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May 4th - According to a report by Irans Nokari News Agency on the evening of May 3rd, data from the maritime information company "Tanker Tracker" website shows that 25 oil tankers carrying crude oil left Iran in April, some of which have already reached their destinations. The report stated that seven tankers returned to Iran in the Arabian Sea due to a US blockade, two were seized by the US in the Indian Ocean, and one sailed to the Far East. Of the remaining 15 tankers, most arrived at their destinations in the first half of April.U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 5 points, and 30-year Treasury futures rose 8 points.① Iran 1. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Trumps boasting of acting like a "pirate" is a direct admission of crime. 2. An Iranian supertanker "evaded" US Navy tracking and is heading towards the Riau Islands of Indonesia. 3. Iranian official: Iran is studying more than eight alternative trade routes or channels. 4. Iran says all traffic in the Strait of Hormuz must obtain Iranian permission. 5. Foreign Affairs Advisor to Irans Supreme Leader: Trumps recent words and actions cannot hide the "shattering of White House illusions." 6. Manager of the National Iranian Oil Company: Despite the threats, we drilled thousands of oil wells and reservoirs during the war to maintain production and exports. 7. Iran is reviewing the US response to the 14-point proposal and is not currently conducting nuclear negotiations. ② United States 1. US media reports that Iran is not demanding the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before direct negotiations. 2. Acting US Attorney General: Trumps statement that military action in Iran is not war is correct, and the claim that it is illegal is invalid. 3. Trump stated in an interview that Irans new proposal is unacceptable. 4. Witkov stated that Washington is currently in dialogue with Iran. Iran has not yet responded. 5. Trump: Operations to guide ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz out of the Strait will begin Monday (Middle East time), noting that US representatives are actively consulting with Iran. 6. US media: Sources say the US submitted a revised draft agreement on Sunday aimed at ending the war, in response to the latest proposals from Iranian officials. ③ Israel 1. Israel approves plan to purchase new fighter jets from the US. 2. The Israeli military claims the earlier rocket attack in northern Israel was a miscalculation. 3. Israeli Prime Minister: An additional 350 billion shekels will be allocated to the Israeli defense budget over the next ten years for domestic ammunition production. 4. The Israeli Prime Minister ordered all government ministers not to give media interviews on Iran. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. US Treasury Secretary Bessant: Irans attempts to collect tolls for ships have had little effect; he is not surprised by the increased number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Media reports reveal details of Irans latest negotiation plan, which includes three phases. The first phase includes "transforming the ceasefire into a full ceasefire within 30 days." ⑥ Other situations: 1. Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon resulted in 8 deaths and 11 injuries. 2. Mertz stated that the US troop reduction in Germany was unrelated to his remarks regarding the war with Iran.The British government is prepared to begin consultations on joining the EUs £78 billion loan program for Ukraine.On May 4th, German Chancellor Merz stated on May 3rd that the recent US decision to reduce its troop presence in Germany was "unrelated" to his criticisms of the war with Iran. Speaking on German television channel ARD, Merz said he was not surprised by the US governments decision to reduce troop levels, adding, "What weve heard these past few days isnt all new. The situation may have indeed escalated somewhat, but this is not a new development." Merz stated that he would not abandon cooperation with US President Trump, saying, "For us, the United States remains the most important partner in NATO." He emphasized that the USs nuclear sharing arrangements have not been reduced in any way, and there are no restrictions on the US commitment to providing nuclear deterrence to the NATO region. Merz also stated that the Tomahawk cruise missiles promised by the US in 2024 will not be deployed in Germany for the time being, because "the Americans dont even have enough for themselves right now."

Gold price remains unchanged at $1,740 as bulls seek direction

Haiden Holmes

Jul 11, 2022 11:10

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Call it a literal "Goldilocks" scenario. Goldilocks does not relate to an ideal economic state in which things are neither increasing or shrinking excessively; rather, it relates to the fact that gold is nearly stuck around $1,740 per ounce while traders seek to discern the yellow metal's path.


Gold futures for delivery in August on the New York Comex climbed $2.60, or 0.2 percent , to $1,742.30 per ounce. It declined 3,3 percent for the week, its fourth straight fall since the week ending June 10. The current week's fall was also the most severe since the week ending May 6.


Despite the terrible weekly figures, gold has experienced some resistance since Wednesday's 10-month low of $1,730.70. Gold for August delivery on the Comex has hardly moved above or below $1,740 since reclaiming ground from that level.


According to others, this means that gold may have already reached, or is close to reaching, its lowest point and likely has no further to go.


Gold trade on Friday was affected by increasing uncertainty after the revelation of good June employment numbers from the United States.


The Labor Department announced that U.S. firms created 372,000 jobs last month, which was about 100,000 more than what analysts had projected, while the unemployment rate stayed at 3.6 percent for the third straight month. Later, from the White House, President Joe Biden reported that the United States has restored all 20 million jobs lost during the coronavirus pandemic outbreak in March and April 2020.


Theoretically, such findings seemed good for the U.S. economy. It was not, however, in the present inflationary situation, where the Fed wants the red-hot job market and wage growth to subside in order to diminish Americans' need for things.


For gold, there was an additional complication: the Federal Reserve had already planned to boost interest rates by 75 basis points in July, as it did in June. Would the Fed be willing to take additional action if the fed funds rate continues to price in a 75 basis point hike for July on Friday? Or will the other three probable rate hikes this year be 75 basis points or higher?

"The short end of the yield curve signals that the Federal Reserve has the green light to tackle inflation vigorously, while the long end indicates that a recession is imminent," said Ed Moya, an analyst at the online trading platform OANDA.