effects of this price surge have not yet materialized. Several factors suggest that the bank may postpone its July plans until September to make new forecasts, unless the inflation outlook deteriorates significantly.Samsung union official: Under the provisional agreement, Samsung is expected to allocate approximately 11.5% of its operating profit to bonuses.According to Saudi media Alhadath: Pakistans Interior Minister met with Iranian President Pezeshizian in Tehran.1. According to the EIA report: For the week ending May 15, U.S. crude oil exports increased by 112,000 barrels per day to 5.604 million barrels per day; U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventories decreased by 9.92 million barrels to 374.2 million barrels, a decrease of 2.58%; commercial crude oil inventories excluding strategic reserves decreased by 7.863 million barrels to 445 million barrels, a decrease of 1.74%. 2. According to Al Jazeera, sources indicated that all parties are working diligently to finalize the text of the agreement between Washington and Tehran. The Pakistani Army Chief of Staff may visit Iran tomorrow to announce that the final version of the agreement text has been completed. 3. The latest report released by the World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) shows that in March 2026, global primary aluminum production will be 5.6333 million tons, consumption will be 5.9774 million tons, resulting in a supply shortage of 344,100 tons. 1. In the first quarter of 2026, global primary aluminum production was 17.5159 million tons, while consumption was 17.8796 million tons, resulting in a supply shortage of 363,700 tons. 2. The latest report released by the World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) shows that in March 2026, global refined copper production was 2.2792 million tons, while consumption was 2.1357 million tons, resulting in a supply surplus of 143,500 tons. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf stated: "The enemys overt and covert actions indicate that they are seeking a new round of war. The people can rest assured that our armed forces have made full use of the ceasefire opportunity to rebuild their capabilities in the best way." 4. The Brazilian Association of Vegetable Oil Industries (Abiove) released the latest soybean and processed product forecast data: Brazils soybean harvest in 2026 is expected to reach a record 180.13 million tons, a 5% increase over the previous year, compared to a forecast of 177.85 million tons last month. Brazils soybean ending stocks for 2026 are projected to reach 8.25 million tons, an increase of approximately 1.5 million tons from the April forecast, marking the highest level since 2017. Brazils soybean exports for 2026 are projected to reach a record 114.1 million tons, up from 113.6 million tons in the previous months forecast. The CEO of Freeport Indonesia stated that the recovery process at the Grasberg gold and copper mine is taking longer than expected, with operations expected to reach near full capacity by the end of 2027.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: The United States has made many demands, but the question is, why would Iran want to transfer its materials to another country? Think back to the past when no one was worried about our nuclear program at all, and now everyone still knows that our nuclear program is 100% peaceful.

AUD/NZD has not changed from 1.1230 despite RBA Lowe's testimony

Daniel Rogers

Sep 16, 2022 14:54

截屏2022-09-16 上午10.02.37.png 

 

There has been no movement in the AUD/NZD pair throughout the Tokyo session despite evidence from Philip Lowe, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Despite a recent dip, the asset is trading within a narrow range of 1.1220 to 1.1232. Tuesday's attempt to break through 1.1258 was unsuccessful, and the asset subsequently fell. The likelihood of a negative reversal has grown due to the presence of strong selling pressure at current elevated levels.

 

As Lowe testified, he plans to do so, inflationary pressures will be reduced. The RBA is not as eager as some other central banks would be to attain price stability if it meant sacrificing economic development.

 

Although the central bank is not following a set course, market participants should keep in mind that the RBA has pegged an objective for the Official Cash Rate (OCR) of 3.85%. RBA Despite his conviction that "labor cost rise is consistent with inflation returning to goal," Lowe has painted a bleak outlook for the economy.

 

Earlier, the Aussie bulls were under pressure after weaker-than-expected job data was released in Australia. Statistics on Employment Change fell short, coming in at 33.5k instead of the expected 35k. The economy reported 40,900 job losses in July. The increase in the unemployment rate was also quite large, coming in at 3.5% compared to 3.4% forecasted and 3.4% reported previously.

 

As for New Zealand, the bullish Business NZ PMI data released early in the Tokyo session has not caused a notable reaction from kiwi buyers. Numbers for the economy were better than expected, coming in at 54.9 versus 52.5 and 52.7.