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On August 13th, UOB analyst Alvin Liew outlined the banks expectations for the federal funds rate following the release of the July US CPI data. Market pricing in a September rate hike has decreased, and UOBs base case scenario is an extended pause throughout 2026. The bank anticipates two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2027, gradually lowering the federal funds rate to approximately 3.25% by the end of 2027: "We maintain our base case scenario, where the Fed maintains its pause for the remainder of 2026 and then resumes its easing cycle in 2027, likely with two 25-basis-point cuts at the end of the second and fourth quarters of 2027. Under this scenario, the federal funds target rate is expected to remain unchanged until the end of 2026, then gradually decline to 3.25% by the end of 2027, which remains our estimate for the final federal funds rate. While the risks to our FOMC outlook have become more balanced following the June and July CPI reports, they remain slightly skewed to the upside due to geopolitical and energy-related uncertainties, and we remain vigilant about the significant risks of policy tightening."On August 13th, Elias Haddad, an analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, pointed out that the New Zealand dollar briefly dipped below its 200-day moving average today due to mixed results from the Reserve Bank of New Zealands third-quarter inflation expectations survey, but the overall anchor remained strong, close to the 2% midpoint target. Given that inflation remains above target, domestic growth is stronger, and the policy rate is near the lower end of the neutral range, Haddad believes there is reason to further raise interest rates, and the swap market has fully priced in a 75 basis point tightening, which is positive for the New Zealand dollar.The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending August 8, as well as the July PPI monthly and annual rates, will be released in ten minutes.August 13 - According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), a spokesperson for the Iranian Joint Military Command stated, "No vessel can safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz without permission. Any vessel must obtain permission from Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian military monitors US movements in the region, and Trumps claims about controlling the strait are lies."On August 13th, the 5th China RISC-V Industry Forum was held in the Lingang New Area to promote the in-depth development of domestically produced RISC-V chips. The forum aimed to accelerate the industrialization and application innovation of domestically produced RISC-V chips. Of the more than 40 products showcased at the forum, the overall mass production rate has exceeded 90%, and these chips are widely used in consumer electronics, smart homes, wearable devices, communications, automobiles, industrial control, and other fields. This mass production achievement fully demonstrates that domestically produced RISC-V chips are accelerating their transition from technological innovation to large-scale application and have already been implemented in multiple industries and application areas.

Indian Exchange Volumes Benefiting from Bitcoin Price Drop

Cory Russell

May 12, 2022 10:09

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Bitcoin's anticipated fall from grace in recent days was a phenomenon that surprised investors and dealers. However, this was a happy moment for Indian crypto exchange operators, as trading volumes increased dramatically once BTC's price retested the lower $29,000 zone.

Indian Stock Exchange Volumes Increase

Following a dry period, trade volumes on Indian crypto platforms increased. For the most of this year, Bitcoin and other altcoins experienced a range bound price movement, and Indian crypto exchange volumes were similarly modest.


As bitcoin's price fell by more than 56% from its all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021, transaction volumes increased throughout marketplaces as a result of the selling pressure.


According to accounts from local news organizations, the increase in volumes in India was enormous and lasted almost two days. Trade volumes on crypto trading platforms including WazirX, CoinDCX, and Unocoin increased by 20 to 75 percent.


"Overall volumes increased by 70% between May 8 and 9," stated Nischal Shetty, Co-founder and CEO of WazirX, in an interview. In terms of trading, there is a mood of 'buying the drop,' as buyers have been somewhat controlling the market."


He went on to say that such purchasing activity shows that investor confidence in the market is still high, even at current levels.

India's Web3 Developments Increasing My Pace

According to a recent research, the number of Web3 developers reporting their locations climbed the highest in India and Russia, respectively, increasing to 5.3 percent and 4.3 percent of the market share. The United States, on the other hand, has lost over 20% of its market share since 2015.


With the emergence of Web3 and blockchain development in the Indian subcontinent, an increase in trading volumes amid a wider market fall indicates market players' trust. This meant that Indians succumbed to the "buy the dip" mentality.


"Volatility usually leads to a rise in volume on platforms like ours," said Minal Thukral, Executive Vice President, Growth and Strategy at CoinDCX. We're witnessing an increase in the number of people purchasing the dip and a decrease in the number of users selling it."


However, since the new tax policy took effect on April 1, trade volumes on Indian crypto exchanges have decreased. However, it seems that Indians are increasingly taking greater risks, indicating a growing interest in hazardous asset investments in the country.