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On April 9th, Antje Praefcke, a foreign exchange analyst at Commerzbank, pointed out in a report that the US dollar could weaken if Trump calls for interest rate cuts again. The oil price shock triggered by the Iran war should gradually be transmitted to the price level. Even after the war ends, energy prices may not return to pre-conflict levels due to the disruption of trade routes and production facilities. However, Trump may again pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in order to boost his approval ratings before the midterm elections. If Trump turns his attention back to this front and the conflict with the Fed reignites, the US dollar may come under corresponding pressure.EU Trade Commissioner Dombrovskis: The European economy faces the risk of stagflation shocks, and developments in the Middle East are putting pressure on public finances.On April 9th, it was learned that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he is willing to meet with Vladimir Putin, but not in Moscow. He said the meeting could take place in the Middle East, Europe, the United States, or other suitable locations. Regarding the elections, Zelenskyy stated that holding elections now would violate Ukrainian law, and that voting requires security, which is currently not feasible.On April 9th, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following warehouse receipts and changes: 1. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 91,170 tons, a decrease of 1,070 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Copper futures warehouse receipts: 179,834 tons, a decrease of 6,189 tons from the previous trading day; 3. TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts: 43,746 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 28,600 tons, a decrease of 4,200 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 181,417 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Pulp mill warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 15,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts: 425,128 tons, an increase of 998 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Tin futures warehouse receipts: 8,459 tons, a decrease of 92 tons from the previous trading day; 9. Butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts: 44,330 tons, down 720 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 61,457 tons, up 511 tons from the previous trading day; 11. Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts: 552,737 tons, up 586 tons from the previous trading day; 12. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 13. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,511,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 14. Silver futures warehouse receipts: 393,729 kg, up 26,549 kg from the previous trading day; 15. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 83,390 tons, up 277 tons from the previous trading day; 16. Natural rubber futures warehouse receipts: 125,380 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 17. Gold futures warehouse receipts totaled 108,663 kg, unchanged from the previous trading day; 18. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 48,566 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 19. International copper futures warehouse receipts totaled 11,820 tons, a decrease of 857 tons from the previous trading day; 20. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 48,390 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 21. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 34,320 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 22. Lead futures warehouse receipts totaled 49,643 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 23. Alumina futures warehouse receipts totaled 467,203 tons, an increase of 12,355 tons from the previous trading day.The onshore yuan closed at 6.8410 against the US dollar at 16:30 on April 9, down 136 points from the previous trading day.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Search For a Bottom

Alice Wang

Sep 20, 2022 14:45


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Monday's trading session, the E-mini contract for the S&P 500 originally declined, but it has since recovered and begun to show signs of life. The market seemed to want to rally after doing this, but I understand that there is a lot of noise above. If we can return to the 4000 level, any rise at this point should be seen as a possible selling opportunity.


Remember that the market will be anticipating Jerome Powell's remarks, which will be quite tiresome since everyone already knows what he will say. For a lot of individuals, however, hope endures forever, so they will have to wait until the announcement.


3800 will be the objective if we were to break down below the candlestick's bottom from the previous couple of days. The 50-Day EMA is just 34 points above the 4000 level and slopes downward if we break above that level. Nothing out there tells me I should be purchasing equities, so at this time I am perfectly content to just wait for a chance to start shorting again at a higher level.


In light of this, the 3800 level has significance since a break through it increases the likelihood that we will test the lows once again and even fall further lower. I believe we are in the process of kicking off the second leg down because the enormous candlestick that occurred last week is the kind of candlestick that virtually never occurs in a vacuum.