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S&P 500 Analysis: Santa Rally Coming to Town?

Eric Stanberg

Dec 23, 2022 16:20

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A Santa Rally is what?

Market analysts sometimes use the phrase "Santa Rally" to refer to either the full month of December or a much longer time frame.


The last week of December and the first two trading days of the new year are really referred to by this phrase. Markets gain value at that point.


According to research, the S&P 500 has seen a positive return over this particular 7-day span 79% of the time. No other comparable time frame has a greater likelihood of being higher.


It goes without saying that seasonality and calendar theories are not a certain technique to generate money since it is difficult to foresee the market conditions in any particular year.


However, the January impact, in which institutional investors put up positions for the next weeks as they get ready for the new year, may also be advantageous.


These kinds of investors could also rearrange their portfolios in order to close out losses from tax losses in December and then buy again in January.