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On September 20th, the State Taxation Administration released the latest tax data, showing that in the first eight months of this year, tax revenue collected by tax authorities nationwide increased by 5.9% year-on-year. The data shows that in the first eight months of this year, the Producer Price Index (PPI), which is highly correlated with tax revenue, rose by 2% cumulatively, driving rapid growth in tax revenue calculated at current prices. Meanwhile, the capital market has been generally active this year, with the average daily turnover of A-shares reaching 2.7 trillion yuan in the first eight months, a 72.8% increase compared to the same period last year, leading to rapid growth in related taxes and industry tax revenue. Specifically, securities transaction stamp tax increased by 82%, and personal income tax on restricted stock transfers increased by 59.7%. Tax revenue from the securities industry increased by 65.6% year-on-year, while tax revenue from the insurance industry and other financial industries increased by 14.6% and 18.5% respectively. Tax revenue from other industries was also boosted by increased returns from stock market investments by related companies. Furthermore, since the beginning of this year, the government has also standardized some tax incentives that are not in line with high-quality development or the current situation, contributing to the increase in tax revenue.On September 20th, according to Russian sources, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin announced on social media that over 150 Ukrainian drones had attacked Moscow and its surrounding areas since the early hours of the morning, with most being shot down by Russian air defense systems. Furthermore, according to the Kyiv Military Authority, air raid sirens were issued in the early hours of the 20th in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, due to the threat of missiles and drones.According to TASS: The mayor of Moscow said that facilities at the Moscow oil refinery have been damaged by ongoing drone attacks.On September 20th, at the 2026 World Manufacturing Convention, Changxin Technology announced the official mass production of its fifth-generation technology platform. According to reports, Changxin Technology has achieved a 11.95nm half-pitch for the active area of the memory array, a 45:1 aspect ratio for the memory capacitor, and a core energy area height reduced to 6762nm. Simultaneously, the fifth-generation process platform has significantly improved memory density, increasing the output per wafer by more than 50% compared to the previous generation platform under the same conditions. 24GB LPDDR5X products built on this platform have entered mass production and are widely used in mainstream flagship smartphones from Chinese manufacturers.September 20th - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), from January to August, the top ten passenger car manufacturers sold a total of 4.014 million vehicles, accounting for 67.9% of total passenger car sales. Among these ten companies, SAIC Motor and Tesla saw varying degrees of sales growth compared to the same period last year, while the sales of the other companies all declined to varying degrees.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.