• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services reversed its previous decision to lay off staff at the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH), restoring hundreds of related positions.According to the Wall Street Journal, six federal prosecutors in Minnesota have resigned in connection with the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) shooting investigation.On January 14th, it was reported that on January 10th, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFE), Fudan University, and the National Meteorological Information Center signed a tripartite cooperation framework agreement and held a symposium. Representatives from the three parties reached an important consensus on promoting innovative practices in "meteorology × finance" and developing weather-related derivatives. A GFE representative stated that as a crucial venue for risk management, the futures markets introduction of weather derivatives that meet market needs is of significant practical importance in helping weather-sensitive enterprises, such as those in the new energy sector, mitigate weather volatility risks and serve the development of new productive forces. As a vital national financial infrastructure, the GFE will leverage its experience in green innovation and development, deepen practical cooperation with all parties, actively promote the research and application of weather derivatives, and provide strong support for meteorological risk management and the construction of a green finance system.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8% to 49,191.99 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.19% to 6,963.74 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.1% to 23,709.87 points. Salesforce fell more than 7%, and Visa fell more than 4%, leading the decline in the Dow Jones. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.22%, with Facebook and Amazon falling more than 1%. Chinese concept stocks generally declined, with Brain Regeneration falling more than 26% and Pony.ai falling more than 9%. Concerns surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve remain. 2. European stock indices closed mixed. Germanys DAX rose 0.06% to 25,420.66 points, driven by gains in defense stocks amid geopolitical tensions; Frances CAC40 fell 0.14% to 8,347.2 points, with support from bank stocks partially offsetting weakness in other sectors; the UKs FTSE 100 fell 0.03% to 10,137.35 points, dragged down by energy and financial sectors, reflecting market concerns about the UKs economic outlook. 3. US Treasury yields were mixed. The 2-year Treasury yield fell 0.19 basis points to 3.530%, the 3-year yield rose 0.12 basis points to 3.591%, the 5-year yield fell 0.17 basis points to 3.752%, the 10-year yield rose 0.40 basis points to 4.179%, and the 30-year yield rose 0.82 basis points to 4.837%. 3. International precious metals futures closed mixed. COMEX gold futures fell 0.44% to $4,594.40 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose 2.08% to $86.86 per ounce. Although geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and market uncertainty provided support for gold prices, signals from Federal Reserve officials that they would not cut interest rates for the time being suppressed trading based on expectations of a rate cut, leading to a slight decline in gold futures for the day. 4. The main WTI crude oil contract closed up 2.69% at $61.1 per barrel; the main Brent crude oil contract rose 2.43% to $65.42 per barrel. 5. London base metals traded mixed. LME tin rose 2.46% to $49,145.0/ton, LME aluminum rose 0.36% to $3,196.0/ton, LME lead rose 0.34% to $2,060.0/ton, LME copper fell 0.40% to $13,156.5/ton, LME zinc fell 0.44% to $3,202.0/ton, and LME nickel fell 1.61% to $17,600.0/ton.Eli Lilly (LLY.N) CEO: We need to know the number of patients receiving obesity drugs under the US Medicare drug plan, as well as the number of out-of-pocket patients outside the US, in order to forecast sales for 2026.

In anticipation of UK Retail Sales, the British Pound falls to a new monthly low near 1.1900

Daniel Rogers

Aug 19, 2022 12:01

 截屏2022-08-19 上午10.37.38.png

 

On Friday's Asian session, the pound to dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) accepted offers to reaffirm its monthly bottom at 1.1905, falling for a third consecutive day on concerns about the UK economy, aggressive Fedspeak, and upbeat US data.

 

Bloomberg reports that Indonesian President Joko Widodo has invited Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Group of 20 Summit in Bali later this year. Recent market movement in favor of the US dollar may have this explanation. This was the first time the leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation had announced that both of them will be attending the November conference, according to the news.

 

August's record low for the GfK Consumer Sentiment Index in the United Kingdom was even lower than July's record low of -41. Following the release of the data, Reuters said, "British consumers are experiencing a'sense of aggravation' about the growing cost of living, according to the country's longest-running research of household finances.

 

British employment and inflation figures were reported earlier in the week, but this did not help the GBP/USD as the strong US economy and aggressive Fed talk encouraged pair bears.

 

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 250K from 265K market consensus and 254K correction, whilst the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August rose to 6.2 from -5 expected and -12.3 before.

 

The Fed will keep raising interest rates to "right-size" the economy, according to Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. The policymaker indicated that a move of 50 basis points or 75 basis points would be acceptable for the September rate decision. But Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve reportedly does not think a recession is happening in the country at the moment. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and self-proclaimed "lifelong hawk" James Bullard is considering a further rate hike of 75 basis points in September. According to Reuters, investors expect a hike to a range of 3.50–3.75 percent by March of next year, based on trade in futures contracts related to the Fed's policy rate. As a result, the Federal Reserve target rate is between 2.25 and 2.50 percent as of right now.

 

Finally, Wall Street ended with a lackluster performance, putting pressure on S&P 500 Futures, while US 10-year Treasury rates rebounded from their previous day's drop from the monthly high to 2.891% as of press time.

 

For new guidance, GBP/USD traders will focus on August UK Retail Sales, which are predicted to be -3.3% YoY compared to -5.8% in July.