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July 6th - The US ISM Services PMI report showed that economic activity in the service sector continued to expand in June. The services PMI registered 54, marking the 24th consecutive month in expansion territory. Miller, chairman of the ISM Services Business Survey Committee, stated that the June services PMI was 54, down 0.5 from 54.5 in May. The business activity index remained in expansion territory, down 2.3 from 57.7 in May to 55.4. The price index fell to 67.7 in June, down 3.6 from 71.3 in May, marking the first time it has fallen below 70 since February. This index has been above 60 for 19 consecutive months, with a 12-month average of 68. Diesel, gasoline, petroleum, and related commodities were again mentioned as the commodities with the largest price increases in June, but other respondents reported price declines. This may be due to differences in contract terms between different companies for these commodities. Some respondents reported lower prices for gasoline and diesel, but this was not a widespread phenomenon. We expect this situation to continue for several months as rising oil prices are transmitted to the supply chain, but assuming continued progress in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz in the near term, it should ease in the fall.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing supplier deliveries index for June was 54.4, compared to 55.2 in the previous month.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing inventory index for June was 51.2, down from 62.5 in the previous month.The U.S. Conference Board Employment Trends Index for June was 106.69, compared to 107.01 in June.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing new orders index was 55.1 in June, compared with 57.3 in the previous month.

Hang Seng Index, ASX200, Nikkei 225: The Markets Respond to the Fed

Cory Russell

Feb 02, 2023 16:15


Market Snapshot

The morning session was upbeat as the Asian equities markets reacted to the Fed's overnight interest rate rise and Powell's news conference. The Fed increased interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75%, as anticipated. The action put Fed Chair Powell in charge of market risk sentiment, bolstering the Hang Seng Index's positive opening.


Support came from a favorable view of the economy, the state of the job market, and the prognosis for monetary policy. While conceding that the disinflationary process has begun, Fed Chair Powell said the Fed might deliver a couple more rate rises to return inflation to its objective.


The Fed Chair said that there wouldn't need to be "a major downturn, or a very large rise in unemployment" for the Fed Funds Rate to remain below 5% and achieve the inflation objective.


Despite Fed Chair Powell's upbeat prognosis, the US ADP nonfarm job change and ISM Manufacturing PMI statistics underperformed, casting doubt on the economy's prospects.