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On August 17th, US President Trump posted on social media that he was unhappy with the USs previous agreement to participate in joint military exercises with South Korea, given his "good relationship" with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Trump stated, "These exercises are not only extremely costly, with most of the expenses borne by the United States, but they also send a completely inappropriate and hostile signal to a country that has never been a threat and has maintained respect during my presidency." Trump said that since canceling the exercises is now too late, he has "instructed Secretary of War Hergsays to significantly reduce the scale of these joint US-South Korea military exercises." Trump also stated that he recently inquired with the South Korean president whether he would be willing to work with the US to "promote the denuclearization of Iran," but South Korea refused.Conflict Situation: 1. Iran claims US troops have been expelled from the Strait of Hormuz. 2. According to Sky News: Yemeni sources revealed that Yemeni air defense forces responded to a Houthi drone attack over Mocha, Hodeidah province. 3. According to the Jerusalem Post: The Israel Defense Forces killed senior Hezbollah commander Abu Hassan Alaa in a weekend attack on the Deir Zahrani region in southern Lebanon. 4. According to IRNA: The Iranian Army Chief of Staff stated that they are certain the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier was hit at least once by Iranian munitions, rendering all its fighter jets unable to take off for a period of time. Peace Talks: 1. The Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau visited Egypt to discuss the situation in the Gaza Strip. 2. Egyptian President Sisi met with Trumps son-in-law, Jared Kushner, confirming the necessity of resolving the current regional crisis. 3. Inside stories of the US-Iran negotiations were exposed by US media, revealing that the Trump administration bypassed Iranian negotiators to contact the Revolutionary Guard. 4. US media: Kushner met with Hamas leaders in Egypt on Sunday and pressured them to begin fulfilling their commitments to disarm. Kushner is expected to arrive in Israel on Monday and meet with Netanyahu to discuss the "reciprocal measures" Israel needs to take. 5. According to Al Jazeera: Palestinian sources revealed that Kushner has informed the Hamas leadership that Trump believes disarming the various factions is a crucial step before any further action in Gaza. Other matters: 1. Iranian parliament passes anti-infiltration bill. 2. Israels post-war economy recovers rapidly, with Q2 GDP surging 15.4%. 3. Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief: $30,000 reward for capturing or killing US troops. 4. Iran claims three pilots have been detained by Qatar; Qatar denies this. 5. Israeli security sources revealed that the Israeli military is preparing for a possible escalation of the situation in Lebanon. 6. Israeli Defense Minister: We will not leave any unresolved issues on any battlefield; we will do everything in our power to protect our soldiers and citizens. 7. Iranian media Fars News: The Deputy Political Commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that their actions have so far been defensive; however, they may shift to offensive tactics in the future. 8. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that Qatar should allow an Iranian team of experts to investigate the missing pilots disappearance, instead of denying that the pilot was detained. 9. Egypt, Jordan, the UAE, Qatar, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan issued a joint statement condemning Israels rejection of US President Trumps plans for Gaza.On August 17th, local time, US President Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social" on August 16th, welcoming the recent signing of a joint defense agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Trump stated that the agreement demonstrates strengthening unity in the Middle East, enabling countries to defend themselves in a "more effective way." He also congratulated the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, calling the agreement a "bold and important first step."US President Trump: I am unhappy that the United States agreed to conduct joint military exercises with South Korea a long time ago. I have instructed Secretary of War Hergsays to significantly reduce joint military exercises.US President Trump: I am very pleased to see that Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan have finally signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.