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On June 27th, Yu Weining, Chief Statistician of the Industrial Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the industrial enterprise profit data for January-May 2026. Yu stated that profits in the raw materials manufacturing sector grew rapidly. From January to May, profits of enterprises above designated size in the raw materials manufacturing sector increased by 83.1% year-on-year, contributing 10.2 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size. By industry, driven by increased demand from emerging industries such as new energy and artificial intelligence, prices of products such as copper and aluminum remained at high levels, pushing profits in the non-ferrous metals industry to increase by 117.1%, contributing 5.3 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size. Driven by rising prices of products related to the petroleum industry chain, the petroleum processing industry turned a profit year-on-year, and the chemical industry saw a profit increase of 71.6%.On June 27th, Yu Weining, Chief Statistician of the Industrial Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the industrial enterprise profit data for January-May 2026. Yu stated that the profits of high-tech manufacturing maintained double-digit growth. From January to May, the profits of large-scale high-tech manufacturing enterprises increased by 44.7% year-on-year, contributing 8.0 percentage points to the overall profit growth of large-scale industrial enterprises, demonstrating its continued leading role. By industry, the semiconductor industry chain performed well. In electronic device manufacturing, the profits of optoelectronic device manufacturing and semiconductor discrete device manufacturing increased by 53.8% and 40.6% respectively; in electronic component and electronic special material manufacturing, the profits of electronic special material manufacturing and electronic circuit manufacturing increased by 665.4% and 19.7% respectively. The medical equipment and related industries saw rapid profit growth, with the profits of dental equipment and instruments manufacturing and hygiene materials and medical supplies manufacturing increasing by 26.4% and 23.2% respectively.Chinas industrial profits rose 21.1% year-on-year in May, up from 24.70% in the previous month.Chinas year-to-date profits for major industrial enterprises rose 18.8% in May, up from 18.20% in May.On June 27, following the US militarys airstrikes against Iran on June 26, US Vice President Vance stated that if Iran resorts to violence, it will face a military response. Vance posted on social media that day: "Iran signed a ceasefire agreement, and we have honored it. If they have objections to how the memorandum of understanding is being implemented, they can communicate directly by phone. But if violence is used, it will be met with a military response." Earlier on June 26, the US Central Command issued a statement saying that the US military launched strikes against Iran that day in response to the attack on a merchant ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz the previous day.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.

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