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April 24 – A survey released Friday showed that U.S. consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in nearly four years in April, impacted by inflation concerns stemming from the escalating conflict with Iran. The University of Michigans Consumer Survey Center reported a final reading of 49.8 for the month, the lowest level since June 2022. However, this figure is a slight improvement from 47.6 reported earlier this month. The index was 53.3 in March. "Consumer confidence has recovered some of the losses from the beginning of the month after the announcement of a two-week ceasefire and a slight drop in gasoline prices," said Joanne Hsu, director of the Consumer Survey Center. "The conflict with Iran appears to be primarily affecting consumer sentiment by impacting gasoline prices and other potential prices. In contrast, military and diplomatic developments that fail to ease supply constraints or lower energy prices are unlikely to boost consumer confidence."Following Washington, D.C. Attorney General Piros announcement that the investigation into Powell was halted, federal funds rate swap pricing indicated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this year have further intensified.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The dollars dominance and reserve currency status have been further strengthened.U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia, Piro, said: "If necessary, we will not hesitate to reopen the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell."U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia, Robert Piro, announced the suspension of the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powells construction costs. The Federal Reserve Inspector General has been asked to review the Feds spending.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.