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On January 9th, RJ Gallo, Deputy Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income at Federated Hermes, stated in a report that at the start of 2026, both real and implied volatility in the US Treasury market has fallen to a four-year low, returning to levels typically seen before the pandemic. Disruptive factors over the past four years include inflation surging to multi-decade highs; the Federal Reserves rapid tightening of policy to suppress inflation; the Silicon Valley banking crisis; Trumps tariff announcements; and the Feds eventual easing of monetary policy amid slowing job growth. He stated, "So far, recent events have not matched the drivers of these economic uncertainties, which is good news for us."Frances November industrial production figures will be released in ten minutes.January 9th - German industrial output unexpectedly rose for the third consecutive month, further suggesting that Europes largest economy may be on the verge of recovery. Data from the German Federal Statistical Office showed that industrial output rose 0.8% month-on-month in November, exceeding market expectations, with Octobers revised increase at 2%. This growth was primarily driven by Germanys crucial automotive industry, while machinery-related companies also saw growth, helping to offset a decline in energy production. The data also showed an unexpectedly large jump in factory orders, which analysts believe is the beginning of the effects of the fiscal stimulus measures prepared by the Merz government. The slump in traditional growth drivers has led to significant job losses in German manufacturing. Now, the recovery is expected to be driven by domestic demand, and this weeks data seems to confirm this.The chart shows that at 23:00 Beijing time on January 9th, there will be large foreign exchange options contracts for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, etc. There are 3 contracts with strike prices exceeding 1 billion. Please manage your risks.The Ukrainian Foreign Minister stated that Russias repeated claims that Ukraine attacked Putins residence to justify the attack are "absurd."

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: The 200-day exponential moving average is exerting selling pressure near 162.00

Alina Haynes

Dec 29, 2022 11:48

 GBP:JPY.png

 

In the early Tokyo session, the GBP/JPY pair has encountered selling pressure as it attempts to surpass immediate resistance at 161.50. The cross has dropped sharply after failing to sustain significant resistance above 162.00. The asset is under pressure following a four-day gaining streak despite the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) announcement of a dovish policy stance in its summary of ideas.

 

The GBP/JPY pair saw a significant decrease after failing to sustain above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 162.13 on an hourly scale. At 161.38, the cross is near to the 20-exponential moving average (EMA), indicating that the future is likely to be stressful. On a larger scale, potential support is indicated by the 21 December high near 161.00.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has decreased from the bullish region of 60.00-80.00 to the neutral region of 40.00-60.00, suggesting that the upward momentum has ceased; however, the upside bias has not yet been lost.

 

For an upward move, the pair must surpass the December 28 high of 162.34, which will drive the cross toward the November 11 low of 163.00 and the December 2 low of 164.00.

 

Alternately, a violation of the high from December 21 around 161.00 would take the asset toward the low from December 26 at 160.19, then the low from December 21 at 159.50.

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