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On March 18th, Futures News reported that new energy vehicle sales reached 765,000 units in February, with a market penetration rate of 42.38%, a 2 percentage point increase month-on-month. According to data models from Zhuochuang Information, new energy vehicles substituted 3.75 million tons of gasoline in China in February, representing a substitution rate of 23.6%. Although the Spring Festival holiday boosted gasoline demand, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles remained consistently high. While purchase tax policies and other factors dampened consumer enthusiasm, the economic advantages of new energy vehicles are evident, and their market penetration rate is expected to continue to rise, further increasing their substitution rate for gasoline consumption.In an interview with Al Jazeera, Irans Foreign Minister stated that the new agreement will ensure safe passage under "specific conditions" and based on the interests of Iran and the region.1. Morgan Stanley: Powell may choose to ignore energy-driven inflation, posing a downside risk to the dollar. 2. Rabobank: With no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the dollar may still have room to strengthen further. 3. ANZ: The dollar has rebounded due to its safe-haven status, but this strength may be temporary as the currency remains overvalued. 4. TS Lombard: Believes the dollar is unlikely to see sustained appreciation at present, and will face further downward pressure in the next 3 to 6 months. 5. TD Securities: Remains committed to a weaker dollar forecast for 2026, citing waning US economic growth advantages, diminished safe-haven appeal, and a further intensification of "hedge against the US" trades. 6. HSBC: In the baseline scenario, if geopolitical premiums subside and the market returns to macroeconomic fundamentals, the dollar will resume its previous weakening trend. However, if energy inflation forces the Fed to return to a rate hike path, the dollar will experience an unexpected surge. 7. DBS Bank: Unless the Middle East conflict triggers an extremely severe long-term inflationary spiral and forces the market to completely erase expectations of two rate cuts in 2026, the US dollar will lack the unilateral upward momentum driven by the aggressive rate hike wave of 2022. March 18th - SMBC Nikko Securities economists stated that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to avoid committing to a specific timetable for interest rate hikes at Thursdays press conference. However, if the summary of opinions from this meeting, to be released on March 30th, shows policymakers support further tightening, investors may further price in the possibility of an April rate hike. The market considers a 1% policy rate (currently 0.75%) to be still accommodative for the Bank of Japan, therefore, even a deterioration in the Middle East and increased global risk aversion are unlikely to prevent an April rate hike.Italian oil company Eni: The Gendallo and Gandang projects are expected to start production in 2028. Eni will achieve a stable peak production of 2 billion cubic feet per day for natural gas and 90,000 barrels per day for condensate by 2029.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will recommence its downward trend in response to hawkish Fed forecasts

Alina Haynes

Apr 19, 2023 15:39

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After a rebound from $1,980.00, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is exhibiting a sharp reduction in volatility. The yellow metal struggles to prolong its recovery as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly after successfully defending the crucial support level of 101.65.

 

Investors have invested in the USD Index due to its safe-haven appeal, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In the short term, the demand for USD Index appears plausible, given that U.S. inflation has softened markedly and labor market conditions have loosened further. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

In addition, household retail demand has declined due to higher financing costs and strict credit conditions imposed by US commercial banks. The healthy scenario indicates that the Fed will not aggressively raise interest rates further and will contemplate a hiatus to prevent the economy from falling into recession. In the current environment, however, additional rate increases cannot be ruled out.

 

In light of the USD Index's recovery, the demand for US government bonds has weakened once more, resuming the ascent of US Treasury yields. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have surpassed 3.58 percent.


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