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A chart summarizing the overnight price movements of international spot platinum and palladium.On February 25th, HP (HPQ.N) stated that its full-year earnings may reach the lower end of its previously forecast range due to tariffs and rising memory chip prices. The stock fell approximately 7% in after-hours trading after closing at $18.20 in New York. Over the past 12 months, the stock has fallen by 48%. HP and other device manufacturers are facing the dual challenges of rising memory chip prices and supply shortages as consumers buy new computers to replace outdated devices and acquire new AI capabilities. The company stated that the memory issue will persist throughout the fiscal year and may extend into the next. HP said it is raising product prices, working to bring in more suppliers, and adjusting some products to reduce memory demand. The company said today that it has made progress in these areas, including completing the certification of new suppliers. HP announced the launch of a multi-year cost-cutting plan aimed at saving the company $1 billion annually by 2028.Japans corporate services price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in January, up from 2.60% in the previous month.Japans corporate services price index fell 0.5% month-on-month in January, compared with 0% in the previous month.February 25th - Traders in the US futures and options markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates next year rather than raise them. The spread of the Covered Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) futures, which is closely linked to Fed policy expectations, is inverting significantly – indicating that traders are beginning to anticipate a longer period of central bank easing. Previously, traders had been betting that the Fed would cut rates twice by 25 basis points before the end of this year and then resume rate hikes in 2027. However, the increasingly heated debate surrounding the impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market has prompted them to reassess this expectation. Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, stated, "The question is how AI will cause inflation. The only aspect of AI that could potentially cause inflation is the construction of data centers and the associated energy demand." Meanwhile, in the spot market, traders lack confidence in how to allocate US Treasuries. JPMorgan Chases latest client survey (for the week ending February 23rd) shows that neutral positions have reached their highest level since the end of 2024.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD sellers near $1,955 confluence as yields recover amid banking and growth concerns

Alina Haynes

Mar 27, 2023 14:38

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Gold price (XAU/USD) falls $1,970 over the course of a two-day losing trend preceding Monday's European session. In doing so, the precious metal justifies the most recent revival in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar, while extending yesterday's U-turn from the key resistance zone.

 

As First Citizens bank agrees to purchase a sizable portion of Silicon Valley Bank, dwindling banking jitters may also be a factor. (SVB). In recent days, the XAU/USD has been weighed down by hawkish Fed comments, the pace of China's growth, one of the world's largest Gold consumers, as well as primarily US data.

 

Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), cautioned that "risks to financial stability have increased," prompting an investigation into Gold sellers. On the same vein, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari voiced concerns about an impending US recession.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a three-day uptrend near 103.12 as traders prepare for important inflation data on Friday, specifically the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for February.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury bond yields increased by two basis points to 3.40 percent, while their two-year counterpart ended a three-day losing trend close to 3.85 percent as of press time.

 

Moving forward, the Gold price remains on the bears' radar due to the failure of traders to overcome the critical resistance and the month-end consolidation. However, Friday's release of the Fed's favored inflation gauge becomes crucial for XAU/USD traders seeking direction.