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WTI crude oil fell below $96 per barrel, down 7.37% on the day.On May 6th, according to Axios, two US officials and sources familiar with the matter revealed that the White House believes it is close to reaching an agreement with Iran on a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war and establish a framework for more detailed nuclear negotiations. The US is expected to receive a response from Iran on several key issues within the next 48 hours. Sources say this is the closest the two sides have come to an agreement since the outbreak of the war. Under part of the agreement, Iran would commit to suspending uranium enrichment activities, while the US would agree to lift sanctions on Iran and release billions of dollars in frozen Iranian funds. The two sides would also lift restrictions on passage through the Strait of Hormuz. This one-page, 14-article memorandum of understanding is being negotiated by Trumps special envoys Witkov and Kushner with several Iranian officials through both direct contact and mediation. The current version of the memorandum would declare an end to the regional war and initiate a 30-day negotiation period to reach a detailed agreement that includes opening the Strait, limiting Irans nuclear program, and lifting US sanctions. These negotiations may take place in Islamabad or Geneva. A US official stated that during these 30 days, Iranian restrictions on shipping through the Strait and the US naval blockade would be gradually lifted. If negotiations break down, the U.S. military will be able to reinstate the blockade or resume military operations.U.S. stock index futures rallied briefly, with Dow Jones futures up 0.65%, S&P 500 futures up 0.61%, and Nasdaq 100 futures up 1.11%.May 6th - British businesses raised prices at their fastest pace in over three years, attempting to pass on soaring raw material and energy costs to consumers, despite a still-sluggish overall economic backdrop. A S&P Global survey of the private sector showed that six out of ten companies felt increased cost burdens in April, citing rising fuel and wage costs, as well as rising metal and plastic prices. Output price inflation rose to its highest level since January 2023. Many businesses said they were offsetting input costs by imposing fuel surcharges, with current input cost growth at its fastest pace since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Bank of England Governor Bailey had previously noted that weak pricing power could help curb a second round of inflation triggered by soaring energy prices. However, the PMI survey showed that many businesses have successfully maintained price increases, increasing the risk of a vicious cycle where wages and prices push each other higher. S&Ps overall PMI for April was slightly better than the initial reading. The composite PMI rose to 52.6 in April from 50.3 in March, higher than the initial reading of 52.The Eurozones March PPI month-on-month rate will be released in ten minutes.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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