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On May 26th, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino emphasized that timely policy adjustments are crucial to maintaining market confidence amid the recent sell-off in Japanese government bonds. Himino stated on Tuesday, "Regarding monetary policy and long-term interest rates, we believe it is very important to maintain market confidence that inflation will be properly controlled by adjusting the degree of monetary easing at an appropriate pace in response to future economic, price, and financial conditions." This statement seems to suggest that the Bank of Japan is open to raising interest rates in the near future. Himino, along with other Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other officials, have recently emphasized the need for a responsible attitude towards financial markets, and the market widely expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates at its meeting next month. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi subtly signaled last week her desire for the Bank of Japan to maintain policy stability as she attempts to mitigate the economic impact of the war with Iran. Himino stated, "The Bank of Japan will strive to implement policies appropriately to maintain this market confidence and achieve its price stability objective in a sustainable and stable manner."On May 26th, Guangzhou held a press conference to announce a series of supporting documents for the "Implementation Opinions on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market." Qian Zhe, Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee and General Manager of Guangzhou Anju Group, introduced that to support residents in improving their housing conditions and facilitate the exchange of new and used housing, Anju Group will immediately launch a pilot program to support residents in "selling old homes and buying new ones." The pilot program will run until December 31, 2026, and will acquire second-hand residential properties through market-oriented methods, adhering to the principles of "government guidance, market operation, and voluntary participation." The pilot program targets second-hand residential properties with a total price of less than 3 million RMB, a building area of less than 70 square meters, located within the Guangzhou Ring Expressway, with no age limit on the buildings. The acquired properties will be prioritized for use in affordable housing, talent apartments, and other purposes, primarily serving the housing needs of new urban residents, young people, and residents relocating from urban renewal projects.On May 26, it was reported that on May 25, the Party Committee of the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) held an enlarged meeting and a collective study session of the Party Committees theoretical learning center group. The meeting emphasized that state-owned enterprises should continue to improve the institutional mechanisms for carrying out statistical work in a standardized manner, further tighten and implement the responsibility for preventing and combating statistical fraud, and hold those responsible for statistical fraud accountable. It stressed the need to firmly safeguard the lifeline of statistical data quality, effectively prevent and rectify the problem of false financial and accounting information, and strictly prevent and crack down on financial fraud. It also emphasized the need to establish and improve a comprehensive, full-process, and all-element penetrating supervision mechanism to achieve real-time monitoring and dynamic early warning of data from central enterprises.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: Fluctuations in the oil market are affecting foreign exchange and financial markets.On May 26th, Guangzhou held a press conference for a series of supporting documents related to the "Implementation Opinions on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market." Mai Shaoming, Deputy District Mayor of Huadu District, Guangzhou, introduced that after the implementation of the "Guangzhou Eight Measures," Huadu District took the lead in the city by issuing its own "Huadu Eight Measures." Following the implementation of the new policy, the real estate market in Huadu District has seen a continuous rebound in activity and a surge in transaction activity. Project visits, subscriptions, policy inquiries, and secondary market transactions have all increased significantly. Policy inquiries focused on core aspects such as pre-sale school placement, online contract signing for school enrollment, and subsidies for trade-ins, resulting in an overall positive trend of "increased volume, stable prices, and active transactions."

What is the impact of the Fed’s interest rate cut?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

What impact will the Fed's interest rate cuts bring to the global capital market? 

1) US stocks: short-term positive, but the US stocks still have adjustment pressure.  But the long-term trend of US stocks depends on the extent of the recession.

 2) US debt: support the bull market . The trend of 10-year US Treasury interest rates is basically the same as the rhythm of interest rate cuts, but will react in advance.

 3) US dollar: bearish dollar index. The main factor affecting the US dollar index is the relative strength of the US economy with other major countries, especially the Eurozone. The current cycle of the US economy lags behind other countries. In the future, as the US economy accelerates and the Eurozone enters the bottoming stage, the US dollar will have depreciation pressure, and the Fed’s expected interest rate cut will cause the US dollar to depreciate earlier.

 4) Gold: may caused the price of gold to rise, bull market can be expected. The price of gold is affected by the risk aversion and the US dollar.Also, the depreciation of the US dollar is good for gold. On the other hand, the safe-haven value of gold will be greatly reduced compared to the previous rounds of interest rate cuts. 

5) Emerging market stocks: short-term positive, long-term trend depends on economic conditions. The depreciation of the dollar will bring capital inflows to emerging markets, but the long-term trend of the stock market depends on the state of the economy.