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February 7th - A Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Work Conference was held on February 7th. The conference revealed that this years focus will be on investigating and punishing monopolistic practices in public utilities and the platform economy, as well as addressing prominent issues such as unfair competition online.On February 7th, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a war report stating that in the past 24 hours, in response to attacks by Ukraine on civilian infrastructure targets within Russia, the Russian military launched a large-scale strike against Ukrainian military energy and transportation infrastructure using sea-based and air-based long-range high-precision weapons, including the Kinzhal hypersonic missile. All designated targets were hit. In addition, Russian air defense systems shot down one guided-missile bomb and 168 fixed-wing drones belonging to the Ukrainian military. Earlier that day, the Ukrainian Air Force posted on social media that from the evening of February 6th to the early morning of February 7th, the Russian military launched a large-scale air strike against key Ukrainian infrastructure using 39 missiles, including two Zircon hypersonic missiles, and 408 drones.The Ukrainian General Staff stated that its forces attacked an oil depot in Russias Saratov region.February 7 - Xu Yiding, a member of the Party Committee and Vice President of the Agricultural Development Bank of China, is suspected of serious violations of discipline and law and is currently under disciplinary review and supervisory investigation by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission.February 7 - It was learned on February 7 local time that Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff Mousavi stated that the Iranian military remains on high alert and any threat, aggression, or miscalculation against Iran will be met with a decisive, swift, and regrettable response.

Stock Markets Break 50 Day EMA

Alice Wang

Jul 21, 2022 15:45

微信截图_20220721151813.png

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

On Wednesday during trade, the S&P 500 raised its head over the 50 Day EMA, which is obviously a little success. Since there was a lot of noise between this level and the 4000 level, I believe it makes some sense that there was some hesitancy. However, I believe we have a good chance of reaching close to the 4100 level if we can break over the 4000 mark.


Looking at this chart, it would be very negative indeed if we were to reverse course and drop below the 3900 level, indicating that possibly the breakthrough was a false one. However, if we do rally, I believe we will continue to "climb the wall of anxiety" in an upward direction. Position sizing will be essential since, in any case, I believe the only thing you can probably bet on is a lot of loud behavior. It will be fascinating to see how this develops over time given that this is a violent short-covering rally.


Given the abundance of bad news now available, any collapse will likely gain a lot of momentum.


However, markets cannot continue to decline indefinitely, so this relief rally does have some logic. I believe we are in a position where we must see this through the lens of the longer-term probabilities, which continue to lead to reduced pricing over the long run. Whether or not it is a sustainable rally is an entirely separate thing. There may also be some short covering since the Federal Reserve will meet the following week.

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