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According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian President Pezehizian spoke by phone with French President Macron to discuss regional developments.March 16th - A Financial Times article points out that this week will be a "super central bank week." While the interest rate decisions of these central banks are not expected to bring any surprises, the policy guidance accompanying these decisions will be closely watched given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The four major central banks – the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan – will announce their decisions one after another on Thursday Beijing time. In addition, interest rate setters from Australia, Brazil, China, Canada, Indonesia, Sweden, and Switzerland will also meet this week. With the exception of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the other central banks are likely to keep interest rates unchanged. However, the war in Iran has increased the likelihood of a rate hike later this year. The interest rate market has responded hawkishly to the impending energy price shock; expectations for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England have been erased, replaced by the possibility of a rate hike by the latter. Expectations for a rate hike by the European Central Bank this year have also increased further. Since the start of the war, the Bank of Japans interest rate path has remained relatively unchanged.Downing Street: British Prime Minister Starmer and Canadian Prime Minister Carney discussed the situation in the Middle East, including the impact of the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz on international shipping.Downing Street: Leaders discussed the current situation in the Middle East and the importance of reopening the Strait of Hormuz to end the disruption to global shipping.March 16 – Iraqi Kurdish authorities stated on Sunday that Baghdad has failed to address the security and economic challenges facing its oil industry and refuted allegations that they have refused to export crude oil via regional pipelines. This comes after the Iraqi Oil Ministry claimed that the Kurdish regional government refused to allow it to use a pipeline as an alternative route for crude oil shipments disrupted by the conflict with Iran, and accused the regional authorities of setting arbitrary conditions. In a statement, the Kurdish Regional Governments Ministry of Natural Resources said the Oil Ministrys remarks "distorted the facts" and ignored problems affecting the region, including repeated attacks on oil and gas infrastructure that have forced production shutdowns. The ministry stated, "Rogue militias have targeted all oil, gas, and energy facilities in the Kurdistan region," adding that Baghdad has taken no effective measures to stop these attacks. The ministry stated, "Production has been disrupted due to these terrorist attacks, and there is currently no oil available for export."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.