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Hong Kong-listed biopharmaceutical stocks rose amid volatility, with Innovent Biologics (09969.HK) surging over 4%, and other stocks such as Zai Lab (09688.HK), WuXi AppTec (02359.HK), WuXi Biologics (02269.HK), and Henlius Biotech (02696.HK) following suit.Hong Kong-listed new energy vehicle stocks fluctuated higher, with NIO (09866.HK) and Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) both rising by more than 3%, and Leapmotor (09863.HK), Li Auto (02015.HK), BYD (01211.HK), XPeng Motors (09868.HK) and other stocks following suit.1. Barclays: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged and may not make a clear statement on the timing of future rate cuts. A rate cut could come as early as next month, with lower inflation expectations and a weak labor market reinforcing the view that rates will be cut. 2. Goldman Sachs: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged. The vote was 7-2, and a rate cut could be more widely supported. Bailey may reiterate that there is room for rate cuts. A weak labor market will push for rate cuts to 3% in March, June, and September. 3. Capital Economics: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged, or may suggest that the next rate cut is not imminent and that rates may not fall significantly. If the prediction that CPI will fall below 2.0% comes true, then interest rates will fall to 3% instead of 3.5%. 4. Mitsubishi UFJ: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged due to stronger economic growth momentum. The more likely scenario now is a rate cut in May and another in August, bringing the benchmark rate down to 3.25%. 5. HSBC: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Unlike the European Central Bank, the Bank of England seems less concerned about the deflationary effects of further dollar depreciation, which could support the pound against the euro in the short term. 6. Scotiabank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Since last August, the cycle of switching between rate cuts and maintaining rates has become longer, and the bank may lack a sense of urgency to cut rates. One or two more rate cuts are expected this year. 7. DBS Bank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Bank of England Governor Bailey previously warned that future easing decisions would be more cautious and dependent on economic data. The pound/dollar should maintain a weak bias. 8. Oxford Economics: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. If upcoming data gives the bank more confidence that wage growth is cooling, the next rate cut is likely to occur at the April meeting. 9. JPMorgan Chase: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with a 7-2 vote. The bank will raise its short-term unemployment forecast and lower its recent average wage growth and inflation forecasts, which will provide data support for a rate cut in March. 10. Nordea: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged due to more cautious wording in the previous forward guidance. The first rate cut is anticipated in March, but recent stronger growth momentum and risks favor a delay to April. 11. Trade France: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged and signal a gradual approach to rate cuts. Key swing trader Bailey is expected to support holding rates steady. A rate cut is expected at the end of April, with a high probability of two more cuts this year. 12. Morgan Stanley: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged, with a 6-3 vote and a riskier 5-4 outcome. Policy guidance is not expected to change. The terminal interest rate is expected to be 3%, with rate cuts in March, July, and November. Roth MKM: Raises Alphabet (GOOG.O) price target from $365 to $395.Sony (SONY.N): In talks with suppliers to increase memory supply; PS5-specific memory has been secured for this years holiday sales season.

WTI extends comeback above $85.00 as EIA oil inventories decline by 1.75 million barrels

Daniel Rogers

Oct 20, 2022 15:14

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Futures for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) increased after the Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced a decline in crude oil inventories on Wednesday. In the early European session, oil prices have extended their gains above the key resistance level of $85.00 to approximately $85.57.

 

Wednesday, the EIA reported a decrease in oil inventories of 1.75 million barrels, compared to estimates for an increase of 1.38 million and the previous release of 9.88 million. US Vice President Joe Biden's oil release announcement was met with skepticism, but an unexpected fall in oil reserves has instilled optimism in black gold. US Vice President Joe Biden announced the release of 15 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in an effort to stabilize the demand-supply mechanism.

 

The anticipation of additional sanctions on the oil supply from Russia, which may cripple the global oil supply, also contributes to the optimism surrounding oil prices.

 

On a broader scale, oil price headwinds are far from finished. Black gold may experience pessimism if the People's Bank of China (PBOC) maintains its current monetary policies. Despite the economic upheaval caused by the continuation of the zero-Covid-19 policy and the weakening real estate market, the PBOC maintained its Prime Lending Rates (PLR). A lack of additional monetary policy could affect the sentiment of market players.

 

As the risk aversion trend has faded, the US dollar index (DXY) has fallen substantially and reached an intraday low of 112.77. S&P500 futures have regained all of their overnight losses as a result of a resurgence in the risk-on market sentiment. US 10-year Treasury yields continue to be solid.