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Gold prices rose slightly on Thursday, August 27th, as concerns about currency devaluation persisted and market attention turned to Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs highly anticipated speech this week. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, stated that the narrative of a depreciating dollar, coupled with concerns about the US budget deficit, continues to support gold in the medium term. The US Treasurys announcement of expanding its purchases of older, long-term bonds triggered dollar devaluation concerns, causing gold prices to rise by more than 5% last week. Wong added, "The market is waiting for Warshs speech to gain a clearer understanding of how the Fed will respond to the current economic situation. If he doesnt provide specific forward-looking monetary policy guidance, then the markets current pricing in interest rate hikes is likely to remain largely unchanged." Geopolitically, the Qatari Prime Minister will visit Tehran to resume diplomatic mediation. The US and Iran have previously exchanged accusations, with the focus of the dispute being Washingtons commitment to increase economic pressure on Tehran through sanctions against Irans trading partners.On August 27th, Qunhe Technology, one of the "Six Little Dragons of Hangzhou," officially released its independently developed 3D generative model, Lux3D, offering both standard and express versions. Users can quickly generate 3D assets in various forms, including meshes, materials, and 3D Gaussian textures, simply by uploading an image or entering text. Material rendering is reportedly a core highlight of this version. In express mode, a single model can be generated in as little as 20 seconds, and it supports integration into AI coding and 3D modeling tools via Harness mode, solving the challenge of batch 3D content generation.The Governor of the Bank of Korea stated that the impact of consecutive interest rate hikes will be assessed before the next interest rate adjustment.The governor of the Bank of Korea said the six-month dot plot shows a median interest rate of 3.25%, suggesting a gradual increase in interest rates.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.3 earthquake occurred at 10:34 a.m. on August 27 in Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.52 degrees north latitude, 104.67 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 8 kilometers.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: To consolidate as a doji near the YTD highs near 125.70 looms

Larissa Barlow

Apr 13, 2022 10:03

  • Despite its strong association with US Treasury yields, the USD/JPY trades in a range of 125.30 to 70.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY exchange price: Although the bias remains upward, a doji near the year-to-date highs might pave the way for lower prices.

 

As the Asian Pacific day begins, USD/JPY is practically flat, up 0.05 percent, but still short of the YTD highs near 125.77, as Tuesday's price action formed a doji, implying indecision. The USD/JPY is now trading at 125.48.

 

On Tuesday, the USD/JPY hovered above 125.45 but fell rapidly on the release of mixed US inflation readings, albeit hotter than expected; the numbers were in line with forecasts.

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Price

The USD/JPY is now trending upward, as indicated by the daily chart. A doji near the YTD highs, on the other hand, may pave the way for a correction down.

 

Meanwhile, the USD/JPY 1-hour chart indicates the pair has established a double top, but the pair may stabilize in the 125.30-77 range after breaking over 125.35.

 

The initial upward resistance for the USD/JPY would be 125.56. A break of the latter would reveal the convergence of the YTD high and the R1 daily pivot point near 125.77-80. Once cleared, 126.00 would be the next line of defense for JPY bulls.

 

On the other hand, the initial level of support for the USD/JPY would be the confluence of the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) and the daily pivot at 125.28-30. A strong break would pave the way to the S1 daily pivot level of 124.81, followed by the 100-hour SMA level of 124.64.

 

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