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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We will eventually end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.January 25th - For most of the past three years, the so-called "Big Seven"—Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla—have led the stock market rally. However, this trend reversed at the end of 2025 as Wall Street began to question the hundreds of billions of dollars these companies have invested in developing artificial intelligence and when those investments would pay off. An index tracking the Big Seven hit a record high on October 29th, and since then, five of the Big Seven companies have seen their share prices decline and lag behind the S&P 500. During this period, only Alphabet and Amazon, with gains approaching 20%, have maintained their upward trend. Darrell Cronk, Chief Investment Officer of Wells Fargo Wealth and Investment Management, stated, "Tech stocks have become a performance-driven story. If big tech companies continue to deliver strong results, I think money will flow back into the tech sector." Next week, Microsoft, Apple, Tesla, and Meta will release their earnings reports, providing insights into the health of industries ranging from cloud computing and electronics to software and digital advertising.On January 25th, Saudi real estate developers shares saw their biggest gain in four months, boosted by the formal implementation of new regulations allowing foreigners to own a wider range of local real estate assets. On Sunday, the Saudi Stock Exchanges Real Estate Management and Development Index surged 4.5%, with all 17 constituent stocks rising. Mecca Construction and Development Company led the gains with approximately 10%, followed closely by Al-Aqen Real Estate. Fadi Arbid, Founding Partner and Chief Investment Officer of Amwal Capital Partners, stated, "This is a market craving good news. Opening up the real estate market to foreign investment, especially in Mecca and Medina, is clearly a good thing." While specific details regarding foreign ownership rules are scarce, Saudi Arabias latest announcement indicates that the country is moving forward with plans to allow foreigners to own residential, commercial, agricultural, and industrial properties. Under the new law, non-Saudi citizens can also purchase land. As part of efforts to reduce dependence on oil and diversify its economy, Saudi Arabia approved a comprehensive revision of its property ownership law last July, aiming to attract foreign buyers to the Gulf regions largest economy and accelerate necessary infrastructure development.Monday: ① Data: Germanys January IFO Business Climate Index; US November Durable Goods Orders (MoM); US January Dallas Fed Business Activity Index; Chinas December Year-to-Date Power Generation Capacity. ② Events: 200 billion yuan of 1-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and 158.3 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos mature today; the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology holds the 2026 "Star Computing & Intelligent Connectivity" Space Computing Power Seminar. ③ Holidays: The Sydney Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange of India are closed. Tuesday: ① Data: US November FHFA House Price Index (MoM); US November S&P/CS 20-City Composite Home Price Index (YoY, Unadjusted); US January Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index; US January Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. ② Earnings Reports: Boeing, General Motors. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending January 23; Australias December unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys February GfK consumer confidence index; Switzerlands January ZEW investor confidence index; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending January 23. ② Events: Bank of Canada releases interest rate decision and monetary policy report. ③ Earnings reports: Meta, Microsoft, Tesla (after market close). 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Saturday: ① Data: US total oil rig count for the week ending January 30; Chinas official January manufacturing PMI. ② Events: 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musalaim speaks on the US economy and monetary policy; CFTC releases weekly positioning report.On January 25, local time, Mohshinni Sani, a member of the Iranian Parliaments National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated in an interview that the Iranian armed forces have entered a state of full alert in response to the current military deployments of adversaries. Sani emphasized that Iran is continuously monitoring all hostile movements in the region, and the military is "hands on the trigger," ready to respond at any time. In the event of any form of aggression, Iran will launch a fierce counterattack, its strikes encompassing everything from the Strait of Hormuz to all US interests in the region, and its retaliatory measures will exceed the enemys expectations.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.