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On January 31st, Federal Reserve Chairman Mohamed Mussala stated on Friday that he was reluctant to support further interest rate cuts given that inflation had consistently remained above the Feds 2% target. Mussala said he agreed with the Feds decision this week to keep interest rates unchanged, arguing that the Feds target rate of 3.5% to 3.75% was no longer high enough to significantly dampen the economy. He believes that persistent price increases should prevent the Fed from lowering rates to support the economy. Mussala stated, "Given that inflation is above target and the risks to the economic outlook are broadly balanced, I dont think its appropriate to lower interest rates into an accommodative range at this time." Mussala also pointed out that attempting to alleviate labor market pressures by lowering short-term interest rates controlled by the Fed could be counterproductive. He said such a move could trigger concerns about future inflation and push up long-term interest rates, which are a key factor determining mortgage costs and business borrowing costs.Federal Reserves Mossallem: Economic tailwinds are expected to boost economic growth in 2026.Federal Reserves Mossala: The risk of a sharp decline in the job market has diminished.Federal Reserves Mossalim: Inflation is expected to fall to around 2%, but he believes it may remain above 2% for an extended period. Further rate cuts could exacerbate inflation expectations.Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: The economy is expected to continue to grow at an above-trend pace, driven by credit conditions and fiscal policy.

Bitcoin Lightning Network-Based Strike Can Rival Visa – MS

Cory Russell

Apr 25, 2022 09:49

Morgan Stanley is optimistic about the bitcoin Lightning Network's potential as a consumer payment option.


They believe Strike, a Lightning Network-based payment technology, can compete with or even outperform Visa in the digital payments market.


Strike has partnered with Shopify and NCR, the world's leading supplier of point-of-sale payment solutions.


Morgan Stanley published a new analysis on the Lightning Network, bitcoin's Layer 2 fast payment system, and its potential to enable a "long-term move towards payments and settlements utilizing digital and cryptocurrencies rather than fiat currencies like the US dollar."


Morgan Stanley's positive analysis on the Lightning Network's potential for broader adoption comes after Strike, a US-based digital payments platform built on top of bitcoin's Lightning Network, announced earlier this month a new integration agreement with e-commerce giant Shopify.


Customers who paid in bitcoin will now be able to receive payments in US dollars from US Shopify businesses. Strike has announced collaborations with NCR, the world's leading supplier of point-of-sale (PoS) payment services.

Morgan Stanley Believes That Lightning Network Will Be Able to Compete With Visa

Morgan Stanley outlined why it believes Strike, a Lightning Network-based digital payment network, can compete with or perhaps exceed Visa in its recent study.


Morgan Stanley observes that "in essence, Strike is directly competing with Visa Direct, which provides real-time settlement," adding that "the primary distinction for merchants will be paid a significantly lower transaction cost."


"The customer advantage is that they may, if they choose, host their bitcoin on a private, secure network, enabling an element of secrecy connected with their transaction," the bank says.


Morgan Stanley emphasizes the importance of Strike's cooperation with NCR. "NCR software is used by one in every six PoS devices worldwide," the bank says, "so this news is important even if just a tiny percentage of retail businesses opt to add crypto capabilities."

Cons of Making Bitcoin Payments

The Morgan Stanley analysis points out some of the disadvantages of utilizing a bitcoin-based payment system, such as the cryptocurrency's underlying volatility on a day-to-day basis, which makes forecasting future buying power problematic.


Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley says that existing tax regulations, which require users to pay capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies they sell, are a barrier to greater acceptance of bitcoin as a widely used means of exchange.


The bank, on the other hand, mentions the Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act, which has been introduced in the US Congress. If passed, the law would exclude personal bitcoin transactions from taxation as long as the profits are less than $200.


Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, cautions that this plan may meet criticism, particularly from anti-crypto members of Congress, since it serves to establish bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies) as credible alternatives to the US currency.


The Morgan Stanley analysis "suggests we are at the beginning of an age when more and more people may opt to pay for items using Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies over time," according to Alex Gladstein, who summarized it on Twitter.