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On May 28, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae issued a statement strongly condemning the US military attack on parts of Bandar Abbas in southern Iran early that morning. Baghae stated that this act was a blatant violation of Irans territorial integrity and national sovereignty, and a serious breach of international law and the UN Charter. Baghae pointed out that the UN Security Council has a responsibility to fulfill its legal obligations and hold the US accountable.On May 28th, according to Investinglive, gold prices fell to a two-month low this week due to a lack of substantial progress on the US-Iran issue and the risk of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Despite market expectations of an imminent agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, no official confirmation has been released. Currently, there is only a lot of noise and rumors. Furthermore, in the past few days, both the US and Iran have conducted limited military strikes, but the US continues to maintain that the ceasefire agreement remains in effect. Regarding the Federal Reserve, a growing number of policymakers are now advocating abandoning the dovish bias, so we can expect this to happen at the June FOMC meeting. Moreover, if there are no changes in the US-Iran situation before then, with persistently high inflation and resilient US data, the market may see a hawkish surprise. In the short term, if the situation is resolved and the Strait reopens, lower oil prices and rising expectations of interest rate cuts may support gold prices. However, if the Strait remains closed for a longer period and oil prices remain high, the risk of the Federal Reserve being forced to raise interest rates will increase.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: Iran expresses solidarity with Oman following “threats from U.S. officials.”According to RIA Novosti, the head of Russias Foreign Intelligence Service stated that the European Union is accelerating its military buildup and is evolving into a military alliance against Russia.On May 28th, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated on Thursday that governments may be inclined to strengthen control over monetary authorities, making the maintenance of central bank independence even more crucial amidst an increasingly challenging global order. Lagarde said, "In an increasingly difficult world, the challenge is no longer just maintaining legal independence, but more importantly, maintaining the credibility needed to exercise that independence." "History has taught us a very clear lesson: building trust takes a long time, but losing it takes only a moment." Lagarde noted that over the past decade, the "de facto independence" of central banks in nearly half of the countries representing approximately 75% of global GDP has deteriorated. She also emphasized that policymakers face an increasingly unfavorable environment, including more frequent supply shocks, rising fiscal pressures, and declining public trust in public institutions. In this context, credibility earned through action is becoming increasingly decisive.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Struggle

Alice Wang

Jul 15, 2022 15:54

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the ongoing pessimism, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. At this time, it seems as if the market is prepared to go further, maybe attempting to approach the most recent lows at the 3637 level. In the end, this market should continue to see a lot of agitated behavior. I believe that fading rallies will remain a significant problem. The 50 Day EMA is now hanging in the general vicinity of the 3950 level, which serves as the ceiling at this time.


Ultimately, your indication to become engaged will be when you start to feel exhausted after brief rallies. Given the lack of global growth and the fact that inflation is still a problem, I do believe the downward trend will continue. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is rapidly tightening monetary policy, and as a result, a 100 basis point interest rate rise is being predicted. Due to the fact that the S&P 500 contains so many significant exporters, it is extremely probable that we will continue to see significant problems with the global economy.


In the end, a running season is approaching, so there could be some "hopium" waiting to happen, but after hearing J.P. Morgan declare, "We have never seen an economic scenario like this," during its results presentation, I don't think this earnings season will be cause for celebration. After a rally, I will suppress any indications of tiredness.