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February 22 – According to the Ukrainian National News Agency, U.S. Presidential Envoy Vitkov stated in an interview with Fox News that Ukrainian and Russian delegations will hold a new round of negotiations within three weeks, potentially leading to a high-level summit. He said, “Kushner and I hope that some of the suggestions we have made to both sides will bring them together within the next three weeks, and may even lead to a summit between President Zelensky and President Putin. The summit could eventually evolve into a trilateral meeting, in which President Trump will also participate.” Vitkov indicated that Trump will only attend the meeting if he feels he can achieve the best possible outcome. Zelensky previously stated that the next round of peace talks should be held in Geneva within ten days.U.S. Presidential Envoy Witkov stated that a new round of peace talks on ending the war in Ukraine will be held within three weeks.February 22nd - According to the China State Railway Group Co., Ltd., as of February 21st, the Spring Festival travel rush was halfway through. The national railway system transported 17.187 million passengers that day, bringing the cumulative total to 258 million passengers. Transportation was safe, stable, and orderly. On February 22nd, the sixth day of the Lunar New Year, passenger traffic on the national railway system remained high, with an estimated 17.93 million passengers transported. An additional 2,203 passenger trains are planned to be added.On February 22nd, analyst Chao Deng stated that a forecast from the Yale University Budget Lab estimates that even with the new 15% tariffs, the current effective tariff rate in the United States remains lower than before the Supreme Court ruling. Before the ruling, the rate was 16%, immediately dropped to 9.1% after the ruling, and is now projected to rise back to 13.7%. It is currently unclear how the 2.3 percentage point decrease will affect employment, wage growth, and the prices of goods and services. In contrast, the effective tariff rate is projected to surge by more than 10 percentage points throughout 2025, reaching levels unseen in decades. The economic impact of this significant increase is far less severe than many economists predicted. However, the impact is not negligible. According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S. businesses and consumers will bear more than 90% of the costs of Trumps tariffs for most of 2025, leading some businesses to freeze hiring and investment. Januarys inflation report showed price increases in several recently tariffed categories, including appliances, furniture, and new cars. This indicates that retailers are beginning to pass these costs on to consumers.Ukraine claims that Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone attack that struck Ukraines energy infrastructure.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.