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On February 7th, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Thomas Jefferson stated that the central banks current interest rate stance is "perfectly suited" to a robust economic situation, indicating that he is in no hurry to resume the rate cuts that the Fed paused in January. Jefferson noted that although inflation has consistently exceeded the Feds 2% target, he expects the downward trend in inflation to resume later this year. He also estimates the overall economic condition to be good, with economic growth projected to reach approximately 2.2% by 2026. He stated, "I see some signs that the labor market is stabilizing, inflation is poised to return to our 2% target, and sustainable economic growth will continue." Jefferson noted that the three rate cuts implemented by the Fed between September and December of last year adjusted interest rates to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%—close to market expectations of a "neutral level," a level that neither stimulates nor inhibits the economy. He pointed out that this stance strikes a reasonable balance between the two major risks facing the central bank.February 7th - On the evening of February 6th local time, following the conclusion of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi left Muscat, the capital of Oman. Reportedly, in an interview after the negotiations, Araqchi stated that the Iranian delegation must return to Tehran to consult on "key issues" and prepare for future negotiations.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Tariffs are a key driver of inflation in 2025, and price pressures should ease in 2026.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Although upside risks remain, I expect inflationary pressures to ease.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Tariffs are likely just a one-off change in price levels.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will recommence its downward trend in response to hawkish Fed forecasts

Alina Haynes

Apr 19, 2023 15:39

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After a rebound from $1,980.00, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is exhibiting a sharp reduction in volatility. The yellow metal struggles to prolong its recovery as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly after successfully defending the crucial support level of 101.65.

 

Investors have invested in the USD Index due to its safe-haven appeal, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In the short term, the demand for USD Index appears plausible, given that U.S. inflation has softened markedly and labor market conditions have loosened further. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

In addition, household retail demand has declined due to higher financing costs and strict credit conditions imposed by US commercial banks. The healthy scenario indicates that the Fed will not aggressively raise interest rates further and will contemplate a hiatus to prevent the economy from falling into recession. In the current environment, however, additional rate increases cannot be ruled out.

 

In light of the USD Index's recovery, the demand for US government bonds has weakened once more, resuming the ascent of US Treasury yields. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have surpassed 3.58 percent.


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