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German government bonds continued to fall, with the two-year yield rising 5 basis points to 3%.Copper prices surged to a record high on the London Metal Exchange on September 7, boosted by weeks of gains fueled by market expectations that President Trump would extend US tariffs to refined metal imports. LME benchmark three-month copper futures rose as much as 0.8% to $14,533 per tonne, a new record set in January. Copper prices have risen 17% over the past year, supported by a long-standing supply-demand mismatch – a backdrop against which aging large mines worldwide are struggling to keep up with demand from data centers, renewable energy, and the power grid, a backdrop that has bullish investors for years. However, short-term factors are in focus, particularly the hundreds of thousands of tons of copper shipped to the US this year by traders seeking to profit from higher prices. About two months after the US Commerce Department submitted its recommendations to the White House, the market is still pricing in the possibility of tariffs.1. Shipping authorities and commodity traders said on Monday that the Rhine River in Germany has seen its water level drop again due to the ongoing drought, forcing cargo ships to reduce their loads once more. However, the current level remains well above the record low reached in August. The Rhine is a vital transport route for grains, minerals, coal, and refined petroleum products. 2. Consulting firm AgRural reported that with the end of the soybean planting ban and favorable rainfall, some areas in Paraná state, Brazil, have begun planting, marking the official start of the 2026/27 soybean planting season. As of last Thursday, the planted soybean area in Brazil accounted for 0.05% of the estimated total area, compared to 0.02% at the same time last year. In Brazils south-central region, the first quarterly corn planting area for the 2026/27 season reached 17% of the estimated total area, up from 11% the previous week and 12% at the same time last year. 3. Thailands sugar production for the 2026/27 season is expected to decline significantly due to drought. Executives at Thai sugar mills stated that sugar production in Thailand may fall below 10 million tons in the 2026/27 crushing season, which begins in October, a decrease of at least 17% compared to the approximately 12 million tons produced in the previous season. The El Niño phenomenon continues to intensify, and Thailand is facing insufficient rainfall in some major producing areas. The northeastern region, which accounts for about 45% of the countrys total sugar production, has received significantly less rainfall this year than other producing areas. 4. According to Mysteels survey of 15 sample projects in Indonesia, Indonesias nickel matte production in August 2026 was 28,600 tons, a decrease of 8.62% month-on-month and 2.31% year-on-year; of which 23,300 tons were high-grade nickel matte and 5,300 tons were low-grade nickel matte (excluding those that have already increased in quality). 5. Ukraine stated that it launched overnight attacks on oil processing facilities in Russias Perm region and Tatarstan, resuming attacks after a US special envoy visited Moscow last weekend. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that long-range forces were used to strike refineries in the Perm region and Tatarstan, but did not provide further details. 6. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell, ending a three-day winning streak, due to weaker freight rates for Capesize and Panamax vessels. The BDI dropped 53 points, or 1.4%, to 3575 points.According to Iranian media Fars News, Iran has warned that ships near Hassab, Oman, face the risk of attack.Turkish President: The bill for Israels wars in the region is not only paid by Iran and the Gulf states, but shared by everyone.

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls assault $1,750 as market participants prepare for Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 25, 2022 14:50

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After a two-day rally, the gold price (XAU/USD) remains on the defensive at $1,752 during Thursday's Asian session. In doing so, gold reflects the market's nervousness in advance of significant data/events and in response to the mixed results of recently revealed information.

 

In spite of this, US Durable Goods Orders for July fell to 0.0%, compared to 0.6% projected and a revised up 2.2% prior estimate. Nondefense Capital Goods Orders excluding Aircraft, however, surpassed the 0.3% market consensus to reach 0.4%, up from 0.9% previously. Additionally, Pending Home Sales improved to -1.0% MoM in July, compared to -4.0% projected and -8.9% previously (revised down from -8.9%). Annually, Pending Home Sales declined by 19.9%, compared to the previous annual decline of 20%.

 

On the other hand, economic fears support the US dollar's safe-haven demand, as S&P Global Market Intelligence's Executive Director of Economic Research, Sara Johnson, said in a statement on Wednesday that global growth is expected to remain subdued in late 2022 and 2023, while inflation is anticipated to moderate over the next two years.

 

However, predictions that China will overcome its recessionary troubles and that Fed Chairman Powell will reiterate his cautious words at Jackson Hole appeared to have weighed on the DXY bulls. "Various Chinese official media organizations are defending the yuan following its recent fall, arguing that the country's robust exports could offset a stronger dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve rate hikes," Reuters reported on Wednesday. Due to China's role as one of the world's major gold consumers, gold traders are increasingly concerned about the dragon nation.

 

XAU/USD may experience a pullback if Fed Chair Jerome Powell surprises markets with a hawkish tone amid recession fears, given the current mixed market conditions and the US dollar's reluctance to re-establish its multi-year high.

 

The second edition of the US GDP for the second quarter will be added to the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for the same period to beautify the calendar intraday. However, Jackson Hole will receive the most of the focus for new initiatives.

 

Despite recent inactivity, the gold price maintains the rebound above the prior resistance line from mid-April, suggesting more higher momentum towards a 10-week-old resistance line near $1,788.