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ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The economic environment is extremely fragile.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: Interest rates are at a neutral level, and economic growth is close to its potential level.February 9th - Analysts point out that gold prices rebounded above $5,000 per ounce, influenced by a weaker dollar and traders awaiting key US data releases later this week. ANZ analysts stated, "Investors have reaffirmed their long-term bullish view on precious metals." Research data shows that despite recent sell-offs, large institutional investors remain optimistic about gold, a view echoed by the Peoples Bank of China, which increased its gold holdings for the 15th consecutive month in January. Traders are currently awaiting US non-farm payroll data and the Consumer Price Index for further clues regarding the path of interest rate cuts.February 9th Futures News: The following are the warehouse receipts and changes for various commodities traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange: 1. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 12,564 tons, a decrease of 103 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 242,626 tons, an increase of 242,626 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 23,140 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 31,264 tons, an increase of 176 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,464,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 53,463 tons, an increase of 5,723 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 40,773 tons, an increase of 4,968 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 131,447 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. 10. Pulp mill futures warehouse receipts: 15,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 112,570 tons of natural rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 243,776 tons of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 23,197 tons from the previous trading day; 6,337 tons of tin futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 379 tons from the previous trading day; 51,004 tons of TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 318,546 kg of silver futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 31,354 kg from the previous trading day; 104,052 kg of gold futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 32,270 tons of butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 32,270 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 18. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 26,490 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 19. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 13,580 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 20. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts: 164,512 tons, an increase of 8,979 tons from the previous trading day; 21. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 51,721 tons, an increase of 447 tons from the previous trading day; 22. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 15,710 tons, a decrease of 305 tons from the previous trading day; 23. Copper futures warehouse receipts: 157,128 tons, a decrease of 3,044 tons from the previous trading day.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The probability of the next rate hike or cut is 50/50.

How national interest rates affect exchange rate?

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

All other factors being equal, higher interest rates in a country increase the value of that country's currency relative to nations offering lower interest rates. However, such simple straight-line calculations rarely exist in foreign exchange.

Although interest rates can be a major factor influencing currency value and exchange rates, the final determination of a currency's exchange rate with other currencies is the result of a number of interrelated elements that reflect the overall financial condition of a country in respect to other nations.

Factors in Currency Values

Generally, higher interest rates increase the value of a country's currency. Higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investment, increasing the demand for and value of the home country's currency.

Conversely, lower interest rates tend to be unattractive for foreign investment and decrease the currency's relative value.

This simple occurrence is complicated by a host of other factors that impact currency value and exchange rates. One of the primary complicating factors is the relationship that exists between higher interest rates and inflation. If a country can achieve a successful balance of increased interest rates without an accompanying increase in inflation, its currency's value and exchange rate are more likely to rise.