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On June 6, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated at the plenary session of the 29th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on June 5 that the Russian governments task is to strive for a return to steady economic growth starting next year, and one of the conditions for achieving this is to increase investment and launch a new investment cycle. Putin said that from 2021 to 2024, Russias actual investment increased by nearly 38%, but this figure declined last year. Launching a new investment cycle is a key task for the governments economic departments, and investment growth is an important indicator of their effectiveness. He also said that to achieve balanced economic growth, it is necessary to rely on domestic demand and maintain a continued decline in the inflation rate. Currently, Russian inflation has slowed significantly, and the inflation rate is expected to be close to 5.2% this year. Putin emphasized that a strong sovereign state cannot be isolated. Russia must both independently produce essential products and strengthen infrastructure construction, while also strengthening exchanges, cooperation, and promoting cross-border cooperation projects with foreign partners.On June 6, the Argentine Ministry of Health announced on June 5 that it would expand its investigation into the Hantavirus by sending an expert team to Mendoza Province in western Argentina. In a statement, the Ministry said that based on rodent behavior and epidemiological criteria, the expert team decided to expand the investigation to Mendoza Province. A team comprised of experts from the Carlos Malván Institute of the National Institute of Laboratories and Health of Argentina and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will conduct the investigation in Mendoza Province from June 8 to 12. The team will set traps to capture rodents such as the long-tailed dwarf rice rat, which are linked to the spread of Hantavirus. All samples will undergo preliminary processing in the on-site laboratory and then be temporarily stored at a local facility before being transported to the Malván Institute.June 6th - Stronger-than-expected US non-farm payroll data for May ignited market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. On Friday, previously crowded and highly valued AI and technology stocks suffered a sharp decline, while gold and silver prices also plummeted. Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, noted, "The technology and semiconductor sectors have experienced a record rally over the past nine weeks, and today the market dam finally broke. The stronger-than-expected jobs report has put the Fed in a dilemma regarding whether to cut rates for the remainder of the year, and the market is expressing its dissatisfaction by selling off its best-performing stocks this year." Phil Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, pointed out that some investors reduced their gold holdings to offset losses in other assets, exacerbating the selling pressure on precious metals. Bart Melek, global head of commodities strategy at TD Securities, stated, "The non-farm payroll data significantly exceeded market expectations. Given the ongoing Middle East wars, high energy prices, and significant inflationary pressures, the Fed has virtually no intention of cutting rates. In this context, the cost of holding gold is becoming increasingly high."June 6th - In Jinan, AI models are now being mass-produced on assembly lines, much like automobiles. The first step in producing AI models begins in the data workshop, essentially the raw material warehouse for the entire large model factory. Massive amounts of raw data are cleaned, filtered, and labeled here, transforming them into qualified raw materials for model production. The second step is model forging. In the model workshop, the employees on the production line are the "large models" themselves, and various large models become "digital craftsmen," training the models according to order requirements. The trained AI models then enter the third step: rigorous final testing. What leaves the model workshop is only a semi-finished product. In the factorys evaluation center, new models are constantly given "tests." If they fail the test, they are sent back for rework. Only by passing the rigorous "final test" can the model enter the market. Passing the test leads to the fourth step—integration training. In the integration workshop, the models are "integrated" into robotic arms and robots. Through repeated motion collection and training, the AI or intelligent agent can master physical skills before it can empower various industries. The seemingly simple four-step process actually includes 75 meticulous procedures, reducing the AI model development cycle from 90 person-days to 20 person-days.On June 6, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, warned in an interview with CNN on June 5 that if the fighting continues and the US does not lift its naval blockade of Iran, the conflict could spread to a wider area, including the Indian Ocean, and Iran would also strike more US military bases, at which point the US would suffer "very heavy" losses.

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls assault $1,750 as market participants prepare for Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 25, 2022 14:50

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After a two-day rally, the gold price (XAU/USD) remains on the defensive at $1,752 during Thursday's Asian session. In doing so, gold reflects the market's nervousness in advance of significant data/events and in response to the mixed results of recently revealed information.

 

In spite of this, US Durable Goods Orders for July fell to 0.0%, compared to 0.6% projected and a revised up 2.2% prior estimate. Nondefense Capital Goods Orders excluding Aircraft, however, surpassed the 0.3% market consensus to reach 0.4%, up from 0.9% previously. Additionally, Pending Home Sales improved to -1.0% MoM in July, compared to -4.0% projected and -8.9% previously (revised down from -8.9%). Annually, Pending Home Sales declined by 19.9%, compared to the previous annual decline of 20%.

 

On the other hand, economic fears support the US dollar's safe-haven demand, as S&P Global Market Intelligence's Executive Director of Economic Research, Sara Johnson, said in a statement on Wednesday that global growth is expected to remain subdued in late 2022 and 2023, while inflation is anticipated to moderate over the next two years.

 

However, predictions that China will overcome its recessionary troubles and that Fed Chairman Powell will reiterate his cautious words at Jackson Hole appeared to have weighed on the DXY bulls. "Various Chinese official media organizations are defending the yuan following its recent fall, arguing that the country's robust exports could offset a stronger dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve rate hikes," Reuters reported on Wednesday. Due to China's role as one of the world's major gold consumers, gold traders are increasingly concerned about the dragon nation.

 

XAU/USD may experience a pullback if Fed Chair Jerome Powell surprises markets with a hawkish tone amid recession fears, given the current mixed market conditions and the US dollar's reluctance to re-establish its multi-year high.

 

The second edition of the US GDP for the second quarter will be added to the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for the same period to beautify the calendar intraday. However, Jackson Hole will receive the most of the focus for new initiatives.

 

Despite recent inactivity, the gold price maintains the rebound above the prior resistance line from mid-April, suggesting more higher momentum towards a 10-week-old resistance line near $1,788.