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February 17th - A Russian diplomatic source stated late on the 16th that a Russian delegation led by Presidential Aide Medinsky had departed and was expected to arrive in Geneva, Switzerland, early on the 17th to participate in trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the talks. The source said the Russian delegation would arrive in Geneva around 6:00 AM local time on the 17th. The US is technically involved in coordinating the necessary permits for the Russian delegations arrival in Geneva via the EU. The source said the trilateral talks plan to discuss key factors in resolving the Ukrainian issue, including military, political, and humanitarian issues. The duration of the talks is currently unknown. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the Russia-US-Ukraine talks.BHP Billiton (BHP.N): The Escondida copper mine is expected to produce between 1 million and 1.1 million tons in fiscal year 2027.BHP Billiton (BHP.N) reported a net profit of $5.64 billion for the first half of the year, up 28% year-on-year; revenue for the first half was $27.902 billion, higher than the market estimate of $26.907 billion.February 17th - BHP Billiton (BHP.N) announced that it has signed a long-term working capital agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals International Limited. The agreement stipulates that BHP Billiton will receive a $4.3 billion upfront payment upon completion of the transaction. BHP Billiton will deliver silver to Wheaton in accordance with its share of silver production at the Antamina mine. Under the agreement, Wheaton will pay BHP Billiton 20% of the spot price of silver at the time of delivery.Conflict Status: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Shot down 345 Ukrainian drones within 24 hours. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: Recaptured Pokrovka and Minkivka in eastern Ukraine. 3. Local authorities stated that the fire in the Russian port of Taman has been extinguished. Peace Talks: 1. Sources: Talks on the Ukraine issue and the Iran issue will be held simultaneously in Geneva on February 17. 2. Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov: The trilateral talks in Geneva will include the territorial issue. 3. Market news: The Russian delegation to the Geneva talks will expand to approximately 20 people. 4. Swiss Foreign Ministry: The Geneva talks on the Ukraine issue will be held behind closed doors. 5. Zelensky: Ukraine will not relinquish its territory. Further Russian attacks will make reaching an agreement more difficult; Russia will launch a new round of large-scale energy strikes. Other Status: 1. Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán: Ukrainian President Zelensky must organize elections. 2. Ukrainian National Anti-Corruption Service: The former Ukrainian Energy Minister is accused of money laundering. 3. Russian media: Hungary and Slovakia have requested Croatia to allow Russian oil to transit through their borders. 4. Following the attack on Russian ports, European coal futures prices continued to rise.

Despite the 5.9% decrease in Australian GDP, the AUD/JPY crosses 91.70

Daniel Rogers

Dec 07, 2022 14:59

The AUD/JPY pair has surpassed the crucial barrier level of 91.70 despite a weaker-than-anticipated Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The annual GDP results were 5.9% instead of the expected 6.3% and the previously reported 3.6%. While quarterly GDP data was reported at 0.6% rather than the 0.7% forecast and 0.9% that had previously been made public.

 

Weaker-than-anticipated Australian GDP numbers will help the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) achieve its goal of establishing price stability. After the RBA increased its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points for the third consecutive day on Tuesday, the cross remained extremely volatile (bps). Australia's interest rates are now 3.10 percent as a result of this. The 25 basis point hike in interest rates was decided upon in accordance with forecasts.

 

RBA Governor Philip Lowe thinks that further tightening of monetary policy is imminent in terms of interest rate guidance. The RBA is not in a rush to stop raising interest rates because the current inflation rate of 6.9% is significantly higher than the target rate of 2%, and additional policy tightening cannot be ruled out.

 

Investors will pay special attention this week when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers for China are released on Friday. The annual CPI is predicted to drop significantly from the previous reading of 2.1% to 1.0%. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) might be forced to further ease monetary policy as a result of this. As China's largest trading partner, Australia will benefit from China's monetary easing by strengthening the Australian Dollar.

 

Investors in the Japanese yen are waiting for the GDP report on Thursday. Compared to the earlier contraction of 1.2%, it is predicted that the economic data will fall by 1.1%. Although the quarterly data is anticipated to decrease by 0.3%, similar to the previous release, it is more likely to decrease by 0.2%.