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June 18, Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathorn said in a report that the latest inflation data in the UK is unlikely to affect the Bank of England to resume cutting interest rates. The annual rate of CPI in the UK slowed down moderately to 3.4% in May from 3.5% in April. Although not catastrophic, these data did not impress those who hoped for a stronger trend of inflation decline. The market generally expects the Bank of England to keep the interest rate unchanged at 4.25% in Thursdays interest rate decision.June 18th, John Velis, macro strategist for the Americas at Bank of New York Mellon, said that no interest rate changes are expected at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, but the new Summary of Economic Projections may affect the market. The dot plot will indicate that the rate cut in 2025 will be lower than previously expected. Given that the market expects nearly two rate cuts this year, a more hawkish dot plot may disrupt the market. The Federal Reserve has become increasingly cautious about cutting interest rates in 2025, noting that inflation remains the top priority for most members who have shared their ideas. Given the continued uncertainty in policy, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to soften its interest rate views. After June, there are only four Federal Reserve meetings left this year, and it seems increasingly unlikely that there will be time for aggressive easing during the year.Hong Kongs Hang Seng Index closed at 23,710.69 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 269.61 points, or 1.12%. Hong Kongs Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,214.41 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 77.44 points, or 1.46%. The CSI 300 Index closed at 8,594.19 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 100.48 points, or 1.16%. The H-share Index closed at 4,091.13 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 36.17 points, or 0.88%.June 18, ING Bank commodity strategists said that the biggest concern in the oil market is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which will affect the flow of oil in the Persian Gulf. Nearly one-third of the worlds seaborne oil trade passes through this choke point. Severe disruptions in oil circulation are enough to push oil prices up to $120 a barrel. They predict that in this case, OPECs spare capacity will not help ease market tensions, as most of the spare capacity is located in the Persian Gulf. In this case, governments may have to use their strategic oil reserves, although this is only a temporary solution.Ukrainian MP: The Ukrainian Parliament passed a law on Ukrainian multiple citizenship.

The AUD/USD Finds Support Around 0.7500 As Attention Turns to Australia's Unemployment Rate

Drake Hampton

Apr 13, 2022 10:10

  • The AUD/USD currency pair has sensed a pullback from 0.7500 ahead of Australia's unemployment rate announcement.

  • Investors are shrugging off stronger US inflation data, but interest rates are poised for a modest increase.

  • Australia's preliminary unemployment rate of 3.9 percent signals outperformance.

 

After a good positive comeback from Tuesday's low of 0.7400, the AUD/USD pair has had a little retreat to about 0.7500. The major has recovered following Tuesday's publication of US inflation. Market participants anticipated an 8.5 percent increase in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which prompted some bids in the antipodean.

 

Inflation at a multidecade high and a greater participation rate in the US labor market point to a major rate hike in May's monetary policy. Price pressures on essential items are weighing on the US economy, as evidenced by the US CPI ex-food and energy's weak performance. Inflation in the United States, excluding food and energy, was recorded at 6.5 percent in a mid-market estimate and preceding number.

 

Earlier in the day, the asset fell substantially from last week's high of 0.7662 after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to maintain the current interest rate and take a 'wait and see' strategy. The RBA's monetary policy insights revealed that the government has not yet experienced any constructive price pressures capable of pushing interest rates higher.

 

Market investors will closely monitor the Australian Unemployment Rate, which is due on Thursday, for additional guidance. A early estimate of Australia's unemployment rate reveals a decrease to 3.9 percent from a previous reading of 4%.

AUD/USD

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