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The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell further to 1%, hitting a new intraday low.June 26 – Royal Bank of Canada remains optimistic about the medium- to long-term outlook for gold, believing that the “currency devaluation trade” still has room for further development. “We believe there could be more buying at $4,000 per ounce and below, but more importantly, the broader theme of the ‘currency devaluation trade’ remains intact,” said Chris Louney, commodities strategist at RBC. “In the long term, given concerns about issues such as rising government debt, we believe the drivers for gold remain in place.”On June 26th, Shenghe Jingwei announced that its first board of directors fourth meeting and the second extraordinary shareholders meeting of 2024, held on November 20th, approved the "Proposal on Investing in the Construction of Shenghe Jingweis Lingang Advanced Packaging Production Line Project," agreeing to invest in the construction of the Dongsheng Hexin 3D Integrated Chip Manufacturing (Phase I) project. The total investment for the project is approximately RMB 10 billion, with the final investment amount subject to actual project input. The company will invest as needed based on the projects progress. Currently, the project is actively preparing for various pre-construction matters, and construction will officially commence on June 29th after completing the relevant procedures in the coming days.On June 26, according to Irans Press TV, US President Trump has again ordered that all Iraqi oil revenues controlled by Iraq be deposited into accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Executive Order 13303 was originally signed after the US military action against Iraq in 2003 and has been renewed annually since, always citing "national security" as the reason. The White House has not issued a press release on this matter, but Trump sent a formal notification to Congress on May 4 regarding the extension of the order. In the formal notification, Trump stated: "The various obstacles hindering the orderly reconstruction of Iraq, the restoration and maintenance of domestic peace and security, and the development of political, administrative, and economic institutions continue to pose an exceptionally significant threat to US national security and foreign policy. Therefore, this Executive Order must remain in effect beyond May 22, 2026."According to Iranian state television, three foreign oil tankers that attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz "without authorization" were forced to turn back after warnings from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy.

The GBP/USD has retested a multi-month low below 1.1700, despite hawkish signals from the options market

Daniel Rogers

Aug 29, 2022 14:42

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Despite bullish signs from the options market, Friday's continuation of the GBP/USD decline to a new low since March 2020 has GBP/USD leaning bearish near 1.1680.

 

Nonetheless, the GBP/USD one-month risk reversal (RR), which is the difference between call options and put options, recorded a four-day gain at Friday's end, peaking at 0.025. The RR value flips from negative -0.480 last week to positive 0.295 this week.

 

The recent aggressive language from the Fed and economic worries regarding the UK, especially in the context of political uncertainty, should have served as clues for the negative inclination.

 

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in his much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech on Friday that restoring price stability will take some time and involve "forceful" use of the central bank's tools. The policymaker also said that maintaining a restrictive approach for "some time" will be necessary to restore price stability.

 

Goldman Sachs expects a recession for the United Kingdom in Q4 2022, and lowers its GDP forecast for the year from 3.7% to 3.5% on a separate page. The US bank concludes in its latest report that the recession will be "very modest."