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According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Guangzhou Penghui Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.U.S. silver mining stocks fell, with Hecla Mining (HL.N) down 9%, Cordair Mining (CDE.N) down 8.6%, Silvercorp Metals (SVM.A) down 8.7%, and Endeavour Silver (EXK.N) down 8.1%.Micron Technology (MU.O) rose more than 3%, bringing its monthly gain to over 57%, and its market capitalization surpassed $500 billion for the first time.On January 30th, Trump turned the selection process for the Federal Reserve Chair into a game show, with Kevin Warshs ultimate victory being arguably the most unexpected choice. This decision is bound to exacerbate market volatility and may displease all parties, including Trump himself. This nomination will first trigger a strong cognitive conflict on Wall Street and in policy circles. Although Trump promised to choose a Fed Chair capable of implementing loose monetary policy, Warsh has always been considered a hawk. This background will make it difficult for Warsh to build credibility. If he chooses to cut interest rates, the market will see him as abandoning principles and submitting to Trumps puppet; if he maintains high interest rates for too long, he will inevitably clash with Trump quickly, which in itself will trigger market volatility. Before Powells term ends, Warshs "shadow term" has already begun, potentially leading to confused policy signals and market misinterpretations. Intriguingly, Warshs victory seems to stem from a "survivors logic." When the Trump team lost interest in Hassett, he became the only remaining option. Until December of last year, Hassett was still the top favorite in the forecasting market, but concerns that his nomination could drive up bond term premiums, coupled with warnings from Wall Street executives that someone too close to the president should not be in charge of an independent central bank, eventually changed the situation.On January 30th, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the current interest rate range is 3.50%-3.75%, and monetary policy should be closer to a neutral level, which he believes is around 3%. Despite robust economic growth, the labor market remains weak. Waller expects last years weak employment data to be revised downwards, reflecting near-zero job growth in 2025. He stated that he has heard of several companies planning layoffs in 2026, and therefore is quite skeptical about job growth, warning of a significant risk of a sharp deterioration in employment. Regarding inflation, Waller pointed out that the inflation rate excluding tariffs is close to the Feds 2% target and is on track to reach it. Although inflation has risen due to tariffs, he believes that given that inflation expectations have stabilized, monetary policy should ignore these temporary effects. Waller voted against a 25 basis point rate cut at this weeks meeting, arguing that current policy is still excessively suppressing economic activity.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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