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February 22 – According to the Ukrainian National News Agency, U.S. Presidential Envoy Vitkov stated in an interview with Fox News that Ukrainian and Russian delegations will hold a new round of negotiations within three weeks, potentially leading to a high-level summit. He said, “Kushner and I hope that some of the suggestions we have made to both sides will bring them together within the next three weeks, and may even lead to a summit between President Zelensky and President Putin. The summit could eventually evolve into a trilateral meeting, in which President Trump will also participate.” Vitkov indicated that Trump will only attend the meeting if he feels he can achieve the best possible outcome. Zelensky previously stated that the next round of peace talks should be held in Geneva within ten days.U.S. Presidential Envoy Witkov stated that a new round of peace talks on ending the war in Ukraine will be held within three weeks.February 22nd - According to the China State Railway Group Co., Ltd., as of February 21st, the Spring Festival travel rush was halfway through. The national railway system transported 17.187 million passengers that day, bringing the cumulative total to 258 million passengers. Transportation was safe, stable, and orderly. On February 22nd, the sixth day of the Lunar New Year, passenger traffic on the national railway system remained high, with an estimated 17.93 million passengers transported. An additional 2,203 passenger trains are planned to be added.On February 22nd, analyst Chao Deng stated that a forecast from the Yale University Budget Lab estimates that even with the new 15% tariffs, the current effective tariff rate in the United States remains lower than before the Supreme Court ruling. Before the ruling, the rate was 16%, immediately dropped to 9.1% after the ruling, and is now projected to rise back to 13.7%. It is currently unclear how the 2.3 percentage point decrease will affect employment, wage growth, and the prices of goods and services. In contrast, the effective tariff rate is projected to surge by more than 10 percentage points throughout 2025, reaching levels unseen in decades. The economic impact of this significant increase is far less severe than many economists predicted. However, the impact is not negligible. According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S. businesses and consumers will bear more than 90% of the costs of Trumps tariffs for most of 2025, leading some businesses to freeze hiring and investment. Januarys inflation report showed price increases in several recently tariffed categories, including appliances, furniture, and new cars. This indicates that retailers are beginning to pass these costs on to consumers.Ukraine claims that Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone attack that struck Ukraines energy infrastructure.

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD Is Being Offered and Is Approaching Critical Support

Larissa Barlow

Apr 25, 2022 10:17

Gold prices have been under pressure in Tokyo and have fallen to a new Asian session low of $1,927.50c, down 0.2 percent at the time of writing. The US dollar is firming at an hourly support level as the euro begins to stall on its opening bid following the French election results.

 

The XAU/USD bears are in early doors as the focus continues on the Federal Reserve, with market investors bracing for a faster-than-expected rate of reversion to neutral rates by the central bank.

 

"Rates continue to reprice higher as the market pencils in another rate hike in 2022, pricing in 10 additional hikes over the course of the year, implying a bigger overshoot of neutral. While gold prices have remained extremely resilient in the face of an aggressively hawkish Federal Reserve, as a protracted war in Ukraine simultaneously increased geopolitical uncertainty and inflation risks, fueling demand for safe havens, we see few participants remaining with an appetite to buy gold," TD Securities analysts said.

 

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell proposed a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in his presentation to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday. This has increased the likelihood of the Fed announcing a big rate hike in May monetary policy. Additionally, Powell stated that the US economy's multi-decade high inflation requires a rapid pace of interest rate hikes, implying that investors should brace for more than one 50 basis point rate hike announcement this year. Additionally, the market's risk-aversion trend is supporting the greenback versus the precious metal.

Technical Analysis of Gold

On an hourly basis, XAU/USD is bouncing below the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level at $1,931.56 (which corresponds to the March 29 low of $1,890.21 and last week's high of $1,998.43). The 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are contracting, confirming the downside tendency. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into a bearish area of 20.00-40.00, indicating the possibility of a new bearish impulsive wave. 

Gold Hourly Chart

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