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Israel Defense Forces: The Israel Defense Forces recently launched a new round of strikes against Iranian regime targets in Tehran.According to the China Cotton Information Centers weekly report on the Chinese cotton market on April 6th, the following points were observed: 1. Price Dynamics: The average settlement price of the Zhengzhou cotton futures main contract for the week of March 30th-April 3rd was 15,331 yuan/ton, basically unchanged from the previous week. The average settlement price of the New York cotton futures main contract was 70.47 cents/lb, up 2.10 cents/lb from the previous week, a rise of 3.1%. Domestic cotton prices were 3,244 yuan/ton higher than international cotton prices, with the price difference narrowing by 382 yuan/ton compared to the previous week. The average market price of domestic C32S carded yarn was 22,285 yuan/ton, up 92 yuan/ton from the previous week, a rise of 0.4%. 2. Macroeconomic Situation: The escalating situation in the Middle East exacerbated concerns about global stagflation, with New York crude oil futures breaking $110 for the first time in four years. A report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development showed that the average daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz plummeted by 95% month-on-month in March. Domestically, the manufacturing PMI returned to expansion territory in March to 50.4%, indicating a slight recovery in economic activity. 3. Supply and Demand Situation: The International Cotton Advisory Committees April report increased its global cotton production forecast for 2026/27 by 100,000 tons to 24.9 million tons. The USDAs intended cotton planting area in March was 9.64 million acres, a 3.9% year-on-year increase, but drought conditions currently affect 90% of major producing areas. As of April 2nd, the national cotton sales rate was 81.3%, a 16.7 percentage point increase year-on-year. New orders for downstream textile companies have weakened slightly, and some companies have seen a decline in operating rates. 4. Market Outlook: The expectation of tight supply in the new year and domestic policies to expand domestic demand provide strong support for the domestic cotton market. It is expected to continue its range-bound trading pattern in the near term, requiring close monitoring of spring planting weather in the Northern Hemisphere and factors such as the US-China trade negotiations.On April 6th, the ASEAN Plus Three Macroeconomic Research Office released its annual report, "ASEAN Plus Three Regional Economic Outlook 2026." The report projects that the ASEAN Plus Three region will grow by 4.0% in both 2026 and 2027. However, the report also points out that the escalating conflict in the Middle East and significant disruptions to global energy supplies have increased the downside risks to the regions economic outlook. The report shows that the regions economic growth is projected to reach 4.3% in 2025, higher than previously expected. Demand for semiconductors driven by artificial intelligence is a key driver of export growth.Japans Topix index rose 1% on the day.On April 6, local time, Iran claimed that it launched three rounds of missiles at Israeli territory within 20 minutes. Israel stated that Iran launched at least 10 missiles carrying cluster warheads in the three rounds of attacks.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will recommence its downward trend in response to hawkish Fed forecasts

Alina Haynes

Apr 19, 2023 15:39

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After a rebound from $1,980.00, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is exhibiting a sharp reduction in volatility. The yellow metal struggles to prolong its recovery as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly after successfully defending the crucial support level of 101.65.

 

Investors have invested in the USD Index due to its safe-haven appeal, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In the short term, the demand for USD Index appears plausible, given that U.S. inflation has softened markedly and labor market conditions have loosened further. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

In addition, household retail demand has declined due to higher financing costs and strict credit conditions imposed by US commercial banks. The healthy scenario indicates that the Fed will not aggressively raise interest rates further and will contemplate a hiatus to prevent the economy from falling into recession. In the current environment, however, additional rate increases cannot be ruled out.

 

In light of the USD Index's recovery, the demand for US government bonds has weakened once more, resuming the ascent of US Treasury yields. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have surpassed 3.58 percent.


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