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August 26th - US inflation unexpectedly remained unchanged in July, marking the 65th consecutive month significantly above the Federal Reserves 2% target. The recent decline in inflation after reaching high levels, influenced by the Iran war, has stalled, potentially exacerbating tensions within the Federal Reserve regarding whether to raise or maintain interest rates. Data released Wednesday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Feds preferred indicator, the US PCE price index, rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, unchanged from June, compared to analysts expectations of 3.6%. With trade negotiations between the US and its second-largest trading partner, Canada, breaking down on Friday, a new round of tariff-driven inflationary pressures may be imminent. On a month-on-month basis, the PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, also exceeding economists expectations. In June, the index fell 0.1% month-on-month, the lowest level since April 2020. The Bureau of Economic Analysis also updated its second-quarter economic growth data, maintaining the annualized growth rate of US real GDP at 1.5%.August 26th - Market pricing indicates a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month. This follows data released by the US government showing that the Feds key inflation gauge rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly higher than economists expectations. Interest rate futures data shows that after the data release, the market expects a 42% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, up from approximately 36% before the data release.On August 26th, Alibabas Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model. This is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview version of the Qwen4 architecture. The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at only $0.16 per 1 million input tokens and $0.47 per 1 million output tokens. The model boasts 125 billion parameters + 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but each token only activates 6 billion parameters, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine will send two additional troops to reinforce the Donetsk front.U.S. short-term interest rate futures pared earlier gains slightly after the release of U.S. economic data.

NASDAQ Composites Falls for Fifth-Straight Sessions on Weak Chip Sector, Interest Rate Fears

Cory Russell

Sep 02, 2022 14:45



After being instructed to cease shipping AI chips to China, Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices saw their stock prices plummet.


The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite is down for the sixth consecutive day as chipmakers fell, driven by a decline in Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices shares after the United States banned the shipment of some of the most advanced AI devices to China.


The index declined at the start of the cash market, but the selling pressure subsided as U.S. economic data revealed a further easing of pricing pressures. Manufacturing, however, expanded briskly in August as a result of a comeback in employment and new orders.


The NASDAQ Composite is down 31.08 points or -0.26% at 11785.13 as of 18:12 GMT. At $299.43, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) is up $0.16 or 0.05%.


The latest sell-off started last Friday as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the institution will continue aggressively hiking rates to combat inflation even after two straight increases of 75 basis points. Other Fed officials have since mirrored Powell's remarks.


Near session's end, traders projected a 74.0% possibility of a third consecutive 75 basis point rate rise in September, with a high of around 3.993% expected in March 2023.

After US Restrictions, Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices Sink in the Chip Sector China Sales

After Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices claimed that U.S. authorities had instructed companies to cease shipping cutting-edge processors for artificial intelligence to China, U.S. chip stocks fell on Thursday, with the major semiconductor index down more than 3%, according to Reuters.


While smaller competitor AMD's price dropped over 6%, Nvidia's stock plunged 11%, on pace for its largest one-day percentage decline since 2020.


Nvidia said in a filing on Wednesday that the limited shipments to China of two of its top artificial intelligence computer chips, the H100 and A100, might affect $400 million in potential sales to China in the current fiscal quarter.


However, AMD does not think the new regulations would have a significant effect on its company. AMD also claimed that American authorities instructed it to halt selling its top artificial intelligence processor to China.


Economic data that is strong supports the Fed's plan to raise rates quickly.


According to a government survey, fewer Americans than usual filed new unemployment benefit claims last week, which is consistent with the high demand for employees and the tight job market circumstances.


In other developments, statistics from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed that American manufacturing expanded gradually in August as employment and new orders increased. Meanwhile, predictions that inflation has likely peaked were supported by a further easing of pricing pressures.

Looking Forward

Investors are now waiting for Friday's monthly nonfarm payrolls report for further labor market data. According to Reuters' survey of economists, there will be a 300,000 rise in employment. However, Wells Fargo economist Jay Bryson increased his projection for nonfarm payrolls from 325,000 to 375,000, while Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner anticipates August payrolls of 350,000.

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