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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: I thank the Bahrainian Minister of Finance and Economy for his coordination in the “economic isolation” action. We will continue to work closely with President Trump to defend the integrity of the global financial system and weaken the threat posed by the Iranian regime.On August 26th, Australias second-largest superannuation fund established its largest overweight position in the yen in years, betting that the market is underestimating the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike. Jimmy Louca, senior portfolio manager at the Australian Superannuation Trust, which manages approximately A$370 billion (US$265 billion) in retirement savings, said the fund has been increasing this position over the past six months as the yen weakened to near 160 against the US dollar. This is a rare bullish bet on the yen at a time when many investors are looking to sell it. Louca believes the markets sell-off of the yen is only partly correct—the drag from rising energy prices has already been priced in—but the likelihood of a BOJ rate hike appears to be underestimated. "A reversal of either of these factors should support the yen," he said. He believes the BOJ may raise rates next month and signal two more hikes thereafter. "If they largely deliver on those moves, I think Japanese government bond yields could rise further."On August 26th, the "Work Plan for Strengthening the Cross-Regional Quality Chain of Brain-Computer Interfaces in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region" was issued. It emphasizes strengthening research on common quality technologies. Support will be provided to leading enterprises, universities, research institutes, and medical institutions to conduct quality improvement activities, and joint efforts in quality technology research are encouraged. Common quality pain points will be identified, and landmark projects for strengthening the brain-computer interface quality chain will be promoted. Focusing on key aspects of brain-computer interfaces, such as neural signal acquisition, decoding, control, and feedback, and centering on EEG signal perception and acquisition, human-computer interaction technology, and typical application scenarios of brain-computer interfaces, breakthroughs and practical applications of common quality technologies such as novel dry electrodes, flexible electrodes, brain-computer interface signal acquisition chips, computational decoding chips, integrated whole-machine acquisition systems, and high-performance real-time decoding algorithms will be promoted.On August 26, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," introducing the relevant situation regarding the all-out efforts to implement the 15th Five-Year Plan and accelerate the promotion of new industrialization. Liu Yulin, Director of the Information and Communication Development Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated that efforts will be made to promote the construction of the open-source ecosystem, incubate a number of vibrant open-source projects, especially in the field of artificial intelligence, which will continue to exert its influence, allowing more entities to enjoy the benefits of open-source technology. At the same time, support will be given to high-quality projects such as open-source operating systems and open-source datasets, enabling them to be implemented in more manufacturing scenarios. Strengthening the training of open-source talent will enable more people to understand, use, and utilize open source, fostering a positive atmosphere of co-creation and sharing. A more relaxed and friendly development environment will be created for entrepreneurs and developers in terms of data resources, tools, and application scenarios.On August 26th, international oil prices opened lower. Sources from the Pakistani military and Iranian security services told Sputnik News that the US and Iran had reached an agreement on the terms of a ceasefire, which includes freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. The sources indicated that both sides are expected to release related information in the coming days. According to the Islamabad memorandum, negotiations and a new round of technical meetings will commence. Market focus: The market is watching the developments in the US-Iran situation; media reports indicate that the US and Iran will reach an agreement; Iran and Oman plan to establish a safe maritime passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil Extends Comeback As Markets Anticipate Demand Growth in 2023

Skylar Williams

Dec 20, 2022 11:22

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Oil prices extended gains for a second straight day on Tuesday as investors bet that a Chinese reopening, U.S. buying, and a potentially colder-than-anticipated winter will push a demand recovery through 2023, despite heightened fears of a worldwide recession.


As China began easing COVID-related restrictions on travel and economic activities, optimism for China's reopening was the primary catalyst for the current crude oil recovery rise.


However, this was mostly tempered by an increase in illnesses, which analysts warn could postpone the country's full reopening.


Nonetheless, a number of Chinese government officials, including President Xi Jinping, have committed to boost economic growth from epidemic lows and substantially increase transport demand.


Early road and aviation traffic indicators from the country indicate that transport demand has rebounded strongly in the first few weeks since the reopening, which bodes well for the future need for petroleum.


Brent oil futures traded in London increased 0.7% to $80.66 per barrel by 21:40 ET, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 0.9% to $76.30 per barrel (02:40 GMT). The value of both contracts has rebounded significantly from a one-year low reached earlier this month.


In addition to President Joe Biden's pledge to begin refilling the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve the next year, the potential of rising demand in 2023 helped markets. Beginning in February, the U.S. will purchase 3 million barrels to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.


Indications of a colder-than-anticipated winter have increased hopes that crude oil demand will increase in the near future, particularly for heating purposes. Recent projections from the International Energy Agency also indicate that petroleum demand will remain high in 2023.


Nonetheless, mounting predictions of a recession in 2023 have recently clouded the picture for crude markets. Analysts have cautioned that rising interest rates and high inflation could further depress economic activity in the coming months, thereby weighing on crude oil demand.


Fears of such a scenario have impacted hard on oil prices in recent weeks, particularly after several major central banks stated that they will continue to raise interest rates despite the worsening economic outlook.


As a result of the fact that a stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive, the currency's rebound also curbed oil price advances.