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February 9th - The overnight SHIBOR was 1.2700%, down 0.70 basis points; the 7-day SHIBOR was 1.5050%, up 7.00 basis points; the 14-day SHIBOR was 1.5840%, up 8.00 basis points; the 1-month SHIBOR was 1.5500%, unchanged from the previous trading day; and the 3-month SHIBOR was 1.5800%, unchanged from the previous trading day.On February 9th, NIO founder, chairman, and CEO William Li announced plans to build 1,000 new battery swapping stations by 2026, increasing the number of "scenic charging routes" to 100. Following the completion of the G318 Sichuan-Tibet and Yunnan-Tibet battery swapping routes last year, the Silk Road battery swapping route will be opened this year. Furthermore, large-scale construction of the fifth-generation battery swapping stations will begin this year.February 9th - BNP Paribas economists stated that the ruling Liberal Democratic Partys (LDP) victory in the general election is expected to further strengthen its stringent economic policies. Their research report noted, "While there are still cautious opinions within the LDP regarding a consumption tax cut, the likelihood of its implementation has significantly increased given the election results." Analysts believe that considering the Prime Ministers public commitment to implementing the consumption tax cut by fiscal year 2026 and his overwhelming victory, the government is likely to accelerate the implementation of this measure while remaining focused on market stability. The report also pointed out that the LDPs victory could make it easier for the Takashimakata municipal government to push through the increased defense spending requested by the United States.On February 9th, Bank of America Securities issued a report stating that Meitu (01357.HK) expects its non-GAAP adjusted net profit for last year to grow by 60% to 66%, to RMB 938 million to RMB 973 million, with a median growth of 63% to RMB 955 million, slightly higher than market expectations and Bank of Americas forecast by 1%. This is mainly driven by two factors: rapid growth in product revenue and operating leverage. Bank of America Securities maintains its "Buy" rating on Meitu with a target price of HKD 11.3, based on the strong profit expansion driven by the increase in the proportion of paying users and operating leverage.On February 9th, Daiwa Securities issued a report stating that Yum China (09987.HK)s fourth-quarter results for 2025 exceeded expectations. KFCs same-store sales growth was better than anticipated, and the price increase for delivery channels in January indicated a recovery in consumer confidence and a more rational pricing trend in the industry. The report noted that Yum Chinas management forecasts a slight year-on-year increase in operating profit margin for 2026, but with improved competition in the Chinese market, further room for profit margins to exceed market expectations is anticipated. Daiwa reiterated its "Buy" rating on Yum China and raised its target price from HK$450 to HK$520.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.