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OpenAI plans to begin deploying Jalapeno chips in its computing infrastructure by the end of 2026.August 25th - While Nvidias upcoming earnings report and Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs speech at the Jackson Hole symposium are the main events investors are watching this week, traders in the equity derivatives market have already begun preparing for a potential increase in volatility around the time of the US midterm elections in November. Volatility traders closely monitoring the futures market linked to the VIX volatility index have noted signs of increased demand for hedging S&P 500 volatility before and after the election. The September-expiring VIX futures contract is currently trading around 17.4, but the October contract has risen to 19, and the November contract has further increased to 19.7. Matthew Thompson, co-portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, stated, "With the US election approaching, youre entering a window where the election will impact the VIX. You can already see this spiking in the term structure of the VIX futures." A study by analysts at the Chicago Board Options Exchange Global Markets shows that since 1945, 80% of midterm election years have seen actual volatility higher than the previous year, with an average increase of 3.5 volatility points. In years when both the White House and Congress are controlled by the same party, actual volatility increases by an average of 6 volatility points.August 25th - According to the Financial Times, citing sources familiar with the matter, Trump administration officials last week requested Kyiv not to use long-range missiles and drones to attack Moscow, St. Petersburg, and northern Russia during Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, while a U.S. plane carrying senior officials was en route to the Russian capital. The sources said Ukraine agreed to this request. Today, a U.S. Air Force C-17 transport plane landed in Moscow. Russia previously stated it was unaware of the specific circumstances of the planes arrival; the Kremlin also stated that no meetings with U.S. government representatives were scheduled for this week.U.S. new home sales fell to their lowest level in six months in July, indicating that even with builders lowering prices and offering incentives, high mortgage rates are still suppressing homebuying demand. According to data released by the government on Tuesday, pending sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. fell 10.5% in July to an annualized rate of 607,000 units. Economists median forecast was 620,000 units. The median price of new homes fell 0.9% year-over-year to $393,800. New home sales have declined in three of the past four months, further indicating that the housing market is under pressure from both high financing costs and high home prices. While builders have achieved some success in boosting demand through free upgrades, subsidized mortgage rates, and price reductions, the entry-level housing market remains constrained by insufficient affordability.On August 25th, US President Trump posted: "I have just been informed by the US Navy that all mines in international waters of the Strait of Hormuz have been cleared and/or detonated. The United States has notified Iran that any ships or vessels laying new mines will be systematically destroyed immediately. We monitor every inch of the Strait through the US Space Force, as well as Pickaxe Mountain and three other destroyed nuclear facilities. We have a zero-tolerance policy for mine-laying, and that policy is in full effect."

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – NASDAQ Rallies As Meta Gains 28%

Jimmy Khan

Feb 03, 2023 15:22

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S&P 500

As Meta increased by 28% following the publication of the earnings report, the S&P 500 reached new heights. Although the company's revenue exceeded analyst expectations, its earnings missed them. Trades concentrated on the $40 billion buyback that Meta had announced.


The Initial Jobless Claims and Factory Orders figures were also available to dealers today.


Compared to the analyst consensus of 200,000, the initial Jobless Claims report showed that 183,000 Americans applied for unemployment benefits in a week. According to the report, the job market was still in a respectable state.


In December, factory orders grew by 1.8% month over month compared to analysts' expectations of 2.2% growth.

NASDAQ

NASDAQ increased as traders concentrated on the Meta stock's impressive performance. One may claim that the NASDAQ is ready to start a bull market since the index has increased by 20% from its December lows.


In today's trading session, Tesla, Amazon, and Alphabet are all up about 7% as investors rush to purchase mega cap stocks. Demand for tech stocks is high, and market sentiment is very bullish. Technically speaking, the chance of a retreat is rising since the RSI is in overbought zone.

Dow Jones,

Currently, Dow Jones is the least successful major index. The decline in healthcare stocks like UnitedHealth Group and Merck has a negative effect on Dow Jones' performance.


Medicare Advantage's projected reduced prices for 2024 are putting a lot of pressure on UnitedHealth Group. After the results report was released, Merck shares fell because the firm anticipates a fall in COVID-related revenues in 2023.