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Luxury brand Burberrys European shares rose more than 10%, marking the biggest intraday gain in more than a month.Market news: Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishibas economic advisory panel called for a $400 billion investment to boost productivity at small companies.Futures News on May 14, todays container shipping index rose across the board, and the positive trend of the macro economy continued. The main EC2506 contract closed at the daily limit, and the EC2508 contract also hit the daily limit during the session. The positive sentiment in the shipping trade market has concentrated and become an important factor in promoting the European container shipping futures market. From the actual situation, with the improvement of Sino-US economic and trade cooperation, the market expects that the pressure on the allocation of capacity on the European line will be alleviated after the rebound of cargo volume on the US line. However, some industry insiders have also suggested that if there is a large-scale rush to transport on the US line, shipping companies may withdraw capacity from the European line, aggravating the tension on the supply side of the European line, and then pushing up the freight rates on the European line. Under the superposition of multiple positive expectations, the current 06 and 08 near-month contracts show strong upward momentum. Overall, the fundamentals of the European container shipping market are currently weak. In the future, we need to focus on the trend of the actual loading rate of ships and the capacity optimization measures of the shipping companies, which will give the market an upward momentum in the short-term sentiment.1. Ceasefire or negotiation first? Ukraine and its Western allies insisted that an "unconditional 30-day comprehensive ceasefire" should be achieved before negotiations. However, Russia believed that a ceasefire would provide time for Ukraine to receive military aid from Western countries and rejected the proposal for an unconditional ceasefire for 30 days. Putin then proposed that Russia and Ukraine negotiate directly without preconditions. 2. Territorial disputes Ukraine refused to recognize Russias ownership of the four eastern Ukrainian territories (Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia, Kherson) and the Crimean Peninsula; while Russia demanded that Ukraine recognize the new territorial reality. 3. Joining the alliance and security guarantees Russia demanded that Ukraine give up joining NATO, significantly reduce its military, give up long-range weapons, and that the West stop military aid to Ukraine after the ceasefire. However, Ukraine insisted on joining NATO and hoped to receive strong security guarantees. 4. Deployment of international forces Kellogg, Trumps special envoy for Russia-Ukraine affairs, said Ukraine proposed that the Russian and Ukrainian troops each withdraw 15 kilometers (9 miles) and establish a demilitarized zone with international forces stationed west of the Dnieper River as a deterrent. Russia said it would not accept international troops entering Ukraine. 5. Format of the talks and participants Zelensky insisted on negotiating only with Putin and refused to talk to "a delegation that has no right to decide war and peace." It is still unclear whether Putin will attend, and the configuration of Russian negotiators has not been confirmed. Trump, who is currently visiting the Middle East, said he considered flying to "Türkiye", but did not make it clear whether he would attend. On May 14, Fed Governor Goolsbee said on Wednesday that data showing mild consumer inflation in April did not necessarily reflect the impact of rising U.S. import tariffs, and the Fed still needed more data to understand the direction of prices and the economy. Goolsbee said, "There is sometimes a lot of dust in the air, and we hear a lot of noise... We are trying to find that main line."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Look Threatened

Alice Wang

Sep 01, 2022 15:00

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 fluctuated wildly throughout the trading day on Wednesday, but because the employment report is due on Friday, I anticipate that things will settle down a little. Having said that, I don't believe that the market is one in which you need necessarily take a lot of risk. After all, it wouldn't be long until some kind of news sent this market into a tailspin once again.


Of course, the S&P 500 will be watching to see what the Federal Reserve decides to do in response to the employment report. However, despite the fact that many traders are attempting to figure out how to get to that point, I honestly don't believe that there is a scenario in which the Federal Reserve loosens its monetary policy.


The market will then have to accept that the Federal Reserve will continue to remain tight since there is so much inflationary pressure. However, I believe that this market still has room to grow, therefore we may retest the bottom. People worried that the Fed would have to tighten policy will benefit if the employment data are very strong.


On the other hand, if Friday's employment report turns out to be somewhat weak, some would cite that as justification for the Fed to halt quantitative tightening sooner rather than later. Of course, it's a pipe dream, but that's what the market will attempt to infer. Thursday is probably going to be a pretty choppy and quiet day.