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Gold futures rose in relatively light trading as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields slipped. But they fell overall this week after a sharp sell-off on Thursday. Analysts at SP Angel said in a report that ETF outflows indicate that traders and investors have taken profits after gold prices rose 21% so far this year. SP Angel said that the cooling of trade tensions is reducing the appeal of gold, while Trump announced that he does not intend to fire Powell. The focus now turns to U.S. employment data due on Friday. If the data is weaker than expected, it will boost optimism about the Federal Reserves interest rate cuts, which is a positive for non-interest-bearing gold.Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani, senior economist at Oxford Economics, said on May 2 that the rise in core inflation in the eurozone in April should not cause concern for ECB policymakers because the rise in the service sector is temporary. Core inflation rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, and service sector inflation rose from 3.5% to 3.9%, partly due to the timing of Easter. But lower oil prices and a stronger euro will pull down energy inflation, leading to lower costs for production inputs and imports. At the same time, the hit to demand will push down core inflation and accelerate the slowdown in wage growth. This anti-inflation trend means that the ECB is likely to cut interest rates at its June meeting and then keep them unchanged.On May 2, Capital Economics economists said in a report that the rise in eurozone service sector inflation in April may not worry ECB officials because it was mainly driven by the Easter timing effect. The core inflation rate rose from 2.4% in March to 2.7% in April, an increase that exceeded expectations, which was entirely due to the increase in service sector inflation from 3.5% to 3.9%. But service sector inflation will start to fall again in the coming months, and US tariffs will have a disinflationary effect on the eurozone. This will pave the way for two more interest rate cuts this year.Spotify spokesperson: Apple has approved Spotifys app update in the United States.The Hong Kong dollar strengthened to 7.75 against the U.S. dollar, hitting the strong side of the convertibility guarantee level.

Copper exhibits a five-day downward trend as economic worries supplant China's production decline

Daniel Rogers

Sep 01, 2022 15:26

 截屏2022-06-16 下午3.13.52_1024x576.png

 

Copper price is on the bears' radar as it falls for the fifth straight day and remains under pressure near the one-month low heading into the European session on Thursday. The latest weakening in the red metal may be attributable to negative data from the world's leading producers as well as coronavirus in the world's largest metal consumer, China. In doing so, the quotation disregards a decline in output at one of the commodity's primary producers, Chile.

 

Copper futures on the COMEX declined more than 1.0% to $3.4790 at the time of publication, while depicting the movements. Reuters reported that as of 02:13 GMT, a three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.8% to $7,742.50 a tonne, extending losses from the previous session. The metal contract for October on the Shanghai Futures Exchange falls about 1.6%.

 

However, China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI had the lowest readings in three months, indicating a contraction in activity, with a figure of 49.5, compared to 50.2 expected and 50.4 previously. In doing so, the private manufacturing indicator mirrors the official NBS PMI and reveals the bleak conditions at the largest industrial actor on the planet. On the same line, the US ADP Employment Change increased by 132K, compared to 288K anticipated and 270K previously.

 

Recent market sentiment appears to be weighed down by rumors of another ship obstructing the Suez Canal prior to the recent refloat, pessimism over China's covid conditions, and disputes with the United States over Taiwan. Recently, Taiwan's president, Tsai Ing-Wen, stated Taiwan's desire to strengthen its chip sector partnership with the United States.

 

Elsewhere, hawkish Fed wagers add to the industrial metal's load. According to the CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a September rate hike of 75 basis points has increased to 74.0% from 73.0% yesterday.

 

Alternately, forthcoming details of China's stimulus and an 8.6% YoY decline in the output of the world's largest copper producer, Chile, during the month of July appear to challenge copper bears.

 

While market anxieties and expectations of a decline in demand and a stronger US dollar are bearish for metal prices, headlines around the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August, which is predicted to be 52.8 versus 52.0 before, could delight traders ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls report (NFP).


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