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The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.7 occurred at 21:39 on June 8 near Kangding City, Ganzi Prefecture, Sichuan Province (29.92 degrees north latitude, 101.96 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.On June 8th, Citigroup stated that earnings growth driven by AI infrastructure development is expected to propel the S&P 500 to break the 8,000-point mark in 2026. The bank raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,100 points, representing an upside of over 9.5% from last Fridays closing price, up from its previous target of 7,700 points. Strategist Kronat predicts that S&P 500 earnings per share will reach $350 in 2026 and rise to $400 in 2027. Kronat stated, "The AI tailwind is driving a surge in the fundamentals of related industries, and we are confident that earnings will continue to exceed expectations by the end of the year." He pointed out that unexpectedly strong earnings in the first quarter were unusually common, and while unlikely to be sustained, the rate of positive surprises in the coming quarters will remain above normal. Kronat believes that earnings will replace valuation expansion as the main driver of the index. He added that although the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran war, inflation, and the interest rate path may cause volatility, AI spending remains a focus for investors. Regarding concerns about an AI bubble, Kronat believes the markets fervor for AI growth is far from over. "We are in the middle of a phase where price-to-earnings ratios will moderate, and earnings growth will bear a greater responsibility," he said.Artificial intelligence chip maker Cerebras Systems (CBRS.O) rose about 5%, with at least nine brokerages initiating coverage of the stock.The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 237.28 points higher, or 0.47%, at 51,104.06 on Monday, June 8; the S&P 500 opened 71.34 points higher, or 0.97%, at 7,455.08; and the Nasdaq Composite opened 390.62 points higher, or 1.52%, at 26,100.06.On June 8th, Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that the US dollar could weaken in the coming months if risk appetite improves and the Federal Reserve avoids raising interest rates. They noted that positive risk sentiment is unfavorable for the dollar in the absence of rising interest rates. However, they added that if the US economy outperforms other countries, leading to larger interest rate hikes, it would be more favorable for the dollar. "Given that both the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are expected to raise interest rates this month, narrowing interest rate differentials should encourage increased risk appetite, thus putting pressure on the dollar."

S&P 500 Rallies to Fresh Multi-week Highs Near 4,000, Tesla Surges 13.5%

Cory Russell

Jul 22, 2022 15:23

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reach new multi-week highs thanks to Tesla

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices, which are dominated by big tech/growth stocks, increased on Thursday and reached new highs since early June. This was largely due to a surge in Tesla's share price following the company's second-quarter earnings report, which exceeded expectations thanks to price increases across all of its car models. According to analysts, these price hikes helped lessen the effect of growing ingredient prices as well as other manufacturing difficulties, such as China's unclear Covid-19 scenario.


The S&P 500 came very close to testing the 4,000 mark but was unable to do so. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 stormed beyond the 12,500 level and is aiming for a retest of early-June highs around 12,900. Strong Tesla Q2 earnings results follow Netflix's earlier in the week more optimistic subscriber growth outlook and better-than-expected subscriber counts, which experts believe is supporting large-cap tech companies.


As a consequence, the FAANG index has continued to perform better this week than the larger US share market. The index includes Google, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Facebook (Meta Platforms) (Alphabet). The index has gained close to 6.0 percent over the last week and is testing its early June highs, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained, respectively, 3.0 percent and 4.9 percent. Data reflecting a slowdown in the US job market and the worst manufacturing confidence in the mid-Atlantic region in ten years (excluding the shock of the 2020 pandemic) failed to dampen investor optimism toward stocks.

Energy, airline, and telecom stocks decline

After disappointing profits and warnings about ongoing high cost pressures, the S&P 500 Airlines Index last fell by close to 5.0 percent on Thursday, with United Airlines and American Airlines leading the decline. Aside from that, US energy companies underperformed on Thursday due to a steep decline in the price of US oil (WTI). After AT&T lowered its revenue projections, citing challenges in bill collection, other US telecom companies also fell, hurting the broader Communications Services sector.

Gains in European Stocks Despite a Huge ECB Increase

Several prominent companies reported solid earnings results, which helped European markets recover from the European Central Bank's larger-than-expected rate rise, which lifted interest rates out of negative territory for the first time in eight years. The Stoxx 600 index for all of Europe rose again into the 424s but was unable to surpass previous weekly highs in the 425s.


On Thursday, anxiety over the energy situation in the Eurozone somewhat decreased, however concerns remained front of mind. The state-owned gas producing and exporting behemoth Gazprom in Russia restarted gas supplies to Europe on Thursday after scheduled maintenance on the Nord Stream 1 pipeline was finished, but at only approximately 40% of pre-maintenance levels.


One day after the EU encouraged member states to reduce their gas use by 15% between now and next March, Russian gas shipments into Europe were resumed. Analysts believe that there is still a high chance of a complete cutoff of Russian gas. This might cause a number of European nations that are heavily reliant on Russian energy to enter a severe recession, the IMF warned earlier in the week.

Another thing on European equities investors' concerns was the political unrest in Italy. Following the Wednesday breakdown of Italy's governing government coalition, the FTSE MIB index for Italy decreased. Mario Draghi, the Italian prime minister, later submitted his resignation to President Sergio Mattarella, and a vote is anticipated for late Q3 or early Q4.