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JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for HP (HPQ.N) from $22 to $26. 1. According to Xinhua News Agency, the Public Relations Department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on the 28th, stating that the US military launched an airstrike on a location on the outskirts of Bandar Abbas in the early hours of the day, and subsequently the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched an attack on the US air base that carried out the attack. 2. Rio Tinto plans to restart Line 4 of its Tiwai Point Aluminum Smelter (NZAS) in New Zealand and has signed a letter of intent for a power purchase agreement with Contact Energy. If the agreement proceeds smoothly, the line is expected to resume operation in 2030. The line has been shut down since 2020, and restarting it is expected to add approximately 30,000 tons of primary aluminum production annually. 3. According to foreign media reports, the Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture is accelerating the identification of "potential farmers and plots" (CPCLs) in its 2026 sugarcane planting and downstream industry development plan to achieve the development target of 97,970 hectares of sugarcane planting area across 11 provinces nationwide. 4. Chicago Federal Reserve President John Goolsby further reinforced his warning on Thursday: Rising market expectations of artificial intelligences productivity-boosting potential could push up inflation and force the Fed and other central banks to raise interest rates. Goolsby stated, "The stronger the hype surrounding future productivity, the higher interest rates may need to be to prevent the economy from overheating. More importantly, short-term supply shocks—whether from oil prices, supply chain disruptions, or other factors—will exacerbate the problem." 5. Liu Haoling, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated that the CSRC will resolutely implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, continuously deepen the comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing, and systematically plan and launch more powerful reform and opening-up measures to address the "variables" of the international environment with the "constant" of coordinated development and win-win cooperation. 6. On May 27, the temperature index for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the Yangtze River Delta was officially released in Guangzhou. The Guangzhou Futures Exchange stated that it will adhere to open collaboration and deepen cross-border cooperation, based on my countrys climate characteristics and industrial realities, accelerate the research and development of weather derivatives such as temperature index futures and options urgently needed by the market, and promote weather risk management from pilot exploration to normalized and standardized services. 7. According to Xinhua News Agency, Irans Tasnim News Agency, citing a military source, reported on the 28th that a few hours earlier, a US oil tanker attempted to disable its radar system while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. However, due to the swift and decisive action of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, which opened fire on it, the tanker was forced to stop and turn back. 8. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, citing a military source, US troops opened fire in the Hormuz port area near the Strait of Hormuz, after a standoff between the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and a US oil tanker attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. There are currently no reports of casualties or damage. 9. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated in a report that global investment in natural gas projects is expected to grow by more than 10% this year, reaching $330 billion, the highest level in 10 years; while upstream oil investment will decline for the third consecutive year. As the Iranian war disrupts global energy markets, energy companies are accelerating investments in other regions and increasing spending on renewable energy, liquefied natural gas, and coal to strengthen supply security.On May 28th, the Ministry of Natural Resources held its regular May press conference, releasing and interpreting the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the High-Quality Development of Marine Drugs and Functional Products." Wang Xiaoyang, Deputy Director of the Consumer Goods Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated that the Ministry is currently working on the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Pharmaceutical Industry," outlining plans to accelerate the development of "innovative pharmaceuticals," "inclusive pharmaceuticals," "digital pharmaceuticals," and "open pharmaceuticals." The plan will include marine drugs and functional products as key development areas, further clarifying development directions and detailing development tasks through improved top-level design, providing clear guidance for the high-quality development of the industry.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 2.9 earthquake occurred at 12:07 on May 28 in Ningnan County, Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province (27.20 degrees north latitude, 102.62 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Israel Defense Forces: In the past two days, IDF soldiers, acting on intelligence from the Israel Security Service, arrested five terrorists in three targeted counter-terrorism operations in the Judea-Samaria district.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.