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January 22 – As Japan prepares for next months snap election, Munehito Kamiya, leader of a newly emerging minority party, stated that the Bank of Japans (BOJ) interest rate hikes may be too rapid and could harm the economy. He said the partys priority is to revitalize the economy through tax cuts, particularly the consumption tax, and loose fiscal policy. Kamiya said the BOJ should proceed cautiously with interest rate hikes given the still fragile economy. "I think the pace of interest rate hikes is a bit too fast," Kamiya said, warning that raising borrowing costs too early could harm the economy and small businesses. "Im not against the BOJs policy direction; the problem is the speed." Kamiya stated, "The division of power between the government and the central bank is quite important. On the other hand, in Japan, fiscal and monetary policies havent reached the level of cooperation they should." "Overemphasizing the BOJs independence could have a negative impact on the economy," he added.The yield on Japans 30-year government bonds fell 10 basis points to 3.62%.The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 7.0 basis points to 3.185%.January 22 - Soaring freight rates have prompted some shipowners to use new tankers to transport Russian oil. This trade is typically carried out by older vessels nearing or exceeding their service life. By the end of 2025, the US and EU will blacklist hundreds of tankers involved in the Russian oil trade, leading to supply shortages and a surge in freight rates. Reputational risks and the threat of sanctions have deterred some shipowners, but at least two Greek companies find the enormous profits from transporting Russian crude too tempting. Transporting Russian oil is not entirely illegal, but if the transport price exceeds the so-called "price cap," it means that Western suppliers (such as dominant players in the insurance industry) will be unable to support the trade. Fears of exceeding the price cap often hinder legitimate operators, while a "dark fleet" fills this gap. Now, sanctions have caused Russian oil prices to plummet, providing a buffer against the price cap and giving Greek companies the confidence to participate in the oil trade, profiting from it using three tankers less than a year old.Shares of Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) continued to fall, currently down 3.0%. The company stated that an alarm sounded during control rod removal operations at Unit 6 of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant, which was restarted on the 21st, and the removal operation was halted.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.