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On January 31st, Peter Cardillo, Chief Market Strategist at Spartan Capital Securities, stated, "I dont want to say that Warshs nomination as the new Federal Reserve Chairman was entirely unexpected. He has always been considered hawkish, but recently he seems to be converging with Trumps position, making it a bit difficult to assess how the market will accept this nomination. We just need to see if he will be influenced by the White House. My guess is that he wont; he will examine issues very carefully and maintain a certain balance on inflation and the labor market. He may not be as decisive as Powell, but he wont be too far off."On January 31, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held its 24th collective study session on the afternoon of January 30, focusing on forward-looking planning and the development of future industries. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, emphasized during the session that a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation is accelerating, with cutting-edge technologies constantly emerging, leading and supporting the rapid rise of future industries. He stressed the need to approach this from a strategic perspective of building a strong nation and achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, leveraging objective conditions and comparative advantages, adhering to the principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability and cultivating industries in a phased manner, to continuously achieve new breakthroughs in the development of my countrys future industries.On January 31, NASA announced that the Perseverance rover had successfully completed its first maneuver on the Martian surface using an AI-planned route. According to NASAs website, the demonstration mission, led by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, took place on December 8 and 10, 2025. The mission team used generative artificial intelligence with visual understanding capabilities to analyze high-resolution images taken by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) and data on terrain and slope, identifying key terrain features such as rocks, sand ripples, and boulder deposits. This generated a continuous route with multiple path nodes, helping Perseverance safely traverse complex terrain. Previously, this work was primarily done by ground engineers. Perseverance stored the AI-generated path nodes in its memory and traveled approximately 210 meters on December 8 and another 246 meters two days later.According to Interfax news agency, production at Kazakhstans Tengiz oil field has resumed.On January 31st, the Institute of Finance and Banking of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released its "China Macroeconomic and Financial Analysis" report for the fourth quarter of 2025, which pointed out that in 2026, my countrys economic policy orientation will shift from "strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustments" to "increasing the intensity of counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments." The macroeconomic and financial analysis team of the Institute of Finance and Banking of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences believes that in 2026, it is necessary to adhere to both policy support and reform and innovation, and to coordinate short-term macroeconomic control with medium- and long-term reform and governance. To this end, they propose three suggestions: First, fiscal and financial efforts should be coordinated to effectively unleash the potential of domestic demand; second, high-quality urban renewal should be used as a lever to stabilize investment; and third, innovative approaches to macroeconomic governance should be adopted to accelerate the repair of the balance sheets of micro-entities.

Stock Markets Break 50 Day EMA

Alice Wang

Jul 21, 2022 15:45

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

On Wednesday during trade, the S&P 500 raised its head over the 50 Day EMA, which is obviously a little success. Since there was a lot of noise between this level and the 4000 level, I believe it makes some sense that there was some hesitancy. However, I believe we have a good chance of reaching close to the 4100 level if we can break over the 4000 mark.


Looking at this chart, it would be very negative indeed if we were to reverse course and drop below the 3900 level, indicating that possibly the breakthrough was a false one. However, if we do rally, I believe we will continue to "climb the wall of anxiety" in an upward direction. Position sizing will be essential since, in any case, I believe the only thing you can probably bet on is a lot of loud behavior. It will be fascinating to see how this develops over time given that this is a violent short-covering rally.


Given the abundance of bad news now available, any collapse will likely gain a lot of momentum.


However, markets cannot continue to decline indefinitely, so this relief rally does have some logic. I believe we are in a position where we must see this through the lens of the longer-term probabilities, which continue to lead to reduced pricing over the long run. Whether or not it is a sustainable rally is an entirely separate thing. There may also be some short covering since the Federal Reserve will meet the following week.