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Britains new defense secretary: Investment plans are still being finalized.On June 12th, Morgan Stanley economist Bruna Skarica noted in a report that UK monthly GDP appears to be benefiting again from strong performance in the white-collar services sector, particularly the information and communications technology (ICT) industry. She pointed out that output in this sector is currently up 6.7% year-on-year, and has grown by 45.4% since the fourth quarter of 2019, while the overall economy has only grown by 6% during the same period. "It seems far from a coincidence that the sector most vulnerable to the rapid spread of artificial intelligence is simultaneously driving GDP growth and productivity gains," Skarica added. Given that the Bank of England stated last year that structural productivity growth in the UK was negative, the bank should comment further on this this year.On June 12th, HSBC analysts noted in a report that the US dollar is currently trading below levels implied by market expectations of US interest rates. They stated that the dollars reaction has been limited as recent market expectations have shifted from anticipated rate cuts to possible rate hikes. They believe this may reflect the loose financial environment in the US and market expectations for a resolution to the Middle East conflict. They added that the dollar needs clear stimulus from monetary policy. If the Federal Reserve fails to support rate hike expectations at next weeks meeting, the dollar "could be in trouble."On June 12th, analysts at Nomura Securities stated in a report that the Bank of England is likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in July to avoid the risk of a second wave of inflation. However, with inflation risks diminishing, they believe the Bank of England is likely to resume rate cuts in 2027. LSEG data shows that investors expect a 34% probability of a rate hike by the Bank of England in July.On June 12th, Berenberg analysts stated in a report that the Bank of Englands reluctance to raise interest rates compared to the European Central Bank appears to have its reasons. They noted that the UKs labor market is weaker than the Eurozones, and the service sectors contribution to inflation is no longer as significant as it once was. Meanwhile, analysts pointed out that the UKs interest rate policy was already tighter before the energy shock, and its fiscal situation remained relatively strained. They added that after a strong start to the year, the UK is now facing an economic slowdown as the situation in Iran continues to drag down economic activity. Due to a "statistical illusion" caused by seasonal changes in consumption patterns since the pandemic, the first quarters economic performance was actually weaker than it appeared. The analysts stated, "We predict that the economy will stagnate this summer, with zero quarterly GDP growth in the second and third quarters."

Canada Introduces Carbon Offset Certificates to Combat Emissions

Haiden Holmes

Jun 09, 2022 11:19

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Canada began a credit system for greenhouse gas offsets on Wednesday, a significant component of its goal to reduce carbon emissions, beginning with a set of rules outlining how projects might create tradable credits by absorbing landfill gas.


The government reported that guidelines for four additional areas, including agriculture and forest management, are in development. This summer, it will also begin creating rules for carbon capture technology, on which Canada's highly polluting oil industry is relying to reduce emissions.


The Liberal government of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has vowed to reduce climate-warming emissions by 40-45 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. 7 percent of Canada's total carbon output comes from greenhouse gas emissions from trash, including landfills.


The greenhouse gas offset credit system is designed to enable a domestic carbon offset trading market, and the government has stated that it will generate new economic opportunities for businesses and municipalities that reduce emissions.


Participants may register projects and earn one tradable offset credit for each tonne of emissions reduced or removed from the environment, provided their initiatives adhere to the federal offset regulations that specify which activities qualify.


The credits can subsequently be sold to others, such as big industrial polluters obligated to limit carbon pollution or businesses voluntarily offsetting their emissions.


"Beginning with landfills, we are implementing a market-based framework to encourage firms and municipalities to invest in pollution-reducing technology and innovations," stated Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault.


The government anticipates that the price of carbon credits would closely mirror Canada's carbon pricing, which is presently set at C$50 per tonne and will increase to C$170 per tonne by 2030.


However, environmental groups cautioned that enabling polluters to purchase offset certificates rather than reducing their own emissions could jeopardize climate goals.


Greenpeace Canada spokesman Shane Moffatt stated, "Offsetting does not prevent carbon from entering the atmosphere and warming our planet; it merely keeps it off the books of large polluters who are accountable."