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On January 10th, a research report from Founder Securities stated that the December non-farm payroll data was mixed, with the US job market generally showing a mild downward trend, but the unemployment rate showed marginal improvement, giving the Federal Reserve more reason to wait and see in January. Combined with the Supreme Courts potential declaration that the IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional, this may be a short-term positive for US stocks and the US dollar, but a negative for US Treasuries. Data on new jobs, job openings, and hourly wage growth indicate that the US job market remained relatively weak in December, but the marginal decline in the unemployment rate was one of the few bright spots. Looking at interest rate futures and US Treasuries, the market priced in a no-rate-cut by the Fed in January, with a possible rate cut as early as June. Meanwhile, the Supreme Courts potential declaration that the IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional means that economic expectations may improve marginally, inflationary pressures may weaken, but the fiscal deficit may worsen. With the Fed in no hurry to cut rates and tariffs easing, US Treasuries face many unfavorable factors in the short term and are likely to remain at high levels. US stocks will benefit from the AI boom and reduced tariff disruptions, especially in sectors affected by tariffs such as consumer staples and industry, which are more resilient.January 10 - According to the UN Security Council schedule, the Security Council will hold an emergency meeting on the situation in Ukraine on January 12.On January 10th, Xiaomi Auto released a statement in response to netizens questions, stating that the new generation SU7 will be equipped with the Xiaomi Super Motor V6s Plus across the entire series. In addition to the motor being jointly supplied by United Electric and Inovance Technology, Xiaomi will also introduce its own self-developed and self-produced V6s Plus Super Motor in the future to further improve production efficiency and shorten delivery cycles.On January 10th, Chen Jianye, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Director of the Fujian Provincial Department of Industry and Information Technology, stated that the next step will be to accelerate the digital transformation of the manufacturing industry, enhance its green foundation, and promote the transformation of industries towards "new" and "green." This includes: Deepening the implementation of the "Nine Major Actions" for comprehensive digital empowerment of industrial manufacturing; adhering to the principle of enterprise-led development, strengthening government guidance, and leveraging the role of service providers to create more transformation benchmarks, promote chain-based transformation and overall transformation, and accelerate the large-scale application of digital technologies in the manufacturing industry; Deepening and expanding "Artificial Intelligence +"; making good use of the new round of incremental policies for artificial intelligence, supporting the cultivation of industry-specific models and intelligent agents, accelerating industry adaptation and scenario expansion, and promoting the empowerment of various industries by artificial intelligence; guiding the differentiated and characteristic development of the Fuzhou-Xiamen-Quanzhou provincial-level artificial intelligence industrial parks; and carrying out in-depth energy conservation and carbon reduction special actions; closely monitoring national carbon assessment requirements, and implementing energy conservation reviews and carbon emission assessments for "high energy consumption and high pollution" projects in the industrial sector; building Fujians green advantages in manufacturing, cultivating more national and provincial-level green parks and enterprises, and promoting the construction of a number of zero-carbon parks and factories.The Consumer Bankers Association: We look forward to working with the government to ensure that Americans have access to the credit they need.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Targets a Breakout above 1.2100 from the Descending Triangle

Daniel Rogers

Dec 30, 2022 12:01

 GBP:USD.png

 

In the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair is doing poorly due to investors' reluctance to acquire substantial positions due to the holiday market sentiment. The Cable is fluctuating within a 10-pip band below 1.2060 and will likely continue to do so in the foreseeable future.

 

Following a decline to approximately 103.50, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a recovery. As risk appetite improved on Thursday, the USD Index witnessed a big fall. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds slipped below 3.83 percent during early trading.

 

The Cable is building speed in anticipation of an hourly breakout from the chart pattern of a Descending Triangle. The major currency is hovering near the downward-sloping trendline drawn from the high of December 19 at 1.2242, while the horizontal support of the previously described chart pattern is placed at the low of December 22 at 1.1992.

 

The pair is trading above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) above 1.2050, indicating a strong near-term rise.

 

A consolidation is coming as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00. A breakout of the bullish zone between 60.00 and 80.00 will trigger bullish momentum.

 

Should the Cable firmly surpass the high of 1.2112 on December 27, Pound Sterling bulls would drive the asset to the high of 1.2189 on December 21, followed by the high of 1.2242 on December 19.

 

In contrast, a significant slide below the low of December 22 at 1.1992 will cause the Descending Triangle to collapse and drag the Cable to the low of November 29 at 1.1940. A breach below this level would expose the pound to more weakness near the low reached on November 30 around 1.1900.