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On May 21st, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global, stated that the UK economy is facing a "perfect storm" as escalating political uncertainty further amplifies the impact of the Middle East wars. Businesses reported declining output, soaring inflation, supply shortages, and frequent layoffs in May. Mays PMI data indicated that the countrys economy contracted by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, a stark contrast to the strong growth earlier this year. While the primary responsibility lies with the Middle East wars, businesses also pointed to escalating domestic political problems, leading to increased uncertainty and consequently suppressing consumption, hiring, and investment. The situation could worsen in the coming months, as some support for manufacturing has been seen from precautionary stockpiling, but this support will inevitably weaken once warehouses are full. Meanwhile, prices are soaring as these costs are passed on to consumers, foreshadowing a significant rise in inflation in the coming months. This situation of weak economic growth and persistently rising price pressures puts the Bank of England in an extremely difficult dilemma: on the one hand, they urgently need to raise interest rates to curb inflation; but on the other hand, doing so would increase the risk of a recession.On May 21st, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following warehouse receipts and changes: 1. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,511,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 2. Natural rubber futures warehouse receipts: 140,900 tons, an increase of 2,300 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 109,498 tons, an increase of 1,075 tons from the previous trading day; 4. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 477,553 tons, a decrease of 4,813 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 79,737 tons, an increase of 470 tons from the previous trading day; 6. Gold futures warehouse receipts: 111,669 kg, an increase of 1,020 kg from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 31,220 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 21,120 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Copper futures warehouse receipts were 99,866 tons, a decrease of 1,148 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Lead futures warehouse receipts were 64,345 tons, a decrease of 2,600 tons from the previous trading day; 11. Silver futures warehouse receipts were 989,688 kg, a decrease of 5,039 kg from the previous trading day; 12. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts were 0 tons, a decrease of 1,540 tons from the previous trading day; 13. TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts were 34,070 tons, a decrease of 1,311 tons from the previous trading day; 14. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts were 481,603 tons, an increase of 838 tons from the previous trading day; 15. Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts were 577,327 tons, a decrease of 20,215 tons from the previous trading day; 16. Butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts were 32,520 tons, a decrease of 700 tons from the previous trading day; 17. 18. Pulp warehouse futures receipts: 201,824 tons, up 2,980 tons from the previous trading day; 19. Pulp mill warehouse futures receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Tin futures receipts: 8,341 tons, down 120 tons from the previous trading day; 20. Stainless steel warehouse futures receipts: 72,444 tons, down 184 tons from the previous trading day; 21. Fuel oil futures receipts: 47,160 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 22. Rebar warehouse futures receipts: 17,223 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 23. International copper futures receipts: 13,174 tons, down 349 tons from the previous trading day.On May 21, the General Administration of Customs and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued an announcement stating that the Philippines recently reported an outbreak of African swine fever to the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH). To prevent the spread of the disease and protect my countrys livestock industry and biosecurity, the following announcement is made in accordance with relevant laws and regulations: 1. The direct or indirect import of pigs, wild boars, and related products (products derived from unprocessed pigs or wild boars, or products that, although processed, may still transmit diseases) from the Philippines is prohibited. 2. The mailing or carrying of pigs, wild boars, and related products from the Philippines into China is prohibited. Any such products discovered will be returned or destroyed. 3. Animal and plant waste, swill, etc., unloaded from inbound transport vehicles from the Philippines must be disposed of under customs supervision and must not be discarded arbitrarily. 4. Pigs, wild boars, and related products from the Philippines illegally imported and intercepted by border inspection departments will be destroyed under customs supervision. This announcement shall take effect from the date of issuance.The UK Office for National Statistics reports that net long-term migration to the UK will be 171,000 in 2025, compared to 331,000 the previous year.The onshore yuan closed at 6.7960 against the US dollar at 16:30 on May 21, up 100 points from the previous trading day.

Crypto Collapse Intensifies as Stablecoin Tether Slides Below Dollar Peg

Jimmy Khan

May 13, 2022 09:56

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The collapse of TerraUSD, one of the world's biggest stablecoins, sent ripples through cryptocurrency markets on Thursday, driving Tether below its dollar peg and bringing bitcoin to 16-month lows.


Cryptocurrencies have been caught up in a sell-off in risk assets that has gained traction this week as data revealed rising US inflation, escalating investor concerns about the economic implications of aggressive central bank tightening.


According to CoinMarketCap statistics, the overall market value of all cryptocurrencies has dropped to $1.2 trillion, less than half of what it was in November.


According to CoinMarketCap price data, Tether, a reserve-backed stablecoin that is meant to be linked 1:1 to the US dollar, fell as low as 95 cents earlier in the worldwide session. It was last available for 99 cents.


Despite the volatility, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that stablecoins like as Tether and TerraUSD do not now constitute a systemic danger to the financial system.


"I wouldn't describe it at this size as a significant danger to financial stability," she said at a House Financial Services Committee hearing, "but they're developing extremely quickly and they bring the same kinds of hazards we've seen for centuries in connection with bank runs."


Bitcoin, the most valuable cryptocurrency, fell to $25,401.05 on Thursday, its lowest level since December 28, 2020. It was last trading at $28,751, down 0.9 percent.


It has lost more than a quarter of its value in the last eight sessions, or roughly $10,700, and is down 37 percent this year, trading far below the record of $69,000 it reached in November 2021.


According to Refinitiv statistics, Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq composite has lately increased and is currently around its all-time high. So far this month, the Nasdaq composite has down approximately 8%.


Ether, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, hit a new low of $1,700, its lowest since June 2021.


Unlike earlier financial market sell-offs, when cryptocurrencies were mostly unaffected, the present selling pressure in digital currencies has cast doubt on the larger premise that they are reliable repositories of value in the face of market turbulence.

NOT-SO-STABLECOINS

TerraUSD, a stablecoin, has been impacted by the instability and has broken its peg to the US dollar, plummeting as low as 31 cents on Wednesday. It was selling about 38 cents on Thursday.


"Unfortunately, the consequences of this event extend beyond the financial losses suffered by investors," said Anto Paroian, chief operating officer of crypto asset hedge fund ARK36.


"If not for the whole crypto world, but definitely for the stablecoins market, de-pegging will almost surely result in a significant regulatory risk."


Stablecoins are digital currencies that are linked to conventional assets like the US dollar. TerraUSD, on the other hand, is an algorithmic or "decentralised" stablecoin that was meant to keep its dollar peg by a complicated system that entailed replacing it with a free-floating token.


Following the collapse of Terra's algorithmic stablecoin and the linked Luna token on Thursday, the network's blockchain was paused to avoid assaults. However, the Terra blockade has subsequently been reopened.


Terraform Labs, the business behind the TerraUSD, has a non-profit partner called the Luna Foundation.


On Thursday, even stablecoins backed by conventional assets showed symptoms of stress.


According to CoinMarketCap statistics, Tether fell below its 1:1 dollar peg on Thursday, reaching a low of 95 cents around 0724 GMT.


Tether's chief technical officer, Paolo Ardoino, claimed in a Twitter Spaces conversation that the stablecoin has decreased its exposure to commercial paper in the previous six months and currently has the bulk of its reserves in US Treasury bonds.


Tether is the most valuable stablecoin by market capitalization, accounting for about 87 percent of the whole $169.5 billion stablecoin market, according to CoinMarketCap.


According to Denis Vinokourov, director of research at Corinthian Digital Asset Management, the enormous number of centralised cryptocurrency exchanges and decentralised venues, each with their own liquidity profile and credit risk, was contributing to price distortions throughout the market.

"The fragmented character of the market contributes to spillover effects into other stablecoins," Vinokourov stated.


The effect of TerraUSD's problems on investors is still being assessed by market participants.


The Federal Reserve of the United States cautioned on Tuesday in its biannual Financial Stability Report that stablecoins are susceptible to investor runs because they are backed by assets that might lose value or become illiquid in times of market stress.