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January 5th - According to foreign media analysis, the case of Panamanian leader Manuel Noriega, arrested by the US government more than 30 years ago, may serve as a significant reference for Maduros case. Noriega was accused of involvement in drug smuggling into the US and was also arrested during a military operation within his own country. His lawyers argued that the US invasion and cross-border arrest violated international law and due process, and that Noriega, as a head of state, enjoyed immunity. However, the court did not accept this argument, ruling that the manner in which he was brought to the US did not affect criminal jurisdiction. Legal experts point out that if Maduro claims he was illegally brought to the US, existing precedents support continuing the prosecution. The real difficulty lies in whether he enjoys immunity as a head of state or for official acts. The difference is that the US did not recognize Noriegas head of state status at the time, while the Department of Justice, in its indictment unsealed on Saturday, referred to Maduro as the "de facto but illegitimate ruler" of Venezuela. Steve Vladek, a professor at Georgetown Universitys Law Center, stated, "This lawsuit is by no means a sure thing," especially regarding the accusations against Maduro himself.On January 5th, according to Tianyanchas risk information platform, Fang Yunzhou, Zhang Yong, and Yichun Langling Enterprise Management Consulting Center (Limited Partnership) were recently added to the list of judgment debtors, with an enforcement target of over 1.05 million yuan. The executing court is the Shanghai First Intermediate Peoples Court. Yichun Langling Enterprise Management Consulting Center (Limited Partnership) was established in October 2021, with Fang Yunzhou as the general partner and a capital contribution of 5.48 million yuan. Its business scope includes social and economic consulting services and information consulting services. Partner information shows that the consulting center is jointly funded by Fang Yunzhou, Zhang Yong, and more than 40 other partners.January 5th - As of midday closing, the Hang Seng Index fell 0.08%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.18%. On the sector front, oil stocks, auto stocks, commercial aerospace stocks, and gaming software stocks led the declines, while short video concept stocks, pharmaceutical outsourcing concept stocks, brain-computer interface concept stocks, and mainland property stocks led the gains. NIO (09866.HK) fell over 5%, Great Wall Motor (02333.HK), XPeng Motors (09868.HK), and PetroChina (00857.HK) fell over 4%, CNOOC (00883.HK) fell over 3%, and Sinopec (00386.HK) fell over 1%. Nanjing Panda Electronics (00553.HK) surged nearly 45%, Joinn Laboratories (06127.HK) rose over 11%, and Kuaishou (01024.HK) and Shimao Group (00813.HK) rose over 9%.The yield on Japans 40-year government bonds rose 2.5 basis points to 3.630%.On January 5th, Daiwa Securities issued a report stating that Mixue Group (02097.HK) is facing a potential downward valuation reassessment due to slowing future profit growth, and its second growth engine has not yet been validated. The bank downgraded its investment rating from "Outperform" to "Hold" and lowered its valuation basis from a projected P/E ratio of 28x to 22x, with the target price reduced from HK$535 to HK$427. The bank believes that Mixues current valuation of 21x (equivalent to a projected P/E ratio for this year) is high, compared to 15-19x for mainland catering peers, and its forecast of a 15% CAGR for Mixues earnings from 2025 to 2027. The report stated that after the subsidy boom, Mixues same-store sales growth has remained resilient, and its branch network expansion may provide some support, but the bank believes the market may have overly high expectations for a second growth engine.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Nears 0.6480 barrier on generally encouraging China inflation data

Alina Haynes

Dec 09, 2022 15:24

 NZD:USD.png

 

During the four-day upswing, NZD/USD accepts bids to retest the daily high near 0.6410 on Friday morning. As well as the technical breakout, recent advances in the NZD/USD pair may be attributable to China's monthly inflation report.

 

In November, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for China decreased to -0.2% MoM, compared to 0.1% predicted and 0.1% earlier. However, the annual statistics were more robust, coming in at 1.6% as opposed to 1.0% as predicted by the market and 2.2% previously. On the same line, the Producer Price Index (PPI) improved to -1.3% YoY during the specified month, defying predictions of -1.5% and earlier readings of -1.3%.

 

Notable is the NZD/USD pair's extended breach of a two-week-long descending trend line, which combines with a stronger RSI and positive MACD signals to keep buyers seeking the monthly high near 0.6480.

 

If NZD/USD bulls prevail beyond 0.6480, the round number 0.6500 and June's high near 0.6575 may appear on their radars.

 

Alternately, around 0.6355 at the time of writing, the resistance-turned-support line predates the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6330 to limit the near-term NZD/USD decline.

 

However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from November 21, close to 0.6255, appears to be a difficult nut to crack for the Kiwi pair bears and is the key to their admission.