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July 27 – According to The Hill, U.S. Senator Bill Cassidy said on Sunday that it “seems unlikely” for Trump to end the war with Iran quickly, and suggested that Trump seek a path to peace from Congress. Cassidy stated, “I do think we need a more comprehensive national discussion about how to move forward. If the president can end this conflict quickly—which seems unlikely, but they still seem to be assuring us that it can be done. Well, that’s fine too.” Cassidy has consistently criticized Trump’s handling of the war, particularly its impact on the cost of living. In May, after failing to retain his Senate seat, Cassidy became one of four Republican senators supporting a war powers resolution that calls for Trump to withdraw U.S. troops deployed in Iran.July 27th - Economists predict that the Bank of England will take a hawkish stance at its meeting this week, but will keep interest rates unchanged, amid renewed Middle East conflict and soaring energy prices. Since the Monetary Policy Committees last meeting in June, the breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement has pushed global oil prices back to around $100 per barrel, and European natural gas prices have surged to their highest level since the beginning of the conflict. Oil prices could rise further if shipping routes in the Gulf region continue to be disrupted. The UK economy performed better than the Monetary Policy Committees expectations at the beginning of the conflict, with GDP growing by 0.7% in the three months to May. Currently, there are few signs that the energy shock will trigger more persistent price pressures. The CPI has been below expectations for three consecutive months, falling to 2.6% in June. Wage growth, a major source of inflationary pressure, has slowed, and food price increases have also declined. Economists say this will allow the Monetary Policy Committee to keep interest rates at 3.75% at Thursdays meeting, while signaling that the committee is prepared to tighten policy if energy prices rise sharply further, or if a one-off price shock begins to evolve into a more persistent problem.Indonesian Cabinet Secretary: Calls on market participants to remain calm during the transition led by the Central Bank of Indonesia.Japans leading economic indicators rose 0.4% month-on-month in May, down from 0.7% in the previous month.Japans May coincident indicator final reading was 117.9, compared to 118.5 in the previous month.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.