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On December 31st, South Koreas consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.3% year-on-year in December, down from 2.4% in November. Core inflation rose at 2%, the same rate as in November. Both overall and core inflation rates remained near the Bank of Koreas 2% target. These figures suggest some easing of price pressures, but they are unlikely to prompt the Bank of Korea to resume monetary easing on January 15th. The continued rise in the housing market has raised concerns that soaring mortgage debt levels could trigger financial imbalances, making the central bank reluctant to take further stimulus measures. Furthermore, the cost of living is likely to continue rising. Earlier this month, authorities warned that rising food prices could push inflation higher than expected next year, although overall price pressures remain largely manageable.December 31st - The minutes of the Federal Reserves December meeting, released Tuesday, stated that a Fed survey showed respondents, overall, expected the Fed to purchase approximately $220 billion in short-term Treasury securities over the next 12 months, although there were significant differences in respondents estimates of the expected purchase size. Fed policymakers decided at their December meeting to begin purchasing short-term Treasury securities, believing that reserves in the financial system had fallen to a level considered "ample," reflected in rising short-term funding costs. The Fed stated it would purchase approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury securities per month, gradually reducing the amount thereafter. To date, the Fed has purchased approximately $38 billion in short-term Treasury securities this month and will conduct two more such operations in January.December 31st - "According to sources, Samsung and SK Hynix have received US approval to export chip manufacturing equipment to China in 2026," Reuters reported on the 30th. This comes after the US temporarily eased restrictions on South Korean companies following the earlier revocation of export license exemptions for some technology companies regarding chip manufacturing equipment. The report stated that Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC previously benefited from the "Verified End User (VEU)" system, an exemption from the comprehensive US export restrictions on chip-related goods to China. Companies on the "VEU" list can import designated controlled items (including semiconductor equipment and technology) from the US without needing to apply for separate export licenses.December 31st - This weeks U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly crude oil inventory report was delayed by several hours, highlighting the latest indication that layoffs at U.S. federal agencies are impacting data releases that are crucial to the market. This year, the EIA has laid off more than 100 of its approximately 350 employees. These layoffs and downsizing were driven by the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency, a plan previously led by Elon Musk. Scott Shelton, an energy expert at TP ICAP Group, stated that because the oil market is currently primarily influenced by geopolitical factors, traders are not paying as close attention to U.S. inventory levels as they used to when the report was released. This helps mitigate the impact of the data delay. "Theres a general indifference about this. Its just a helpless shrug at the inefficiency and unpredictability of the U.S. governments data after the government shutdown."On December 31, GigaDevice announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it plans to issue 28,915,800 H shares (subject to the exercise of the offering size adjustment right and over-allotment option) in Hong Kong, with an issue price not exceeding HK$162 per share. Trading is expected to commence on January 13, 2026.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.