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Pakistans Finance Minister announced that a subsidy of 100 rupees per liter of gasoline will be provided to motorcycle drivers, with a monthly limit of 20 liters.EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Karas: Iran cannot be allowed to charge countries passage fees.JPMorgan Chase: The base case is that the disruption to cross-strait shipping will eventually be resolved, and oil prices are expected to remain high in the second quarter (above $100 per barrel) and fall in the second half of 2026.JPMorgan Chase: The near-term risk is that oil prices could be pushed to the $120-$130 per barrel range.European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Villeroy said on Thursday that the ECBs next move is likely to be an interest rate hike as the Middle East conflict continues, but it is too early to determine when such a hike will be necessary. The ECB kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2% last month, but outlined several ways the conflicts development could affect the eurozones economic outlook. In an adverse scenario, disruptions to oil and gas transport via the Strait of Hormuz would continue until the end of the second quarter, keeping energy prices high. In this scenario, ECB economists predict average inflation this year will reach 3.5%, well above its 2% target. Villeroy said, "A prolonged conflict is clearly a negative factor. We are closer to a moderately adverse scenario than the baseline scenario. The ECB must remain vigilant as there are signs that inflation expectations are rising."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.

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