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On July 9th, InvestingLive analyst Adam Button stated that the Federal Reserves June meeting minutes released a hawkish signal, indicating that officials remain highly concerned about inflation risks. Button believes the Feds policy focus is shifting, with market attention moving from "when to cut rates" to "whether to raise rates." The minutes showed that some officials expect interest rates to be higher than current levels by the end of the year. He also pointed out that core inflationary pressures in the US remain significant, with rising prices in areas such as airfares and petrochemicals suggesting that inflation is not entirely driven by short-term factors. Overall, there is increasing disagreement within the Fed regarding the future path of interest rates, but high inflation remains a key factor influencing policy direction.July 9th - Federal Reserve meeting minutes revealed that policymakers still expect "real GDP to maintain solid growth" for the remainder of 2026. They also noted that multiple employment indicators suggest the labor market remains stable and does not appear to be a source of inflationary pressures. The June 17th statement was shorter than those released after recent meetings, foreshadowing action from Warsh, who has pledged to radically change the Feds communication strategy. The minutes showed that several officials agreed it was time to consider significant revisions to the post-meeting statement.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: Lifting sanctions on Syria will open the door to international trade and investment and give Syria an opportunity to rebuild.July 9th - The minutes of the Federal Reserves June policy meeting revealed a significant divergence of opinion among officials regarding the future direction of interest rates. Some policymakers believed inflation might ease, creating conditions for a rate cut; others were concerned about persistent price pressures and thought a rate hike might be necessary. At the meeting held on June 16-17, the Fed unanimously decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 3.5% to 3.75%. However, discussions showed differing opinions among policymakers regarding the year-end interest rate level. Some officials believed that the rate might be close to or even slightly lower than current levels by the end of the year; others believed that rates might need to be higher than current levels. The Fed stated that future policy will be adjusted based on economic data such as inflation and employment.July 9th - The Federal Reserve meeting minutes stated, "Most participants emphasized that if inflation remains above 2% for several consecutive years, persistently high inflation could begin to affect inflation expectations and wage and price setting decisions." Fed officials also indicated that their inflation forecasts for this year and next are higher than those set at the April meeting, again demonstrating concerns about inflation. Staff predict that core inflation, already above 3%, will remain largely unchanged for the remainder of the year.

S&P 500 Drops 2.7% As Tech Stocks Slide After Micron’s Report

Lorna Divakar

Dec 23, 2022 16:10

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Market Technical Analysis for Silver

The price of silver has slightly declined during Thursday's trading session as it seems that the resistance level above $24 will remain challenging to breach. The market may not have abruptly turned negative as a result, though; it's simply possible that we got ahead of ourselves in the near term. With that movement, it seems that we may be attempting to define a new trading range, with the $23 level serving as potentially a little bottom. It's feasible that we could descend below the $22 level, where it gapped, if we break down below there.


It is important to note that the 50-Day EMA is also close to the $22 level, which may be sufficient evidence that it acts as a little floor. I'm not really worried that we will make that move at this moment, but any move below there opens up substantial selling. After all, silver seems to be in great shape, so it seems natural that we would ultimately go to the $25 level. Remember that the Christmas season will result in very illiquid market circumstances, so it is not unexpected that some profit-taking is occurring. After all, why would you want to risk a lot of money at this time?


Longer term, it seems that silver will continue to get a little premium, but I also think that volatility will likely increase going forward. After all, a lot of "hot money" will be pursuing this market, so ultimately anticipate major swings.