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Gold prices fell to a two-week low on Thursday as signs of easing trade tensions boosted risk appetite and reduced golds safe-haven appeal, while a stronger dollar also weighed on gold prices. "The market remains confident that the United States will soon sign a lower tariff agreement with other countries, and this optimism, coupled with a stronger dollar, is weighing on gold prices," said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS. Investors are waiting for Fridays non-farm payrolls report to gain further insight into the Feds policy direction. "A weak jobs report should support the Feds calls for further rate cuts this year and push gold prices back to $3,500 an ounce in the coming months," said Giovanni Staunovo.On May 1, institutional analysis pointed out that gold futures plummeted due to easing trade tensions and declining safe-haven demand. The strengthening of the US dollar further dampened enthusiasm for gold as a safe-haven asset and made dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for international buyers. The United States is likely to reach a trade agreement, and market optimism and risk appetite are rising. However, further losses may be limited because expectations of interest rate cuts have also been raised after the United States released a series of weak economic data. The US economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter. Lower interest rates usually stimulate demand for non-interest-bearing gold.Ukraines Foreign Minister: The EUs top diplomat has been informed of the mineral agreement reached with the United States.According to the Wall Street Journal: Citigroup hired Trumps former trade chief Robert Lighthizer.According to the Wall Street Journal: The U.S. government has commissioned L3Harris to completely transform a Boeing 747 once used by the Qatari government.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD bears near psychological $2,000 level

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 11:55

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Gold price remains in a key support zone in Asia, with bulls testing bearish commitments at the psychological $2,000/oz level. So far, XAU/USD has risen from a low of $1,993.41 to a high of $1,999.41.

 

The sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve and concerns about whether or not the central bank is on the verge of halting continue to drive the markets during a week with a short work week. The US dollar appreciated on Friday as a result of Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Wall's hawkish comments. Despite a year of aggressive rate increases, the Fed "hasn't made much progress" in returning inflation to their 2% objective, according to the head of the central bank, who argued that rates still need to rise.

 

Recent US Retail Sales contained some optimistic indicators, and consumer spending in the previous quarter was robust. In April, commercial activity in the state of New York increased for the first time in five months. ''During the month, new orders increased by a record 46.8 points to a one-year high of 25.1. The shipments index also increased by more than 37 points. Prices received increased by 0.8% to 23.7%, indicating a moderate inflationary environment. Both delivery times and the average workweek increased, according to ANZ Bank analysts. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

The combination of hawkish rhetoric and recent data is reducing the appeal of greenback-bullion to foreign investors, while benchmark Treasury yields have risen to their highest level in more than two weeks. Futures on Fed funds indicate that expectations that the Fed will begin reducing rates later this year have been moved back from September to November, with a smaller rate cut also anticipated.

 

Ahead of the Fed's May 2-3 meeting, investors will concentrate on the US flash PMI for April and any additional comments from Fed officials before entering an embargo period on April 22. According to TD Securities analysts, the S&P PMIs for early April will provide the first comprehensive look at the condition of the US economy following the financial crisis. Both the manufacturing and services PMIs recorded their third consecutive increase in March, with the services PMI advancing further into expansion territory.