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On January 5th, Hong Kong stocks closed with the Hang Seng Index up 0.03% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.09%. The total turnover of the Hang Seng Index reached HK$283.462 billion. On the sector front, short video concept stocks strengthened throughout the day, with Kuaishou (01024.HK) rising over 11% and Bilibili (09626.HK) rising over 5%. Mainland property stocks were active, with Ronshine China (03301.HK) and Greentown China (03900.HK) rising over 6%. Pharmaceutical outsourcing concept stocks collectively strengthened, with Joinn Laboratories (06127.HK) rising over 13% and Tigermed (03347.HK) rising over 6%. On the downside, commercial aerospace stocks collectively declined, with Goldwind Technology (02208.HK) falling over 8% and Asia Pacific Satellite (01045.HK) falling over 6%. Automotive stocks weakened throughout the day, with Great Wall Motor (02333.HK) falling more than 6% and NIO (09866.HK) falling nearly 6%.The Hang Seng Index closed up 8.77 points, or 0.03%, at 26,347.24 on Monday, January 5; the Hang Seng Tech Index closed up 5.19 points, or 0.09%, at 5,741.63 on Monday, January 5; the H-share Index closed down 20.52 points, or 0.22%, at 9,148.47 on Monday, January 5; and the Red Chip Index closed up 2.83 points, or 0.07%, at 4,086.74 on Monday, January 5.Hong Kong stocks closed higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.03% and the Tech Index up 0.09%. Kuaishou (01024.HK) surged over 11%, NIO (09866.HK) fell about 6%, and XPeng (09868.HK) dropped over 4%.On January 5, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian held a regular press conference. A reporter asked about Trumps "threats" to Cuba and other countries. In response, Lin Jian stated that China firmly supports the status of the Latin American and Caribbean Zone of Peace, opposes any actions that violate the purposes and principles of the UN Charter or infringe upon the sovereignty and security of other countries, opposes the use or threat of force in international relations, and opposes external forces interfering in the internal affairs of Latin American countries under any pretext.Spains unemployment rate fell 0.67% month-on-month in December, compared with a previous reading of -0.77%.

Rabobank forecasts that USD/JPY will hit 135 before readjusting to the 132-130 region later in the year

Daniel Rogers

Jun 13, 2022 15:34

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Inflation rates in the United States exceeded all forecasts. Rabobank economists anticipate that the USD/JPY pair will rise to 135 in the near future before falling to the area of 132-30 later in 2022.

USD/JPY is largely dependent on the forecast for US rates

The strength of the US inflation report for May raises the prospect for further USD/JPY rises over the next one to three months to 135. This presupposes that the Bank of Japan will retain its present loose monetary policy at its June meeting, which looks quite probable."

 

"We continue to be skeptical about the prospect of genuine FX intervention, since this would directly contradict the BoJ's monetary policy." It would also violate the commitment Japan has maintained for years as a member of the G7 to let the market determine currency rates."

 

We anticipate that lower US rates will let USD/JPY to return to the range between 132 and 130 later in the year.