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June 2nd - Eurozone inflation surpassed 3% for the first time in two and a half years, further reinforcing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Eurostat reported on Tuesday that the CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year in May, up from 3% in the previous month and in line with the median forecast. Core inflation, excluding volatile items such as food and energy, rose sharply to 2.5%, exceeding expectations, while the closely watched services index jumped to 3.5%. Markets expect the ECB to raise interest rates in June for the first time since September 2023. Officials appear to have concluded that they can no longer wait and must respond immediately to the impact of the Middle East conflict.On June 2nd, the State Council issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating the Modernization of Agriculture and Rural Areas." The plan mentions promoting the research and application of high-end, intelligent agricultural machinery and equipment suitable for hilly and mountainous areas. It also calls for the categorized cultivation of leading enterprises in the agricultural machinery and equipment sector, manufacturing single-item champion enterprises, and specialized and innovative SMEs, supporting enterprises in strengthening production line technological transformation and accelerating digital transformation, and building strong advanced manufacturing clusters and SME characteristic industrial clusters in the agricultural machinery and equipment sector. The plan systematically promotes the research and development of new energy agricultural machinery and equipment technologies, industrial collaboration, and infrastructure construction. It also calls for the orderly development of the low-altitude economy in the agricultural and rural sectors. Furthermore, it emphasizes strengthening independent research and development of modern facility agriculture equipment and the categorized and orderly upgrading and renovation of old facilities. Finally, it implements a "preferential subsidy for superior machinery" and "entry and exit" system for agricultural machinery purchase and application subsidies, as well as the scrapping and replacement of old agricultural machinery.The UK government has unveiled its proposed seventh carbon budget, setting a target of reducing emissions by 87% between 2038 and 2042.Scotiabank raised its price target for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $215 to $290.On June 2nd, the State Council issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating Agricultural and Rural Modernization," clarifying the guiding principles, objectives, key tasks, and policy measures for accelerating agricultural and rural modernization during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. The plan emphasizes using accelerated agricultural and rural modernization to better advance Chinas modernization drive. The plan proposes that by 2030, the foundation of food security will be continuously strengthened, the quality, efficiency, and competitiveness of agriculture will be continuously improved, the achievements in poverty alleviation will be further consolidated and expanded, the level of self-reliance in agricultural science and technology will be significantly enhanced, significant progress will be made in building agriculture into a modern large-scale industry, farmers income will continue to grow rapidly, the construction of livable, workable, and beautiful villages will be accelerated, new breakthroughs will be achieved in urban-rural integration, and remarkable results will be achieved in high-quality agricultural and rural development. The plan also provides an outlook for 2035.

Gold Prices Reversed Direction Following Wednesday's Rally

Alina Haynes

May 06, 2022 10:48

Despite a brief rebound, gold prices fell. The dollar has rebounded from yesterday's heavy losses. After the 50-basis-point rate boost, benchmark yields continued their advances. Following the FOMC meeting, the ten-year treasury yield increased to 3.09 percent.

 

The FOMC raised rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday, but Fed Chair Powell made it apparent that a 75-basis-point boost at the next meeting was improbable.

 

This resulted in a weakening of the dollar, while bond rates extended their advances. Powell indicated, however, that the primary objective is to contain inflation, which provides the dollar and yields with additional upside momentum.

 

Initial unemployment claims increased to 200,000 from 181,000 in the previous week. In the first quarter, productivity declined by 7.5 percent. However, a tightening labor market will maintain a high level of inflation.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fell in the aftermath of the Fed's announcement and are again under selling pressure due to risk-on market attitude. Near the 200-day moving average of 1,836 is support. Near the 10-day moving average eat 1,889, resistance is seen.

 

The 20-day moving average has fallen below the 50-day moving average, indicating the onset of a medium-term downturn.

 

Momentum turns negative in the short term when the Fast Stochastic generates a crossover sell signal. Prices are oversold, with the fast stochastic reading 16 points below the oversold trigger level of 20.

 

The MACD has generated a crossover sell signal, indicating that the medium-term momentum has become negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram displays a downward trend, indicating that prices will fall.

 

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