• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On September 17th, Robert Sorkin, chief U.S. economist at PGIM, stated that the latest Federal Reserve meeting signaled that the Fed could implement three rate hikes, or even more if necessary, with just a slight push. This rate hike was hawkish, signaling another rate hike this year. Of the 18 Fed officials who submitted forecasts, eight expect three rate hikes in this cycle by the end of 2027. In a report, Sorkin noted that Fed Chairman Warshs mention of the Fed "withdrawing some easing measures" suggested that he and other participants viewed Wednesdays action as merely a small step towards tightening financial conditions, implying further action is possible. Sorkin added that the risk of further Fed rate hikes remains high if inflation continues to be high.On September 17th, Futures News reported that Zhang Guoqing, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, stated in his concluding remarks that it is essential to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important instructions and the requirements of Premier Li Qiangs speech, and to earnestly enhance the sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in developing advanced manufacturing. He emphasized the need to focus on key areas and crucial aspects, deeply implement the high-quality development action plan for key industrial chains, vigorously develop next-generation intelligent manufacturing, accelerate the upgrading and integrated development of the industrial system, and solidly promote the implementation of various tasks. He also stressed the importance of better leveraging the role of market mechanisms, accelerating the construction of a high-quality standard system, continuously rectifying disorderly and irrational competition, actively helping enterprises solve practical difficulties, and striving to create a favorable ecosystem for the development of advanced manufacturing.On September 17, the Pakistani Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the evening of the 16th, saying that Pakistan summoned the Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Indian High Commission in Pakistan that day to lodge a strong protest against the "highly provocative and unacceptable behavior" taken by an Indian Navy vessel in Pakistans Exclusive Economic Zone on the 15th. The statement said that during the Pakistani Navys biennial routine exercises, the Indian warship took provocative actions at extremely close range towards a Pakistani warship, resulting in a contact between the two vessels. This action seriously violated the relevant agreements signed by both sides and could escalate regional tensions. The statement urged India to strictly abide by international law and bilateral agreements, especially those aimed at preventing maritime conflicts. The Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Pakistani High Commission in India will lodge the same protest with the Indian Ministry of External Affairs.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: No comment on the Bank of Japans policy.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The Bank of Japan is expected to work closely with the government to implement appropriate monetary policy in order to achieve the 2% price target.

Rupiah Rebounds Again Above $14,500 Amid Disappointing Indonesia Retail Sales

Alina Haynes

Jun 10, 2022 14:20

截屏2022-06-10 下午2.22.38.png


USD/IDR pares weekly gains at $14,570 despite Indonesia Retail Sales falling in April, according to Friday's data. The current weakening in the Indonesia Rupiah (IDR) pair may be attributable to the broad dollar retreat ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May.

 

According to the most recent report from Bank Indonesia, the nation's Retail Sales slowed to 8.5% in April, down from 9.3% in the previous report.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) pares its largest daily advances in a week due to apprehension around the release of vital inflation data.

 

Notably, however, fresh covid worries in China owing to the restoration of activity limitations in Shanghai and Beijing threaten Asian market mood. "Only ten days after a citywide lockdown was lifted, Shanghai's citizens will be subjected to an unexpected round of COVID-19 testing this weekend, unnerving locals and increasing fears about the impact on business," said Reuters.

 

On a larger scale, growing worries of faster/heavier rate rises and their negative economic ramifications appear to be weighing on the performance of the market as of late. Among the additional reasons that challenge the USD/IDR bears are the escalating fears about inflation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

 

Moving forward, it will be crucial to monitor the US CPI, which is anticipated to remain unchanged at roughly 8.5% YoY, since the White House has previously predicted a higher number, which might remember USD/IDR bulls.

 

Technical Evaluation

 

Despite the most recent dip, USD/IDR maintains the early week's comeback from the 100-day simple moving average (about $14,420 at press time), which keeps purchasers optimistic.