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ECB President Christine Lagarde: I am confident that the practice of basing policy on data should be maintained.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We have not seen artificial intelligence causing redundancy in the labor market.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We are monitoring exchange rates, not setting exchange rate targets.On February 26th, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde reiterated that the ECB has successfully controlled consumer prices, but cautioned that policymakers must closely monitor perceived high inflation. She stated, "Officials will achieve the 2% growth target in the medium term. However, despite the decline in inflation, surveys show that many people still feel prices are rising faster than official data suggests." While ECB policymakers emphasized that their next interest rate adjustment will have "full flexibility," they have not indicated any intention to make any adjustments in the near term. They expect inflation to stabilize at the 2% target level in the medium term, with economic growth accelerating. However, some believe there is a possibility of inflation remaining below target for an extended period. According to the latest consumer expectations survey, perceived inflation is higher than actual data suggests. This could negatively impact private consumption and lead to higher wage demands, making the central banks task of maintaining price stability and promoting economic growth even more challenging.Gold prices fell slightly in early trading on February 26, but remained above $5,100 an ounce as investors focused on progress in US-Iran negotiations. New York gold futures edged lower as investors worried that US interest rates might remain unchanged for some time, limiting gains. However, prices still rose more than 3.5% this week, benefiting from uncertainty surrounding US trade policy and ongoing geopolitical tensions with Iran. "Any escalation of tensions involving Iran could provide further support for gold and strengthen its role as a hedge against shocks," said analysts at ING. "Meanwhile, the structural drivers behind golds previous gains remain solid."

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Leveled Off as the Dollar Rally Stopped

Alina Haynes

May 11, 2022 10:31

Investors continue to purchase gold in anticipation of tomorrow's inflation report, which could affect Fed monetary policy. In comparison to other major currencies, the dollar declined.

 

Today, benchmark rates declined in response to the Federal Reserve's less aggressive strategy. Today, the ten-year yield fell below 3 percent, after gaining 23 basis points yesterday.

 

The NFIB Small Business Economic Trends index remained unchanged from the prior month at 93.2. This indicator of small company confidence in the United States was below the 48-year average of 98.

 

This information indicates that small enterprises are struggling to combat rising inflationary pressures. Small enterprises face increased labor expenses and a labor scarcity, which exacerbates their economic difficulties.

 

The Fed's policy decision at the next meeting will likely be affected by tomorrow's inflation data.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices are approaching the 200-day moving average of 1836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to 1800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average in the vicinity of 1,874, there is observed resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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