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Polish central bank board member Duda: The basic scenario for monetary policy is to keep interest rates stable in the coming months.NATO Secretary General Rutte: If war breaks out, all allies, including the United States, will do everything in their power and to the best of their ability.Azerbaijans Ministry of Emergency Situations: A fire broke out at an oil refinery in Baku.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: 1. With the Feds decision now finalized, overnight London spot precious metals surged before quickly retreating, with intraday losses exceeding 2%. Warshs debut was more hawkish than expected, which is bearish for gold in terms of outcome. However, given that this was already priced in, the short-term bearish impact may not be sustained. But from the perspective of interest rate hike expectations, the bearish effect may be more medium-term. Furthermore, with the signing of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, market attention may shift to the Strait of Hormuz navigation issue and oil prices, subsequently predicting interest rate trends. Overall, gold may continue to fluctuate at low levels. 2. Overnight, the market focused on the Federal Reserves interest rate meeting. The results showed that the Fed, in line with market expectations, kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting. The decision received unanimous support from FOMC voting members for the first time in nine months. However, Warshs debut as FOMC chair indicated that the Fed maintained its hawkish stance. The dot plot showed that half of the voting members believed there should be one rate hike this year. Additionally, the statement removed interest rate guidance, stated its commitment to price stability, lowered its GDP growth and unemployment rate forecasts for this year, and raised its PCE and core PCE inflation forecasts to 3.6% and 3.3%, respectively. 3. On the geopolitical front, US officials stated that the US and Iran have remotely signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war and opening the Strait of Hormuz, and the agreement is now in effect. An Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that the text of the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States has been finalized and formally signed by both sides.According to RIA Novosti: Traffic was disrupted on a section of the Moscow ring road near an oil refinery following a Ukrainian drone attack.

Silver Price Prediction - Silver Price Increased Due to Weak Dollar

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 11:03

On Wednesday, silver prices increased alongside the other precious metals. As yields decreased, the dollar declined. In spite of stronger-than-anticipated headline and core CPI reports, Benchmark rates declined today. Gold prices rose as the currency weakened.

CPI Rose Greater Than Anticipated

Wednesday, the U.S. Labor Department revealed April's CPI. The headline CPI came in at 8.3%, slightly lower than March but higher than the 8.1% experts had predicted. The study also revealed that the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 6.2% year over year, which was greater than anticipated. The month-over-month growth also exceeded projections. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated that April inflation grew 0.3% on the headline CPI, compared to the 0.2% expected, and 0.6% on the core CPI, compared to the 0.4% expected gain.

Technical Evaluation

After falling, silver prices recovered, reclaiming short-term support near the September lows at 21.42.

 

Near the 20-day moving average of 23.52, there is observed to be resistance. The 20-day moving average has fallen below the 50-day moving average, indicating a medium-term decline. As indicated by the fast stochastic crossover buy signal, near-term momentum has turned positive. Prices are oversold since the fast stochastic is displaying a value of 13 below the oversold threshold of 20.

 

The medium-term momentum has become negative as the histogram and MACD both print in a negative direction (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a negative direction, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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