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January 16th - With Trump restarting oil business with Venezuela, global attention is turning to the type of crude oil Venezuela possesses. Venezuela boasts the worlds largest proven oil reserves, largely comprised of heavy, high-sulfur crude from the Orinoco Oil Belt in the countrys central region. While the United States has become the worlds highest producer due to a surge in light shale oil drilling, most of its refineries were designed for heavy crude. According to the American Association of Petroleum Refiners (AFPM), nearly 70% of U.S. refining capacity is geared towards heavy crude, a legacy of investments made before the shale oil boom. Shon Hiatt, director of the Energy Business Initiative at the University of Southern California, stated that U.S. refineries will greatly benefit from increased Venezuelan crude exports: "Many refineries along the U.S. coast, particularly in Texas and Louisiana, were designed to process Venezuelan crude. Historically, U.S. companies were among the first to explore, extract, process, and export oil in Venezuela, so coastal refineries were built from the outset for this type of crude." Hiatt also pointed out that due to years of sanctions, Canadian heavy crude has replaced Venezuelan crude in imports. However, if Trump pushes for increased Venezuelan heavy oil exports, Canadian heavy oil could be replaced by cheaper Venezuelan crude.Russian President Vladimir Putin told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Russia is willing to assist in mediating the Iranian issue.Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the Iranian issue.RIA Novosti: Russian troops have taken control of Zakotne in eastern Ukraine.Gold prices fell in early European trading on January 16th after the latest US data showed a decline in jobless claims last week, reducing the likelihood of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut. Weaker demand for safe-haven assets also pressured gold prices as market concerns about impending US military action against Iran subsided. However, gold is still on track for a weekly gain of over 2%, having earlier hit a record high. Meanwhile, silver rose nearly 15% this week despite the Trump administrations temporary suspension of tariffs on key minerals.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.