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On April 1st, US President Trump made history by appearing before the US Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments on an executive order he considers crucial to his tough immigration policies. The order, signed on his first day back in office, would restrict birthright citizenship. According to Clare Cushman, a resident historian at the Supreme Court Historical Association, Trump is the first sitting president to have oral arguments before the Supreme Court. Lower courts had previously blocked Trumps executive order, which requires US agencies not to recognize citizenship for children whose parents are neither US citizens nor lawful permanent residents (green card holders). The Trump administration argues that virtually anyone born in the US has citizenship, creating incentives for illegal immigration and leading to "birth tourism." Last year, Trump wrote on social media: "Birthright citizenship is not for people who come to America for vacation and want to become permanent citizens and bring their whole family."Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: The impact of artificial intelligence on the economy is mainly reflected in the expansion of data centers and energy investment.Market news: Microsoft will invest more than $1 billion in Thailand for artificial intelligence infrastructure construction.Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: Taking measures to reduce the financial systems demand for reserves would be a smoother approach.On April 1st, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented on the US March PMI data, stating that the US manufacturing sector has demonstrated encouraging resilience against the backdrop of the Middle East conflict. Business confidence in output for the coming year has also remained strong so far. This continued resilience stems partly from reduced concerns about government policies and also indicates that producers expect the impact of the war to be short-term and limited, although uncertainty remains. Currently, the impact of the conflict is still in its early stages, with soaring prices and delivery delays casting a shadow over the outlook and potentially pushing up inflation, dampening demand, and disrupting supply chains. Driven by soaring oil prices, factory input costs have risen sharply, and supplier delays are more prevalent than at any time since October 2022. As a result, some manufacturers are increasing inventories in anticipation of future price increases or supply shortages, and hiring has almost stalled to reduce labor costs, highlighting concerns that the war could cause problems for factories in the coming weeks.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.