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On February 11th, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) published an article by Xiao Sheng, Director of the Capital Account Management Department. Xiao Sheng stated that the policy on RMB and foreign currency pooling for multinational corporations will be promoted and upgraded. In recent years, SAFE has promoted the iterative upgrading of multinational corporation pooling policies and increased the integration of various pooling methods, initially forming a policy framework for multinational corporation pooling that combines RMB and foreign currencies with different versions. Recently, the Peoples Bank of China and SAFE have promoted the integrated RMB and foreign currency pooling policy nationwide, applicable to large and super-large multinational corporations. In 2026, the policy will be extended to more medium-sized enterprise groups nationwide, implementing a centralized operation and management policy for cross-border RMB and foreign currency funds for multinational corporations, supporting more multinational corporations to conduct flexible and efficient cross-border fund operations, and contributing to the development of headquarters economy.On February 11, the State Administration of Foreign Exchanges monthly journal, *China Foreign Exchange*, published an article by Xiao Sheng, Director of the Capital Account Management Department. Xiao Sheng stated that in 2026, the two-way opening of the financial market will be promoted in an orderly manner. The policy on cross-border funds for Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFII) will be studied and optimized to improve the convenience of foreign investment in the domestic capital market. The issuance of investment quotas for Qualified Domestic Institutional Investors (QDII) will continue in an orderly manner to meet the reasonable demand of domestic investors for overseas securities investment. The government will cooperate with relevant departments to promote the construction of interconnectivity mechanisms such as the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, and Bond Connect, continuously improving the level of two-way opening of the financial market.February 11th – At a regular press conference held by the State Council Taiwan Affairs Office on February 11th, spokesperson Zhu Fenglian stated in response to a reporters question that the DPP authorities are attempting to seek "independence" by relying on foreign powers, and are unprincipledly fawning over foreign countries and selling out Taiwan without any bottom line in the so-called Taiwan-US trade negotiations. If the relevant reports are true, Taiwans traditional industries will be severely impacted, and the food safety of the people will be completely unprotected. The DPP authorities are allowing the United States to take whatever it wants, sacrificing the prospects for Taiwans industrial development and harming the interests and well-being of the Taiwanese people, and will inevitably be rejected by the Taiwanese people.According to Punchbowl: The U.S. House of Representatives rejected a rule designed to prevent lawmakers from challenging Trumps tariff resolution.February 11th - According to foreign media reports, Song Jae-hyuk, President and Chief Technology Officer of Samsung Electronics chip business, stated on Wednesday that Samsung Electronics has returned to the top of the memory industry thanks to its next-generation HBM4 technology, a statement that reversed the companys stock price decline. Song made this unusually firm statement at SemiconKorea in Seoul. Previously, a Samsung executive publicly supported the "Samsung comeback" in January, further reinforcing market expectations that Samsungs next-generation HBM technology would be adopted by AI chip leader Nvidia. Samsung plans to begin mass production of HBM4 this month, with Nvidia expected to be its first customer.

XAUUSD expects gold prices to rise over $1,730, marking a 1% increase from current levels. Federal Reserve abandons plans to raise interest rates

Daniel Rogers

Jul 25, 2022 14:42

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The gold price (XAUUSD) has recovered well and is now aiming to return to its weekly high around $1,740.00. Gold regained its strength last week after falling to close key support of $1,680.00. After re-testing the 11-month low of $1,679.80, gold prices have rebounded by more than 3.30 percent in only two days thanks to the efforts of gold bulls.

 

Following massive cuts to forecasts for a rate rise by the Federal Reserve (Fed), the US dollar index (DXY) gave up its early gains on Friday. The gloomy S&P PMI data and falling inflation expectations reduced the likelihood of a rate rise by the Federal Reserve at its monetary policy meeting on Wednesday by 100 basis points (bps).

 

After long-term inflation expectations dropped to 2.8% in July from 3.1% in June, investors gambled on a subsequent rate rise of 75 basis points from the Fed rather than a rate hike of 1%.

 

The S&P issued the PMI data on Friday, and it showed that conditions had not improved in any significant ways. A reading of 47.5 for the Global Composite PMI was far below both the forecasted 51.7 and the previously reported 52.3. If we look at the Manufacturing and Services sectors more broadly, we see that the former catalyst was at 52.3, down from 52.7, and the latter was recorded at 47, down from 52.7. For this reason, the Fed will likely remain cautiously hawkish even if the PMI improves.

 

Investors will be looking ahead to Wednesday's US Durable Goods Orders report in addition to the Fed's interest rate announcement. We anticipate a reading of -0.2% for economic growth, which is down sharply from the previous reading of 0.82%.


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