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June 15th - Tungsten hexafluoride (THF) is a key deposition material in the manufacture of memory chips and advanced logic chips, and is also a popular product in the current surge in demand for electronic specialty gases. Affected by factors such as the withdrawal of some overseas production capacity and the continued expansion of downstream memory chip production, the supply-demand gap has widened, directly driving product prices into an upward trend. Analysts stated, "Taking THF with a significant market price increase as an example, the average monthly price of 5N grade THF in June is expected to reach 1760 yuan/kg, a year-on-year increase of 236%. The surge in demand from memory chips is the core supporting factor." The head of a specialty gas production company in Shanghai stated that helium demand has recently surged, and even with the factory operating on double shifts, supply still cannot meet demand. The head explained, "The semiconductor industry has a very high demand for helium. Many customers are asking, and now the price changes daily. Its possible that todays price will be unavailable tomorrow."June 15th - As the artificial intelligence industry continues to boom, demand for AI chips and high-end memory chips is surging. The production of these chips relies heavily on a special consumable – electronic specialty gases. Electronic specialty gases are electronic-grade gases with a purity exceeding 99.99%, core materials in the field of electronic chemicals, and often referred to as the lifeblood of the semiconductor industry. Driven by strong downstream demand, many core products in the electronic specialty gas market are currently in short supply. Executives from several specialty gas manufacturers stated that their order backlogs have increased significantly, and production lines are operating at full capacity. These executives explained that many of these products ultimately end up in semiconductor wafer foundries, and because some electronic specialty gases are flammable, explosive, and highly hazardous chemicals, customers typically maintain zero inventory. According to these executives, the demand for electronic specialty gases from semiconductor wafer manufacturers has exploded this year, pushing their delivery schedules to near full capacity.According to AXIOS: U.S. Democratic Senator Warren has requested information regarding a private equity deal involving data centers.June 15th - U.S. homebuilder confidence declined further in June, driven by rising mortgage rates and building material costs, while confidence in the southern region deteriorated significantly. Data released Monday by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and Wells Fargo showed that the housing market index, which measures overall market conditions, fell 2 points to 35 this month, below market expectations. As the largest homebuilding region in the U.S., the South saw its largest drop in confidence since November 2023. The NAHB stated that June marked the 14th consecutive month the index had remained below 40, the longest sustained period of weakness since 2011-2012. Looking at the sub-indices, the current sales conditions index fell 2 points to 38, while future sales expectations and potential homebuyer visits remained unchanged. The NAHB attributed the overall index decline to rising building material prices, increased financing costs, and regulatory factors hindering home construction.Fitch Ratings: Headwinds from inflation and interest rates weigh on the U.S. mid-year credit outlook.

Predictions for the Silver Market: A Turbulent Time Ahead

Alina Haynes

Jul 22, 2022 14:58

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Silver fell during Thursday's trading session, but it recovered after the European Central Bank raised interest rates, which placed downward pressure on the US dollar. I believe it is only a matter of time until sellers re-enter the market and force this commodity lower since this is a market that continues to witness a lot of noisy activity. However, there are many grounds to believe that silver's value will decline below that of the dollar.

 

Silver's demand is expected to remain weak due to low consumer demand. At this point, I believe it is best to "fade the rise," since it will likely be just a matter of time until sellers re-enter the market. We're probably going to break up soon, and the $20 level above should provide a lot of resistance on the way up.

 

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It's conceivable that sellers will enter the market even if we break over the $20 level, and then the 50 Day EMA will come into play. The 50-day moving average (MA) is currently at $20.73, and it's falling. In the end, I believe that many individuals will rush into this market as soon as it shows indications of tiredness. If the price drops below the hammer's base, it would be reasonable to assume that the $15 support level will be quickly breached.


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