EUR/USD 1.16136
0.022%
Gold 4328.19
0.271%
Oil 99.706
-0.817%
USD/JPY 154.509
0.061%
GBP/USD 1.35143
0.027%
GBP/JPY 208.813
0.085%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On September 11th, Futures News reported that data released by the China Futures Association on September 10th showed that, calculated unilaterally, the national futures market saw a trading volume of 1.087 billion lots and a turnover of 85.04 trillion yuan in August, representing year-on-year increases of 29.05% and 30.67%, respectively. Looking at the first eight months, the national futures markets cumulative trading volume reached 7.194 billion lots, with a cumulative turnover of 654.02 trillion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 20.36% and 37.37%, respectively. 1. Wei Gang, chief economist at Hengtai Futures, told reporters that the August futures market saw a "simultaneous increase in both volume and price," mainly driven by three factors: First, both volume and price increased in non-ferrous metals and precious metals. Second, the crude oil and energy sectors saw a significant increase in trading volume due to geopolitical factors. Third, the chemical and agricultural futures sectors showed a strong trend and high trading activity due to cost transmission and supply-demand disturbances. Hongyuan Futures analyst Wang Jiangnan stated that, judging from the performance of various commodities, commodity futures were generally strong in August, with most major contracts closing higher. Coking coal saw a cumulative increase of over 45% in August, the energy and chemical sector generally rose, and the precious metals sector also strengthened. Looking ahead to September, Wang Jiangnan believes that the Federal Reserves monetary policy expectations are a key macroeconomic variable, with the probability of a September rate hike rising to 60%, which will suppress the performance of precious metals and risk assets. The ferrous metals sector is entering its traditional peak season, and actual demand will be the main factor determining whether the sectors performance can be sustained. Non-ferrous metals may exhibit a pattern of "structural recovery and product differentiation," maintaining high-level fluctuations in the short term. Wei Gang added that, in addition to the Federal Reserves monetary policy path, the evolution of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East is also an important factor affecting futures market trading.On September 11th, Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management believes that the recent rise in the yen signals a broader correction of the currencys long-term undervaluation. Michael Nizad, the firms head of strategy, wrote that for many years, the yens movements have been primarily driven by the US-Japan interest rate differential and its role as a funding currency for global carry trades; now, the yen is beginning to trade more based on its own fundamentals. He wrote, "The yen may be beginning to trade as a fundamentally-driven currency again. Any pullbacks in yen cross rates should increasingly be seen as opportunities to rebuild or increase long yen positions."The Euro Stoxx 50 index fell 0.3%, German DAX futures fell 0.3%, and UK FTSE futures fell 0.1%.Market news: Next week, SpaceXs AI team will start a company from scratch and broadcast the entire process live.According to data from South Korean customs, semiconductor exports increased by 270.1% year-on-year from September 1 to 10.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

 截屏2022-11-28 上午10.39.08.png

 

China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.