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August 3 – Strategists suggest the U.S. Treasury may use euros instead of dollars to fund its yen-buying program to avoid currency depreciation and jeopardize its strong dollar policy. Two sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York requested inquiries from at least two major U.S. banks last Friday regarding the yen-euro exchange rate. “The U.S. likely doesn’t want to appear to be selling dollars,” said David Forrest, senior strategist at Credit Suisse in Singapore. He added, “The U.S. maintains a strong dollar policy because they don’t want to be seen as trying to gain a competitive advantage by weakening their own currency, as this would violate the G20 consensus on foreign exchange policy.” “It wouldn’t look good for the U.S. Treasury to sell dollars, hence the choice to use euros,” said Jason Wang, currency strategist at Bank of New Zealand in Wellington. He noted, “The end result is essentially the same, because the funds will need to be reallocated back to euros at some point in the future, which could mean the U.S. will eventually sell dollars, just in a less transparent way.”Euro Stoxx 50 futures and German DAX futures both rose by more than 1%.August 3rd - It has been learned that Ant Groups AI subsidiary, Ant Lingbo Technology, may be launching an independent financing round. This marks the official transition of this "physical AI special forces" backed by Ant Group from being wholly incubated by the group to facing scrutiny from the external capital market. The aforementioned source revealed to Blue Whale Technology that the core reason for Ant Lingbos independent financing is the internal resource constraints within the group: "Ant Group has invested heavily in AI, and its computing power budget is facing pressure."Biren Technology (06082.HK) announced that it has completed the "Day0" adaptation and optimization of MiniMax H3 on the flagship general-purpose GPU product Biren series based on the SGLang inference framework.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 11:11 on August 3 in Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.54 degrees north latitude, 104.67 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 5 kilometers.

WTI Price Analysis: During a Wyckoff markdown phase, $73.00 is anticipated for WTI

Alina Haynes

Feb 03, 2023 15:24

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have refreshed their daily low at $75.80 in the early European session. The oil price is under pressure as western central banks have increased their interest rates in an effort to curb inflation. The asset is anticipated to test the Thursday low near $75.30.

 

After peaking at 101.55, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is displaying a mediocre performance and is awaiting the release of United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for fresh impetus.

 

On a four-hour scale, the price of oil declined following a breakdown in Inventory Distribution. The distribution of inventory within a narrow band of $79.50-$82.67 shows a movement of inventory from institutional investors to retail participants. The asset is in Wyckoff's markdown phase after an inventory distribution breakdown and a flashback move to roughly $80.00.

 

At $78.65, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has behaved as a significant barrier for the oil price. The Relative Strength Index (14) oscillates within a negative band of 20.00-40.00, signaling further weakening.

 

After a steep loss, a pullback to near the 10-period EMA around $76.65 will be an ideal selling opportunity that will push the asset toward the bottom of February 2 at $75.15, followed by the horizontal support put at the low of January 5 at $70.00.

 

Alternativamente, a rebound move above the high of February 1 at $79.87 will propel the asset toward the low of January 23 at $81.19. A violation of this level would expose the asset to further gains reaching the January 18 high of $82.67.