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On July 5, Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee external member Taylor said that central bank officials cannot avoid the question of the direction of interest rates, which is a direct challenge to Governor Baileys approach. Taylor was unusually frank about his expected final direction of the UK neutral interest rate, while Bailey and those around him repeatedly avoided questions about this issue, claiming that there are too many uncertainties. Taylor warned on Friday that avoiding the issue is "difficult, problematic, and in my opinion counterproductive." He once again called for lower interest rates, saying that the Bank of England should cut interest rates in response to the "deteriorating" economic environment, and warned that historical experience shows that the sooner the better.Bank of Italy: The assessment takes into account the exposure of Italian banks to these countries in relation to their overall exposure as of the end of 2024.The Bank of Italy lists the United States, Britain, Switzerland and Russia as countries of significant systemic risk relative to Italian banks.July 5, gold experienced temporary pressure in the previous trading day after non-farm payrolls data showed that the U.S. economy added significantly more jobs than expected and the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell. However, Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, said in a report that the report did not indicate an overheated economy, but rather showed a relatively stable growth rate. Tran said that this was not enough to force the Federal Reserve to reconsider its wait-and-see stance on monetary policy, which is why gold prices did not fall further.Brazils Minister of Mines and Energy: Petrobras needs help lowering gas prices.

The world's largest independent crude oil trader: oil prices still need to look at OPEC+'s face in the next few months

Oct 26, 2021 10:58

Mike Muller, Asia director of Vitol Group, the world's largest independent crude oil trader, said that in the coming months, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) will continue to be the main factor in oil price fluctuations, and pricing control is largely in the hands of OPEC+. . In the United States, if you need additional oil, then your production simply cannot keep up with the number of rigs.

Compared with three years ago, this is a considerable change. At that time, due to the second shale oil boom, the United States became the world's largest oil producer, which was considered to be the main factor in the rise of oil prices.

On Monday (October 4) OPEC+ agreed to maintain the current gradual increase in production plan. At the ministerial meeting that day, OPEC+ member states agreed to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day from November. OPEC+ is still in progress at 580 10,000 barrels per day of production reduction measures, but plans to gradually withdraw the production reduction agreement by April 2022 through increased production. The news of maintaining the existing production increase plan boosted oil prices on Monday. U.S. crude oil hit a new high since November 2014, and Brent crude oil hit a new high since October 2018.

Some analysts said that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is unlikely to acquiesce in requesting more production and lower prices, not only because it benefits from higher prices, but also because some member states cannot increase their production capacity and they do not This oil supply is stored to maintain a higher supply.

Stephen Brennock of the oil broker PVM said on Friday that the outlook for oil prices in the near term is still supportive. The current price trend is a recovery, and only people with strong financial resources will short oil.

If winters in the northern hemisphere are as cold as expected, this dynamic in the oil market may last longer. As Europe’s natural gas reserves are below the 5-year average, despite the bleak long-term outlook, oil demand is likely to remain strong for a long time. This means that OPEC+ will continue to issue orders under the leadership of the member states with the most spare capacity.