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Strategy (MSTR.O) continued its upward trend, with gains widening to 20%.The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 3%, with constituent stocks XPeng Motors (XPEV.N) up more than 5%, NIO (NIO.N) surging 8%, and Li Auto (LI.O) rising 6%.On February 7th, Federal Reserve Chairman Daly wrote that when communicating with businesses, they exhibit cautious optimism. Economic growth is strong, consumer spending remains stable, job supply is ample, and increased productivity is helping to control costs. However, after speaking with workers, they are less certain. This is reflected in recent polls, which show Americans expect fewer jobs and a rising unemployment rate. In many ways, this disconnect is justified. We are already in a period of relatively low hiring and layoffs, and this has been the case for some time. This situation may continue, but workers are keenly aware that it could change rapidly, leaving them in a labor market with fewer hires and more layoffs. This situation is indeed unsettling, given that inflation is above the FOMCs 2% target. And what does this mean for policy? We must balance both sides of our mission. Americans need both price stability and full employment, and we cannot take either for granted.On February 7th, the General Administration of Customs issued Announcement No. 18 of 2026, promulgating the "Interim Measures of the Customs of the Peoples Republic of China for the Supervision of Business Premises and Goods Subject to Zero Duty Import for Consumption by Residents in the Hainan Free Trade Port." These measures officially came into effect on the date of issuance. The Measures clarify that the Customs will supervise the "zero duty" duty-free shops and "zero duty" imported goods in the Hainan Free Trade Port in accordance with the management regulations for duty-free shops and duty-free goods. Specifically, "zero duty" imported goods must be imported from overseas and processed through customs procedures by the operating units of the "zero duty" duty-free shops, and must be sold in designated areas (counters) within the duty-free shops, and must not be stored together with other goods. Residents of the island must proactively present their valid identification documents when purchasing "zero duty" imported goods for verification of identity.Market news: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company and Rhein Group will explore new opportunities to supply liquefied natural gas to the German and European markets.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.